Vast-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

853

Trades

1,820

lifetime

Volume

$5.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-15 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$91	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$72	105	105	+0	Down	+$32	05-06 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$69	102	102	+0	open	—	05-04 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$67	108	108	+0	Down	+$22	05-07 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$63	44	24	+20	open	—	05-04 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$62	95	95	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$61	95	95	+0	Down	+$21	05-06 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$61	100	100	+0	Down	+$21	05-08 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$60	100	100	+0	Up	+$20	05-08 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$60	98	95	+3	Down	+$18	05-07 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$59	106	106	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$59	95	95	+0	Down	+$19	05-07 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$58	100	100	+0	Up	+$18	05-07 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$58	98	98	+0	Up	+$15	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$58	113	100	+13	Down	+$14	05-05 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$57	107	105	+2	open	—	05-04 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$57	95	95	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$56	95	95	+0	Up	+$16	05-08 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$55	95	95	+0	Up	+$15	05-08 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$54	95	95	+0	Down	+$14	05-07 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	8	$46	34	34	+0	open	—	05-04 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$42	33	33	+0	open	—	05-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$41	98	98	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$36	31	31	+0	open	—	05-04 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$36	62	62	+0	Up	+$16	05-08 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0e08a5…
05-15 15:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x193845…
05-15 15:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x024acb…
05-15 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x2f619c…
05-15 15:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa46b5d…
05-15 14:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xe20171…
05-15 14:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc85596…
05-15 14:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x49ce2a…
05-15 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x90ed67…
05-15 14:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x575571…
05-15 14:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x087107…
05-15 14:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xccb8d8…
05-15 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6f4c11…
05-15 14:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xfdb15f…
05-15 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b07f3…
05-15 14:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xb70038…
05-15 14:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x86cbca…
05-15 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x27741f…
05-15 14:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x5a0f1d…
05-15 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd107f3…
05-15 13:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x1cdbb0…
05-15 13:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x030a67…
05-15 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x128d6b…
05-15 13:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd7f961…
05-15 13:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3dd113…
05-15 13:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x89d700…
05-15 13:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x330bce…
05-15 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xddcc45…
05-15 13:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77fc16…
05-15 12:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x02d1c4…
05-15 12:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xe3cca7…
05-15 12:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x441c96…
05-15 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x804b4f…
05-15 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0a699c…
05-15 12:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x04c597…
05-15 12:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x101b0a…
05-15 12:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc238a4…
05-15 12:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x0192a6…
05-15 12:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1dd2d7…
05-15 12:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x2791a1…
05-15 12:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xecd09e…
05-15 11:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xa6bb82…
05-15 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa319d1…
05-15 11:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x822ce9…
05-15 11:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x1509bf…
05-15 11:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x9a2f66…
05-15 11:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x4c4552…
05-15 11:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3d82a1…
05-15 11:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x0b6415…
05-15 11:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x9a3a48…
05-15 11:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x354007…
05-15 11:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x536a73…
05-15 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd25111…
05-15 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe8bf5d…
05-15 10:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe11488…
05-15 10:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x96e500…
05-15 10:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x10b804…
05-15 10:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x320e49…
05-15 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x941241…
05-15 10:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xdbf4b3…
05-15 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb770b9…
05-15 10:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x431dd0…
05-15 10:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdd1cba…
05-15 09:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88dfc9…
05-15 09:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45555f…
05-15 09:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x493036…
05-15 09:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x46fbd8…
05-15 09:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x509743…
05-15 09:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c49df…
05-15 09:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x80034b…
05-15 09:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe2e8fb…
05-15 09:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x476e0d…
05-15 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x387585…
05-15 08:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2d1d96…
05-15 08:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5ba0a4…
05-15 08:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x472dfd…
05-15 08:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc1bff0…
05-15 08:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd54b9f…
05-15 08:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xfed69e…
05-15 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbfb85c…
05-15 08:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x99a098…
05-15 08:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x91e53b…
05-15 07:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x19f33e…
05-15 07:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x565f69…
05-15 07:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x0df1b7…
05-15 07:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb9c240…
05-15 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x678239…
05-15 07:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x52df9b…
05-15 07:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x9ee9b5…
05-15 07:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb51493…
05-15 07:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa39948…
05-15 07:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5f56a1…
05-15 07:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xdf31db…
05-15 07:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd8c238…
05-15 07:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4d5e92…
05-15 07:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xd64e2a…
05-15 07:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xfb99ad…
05-15 07:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x82c65f…
05-15 07:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf4a5f0…
05-15 07:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x8d0760…