Vast-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

17 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$59

$59 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up		+3	$2	8¢	$0	$-2	05-06 01:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$20	95	0	+95	open	—	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	05-05 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	05-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$3	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$0	0	2	-2	Up	+$0	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$0	0	2	-2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$0	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf47885…
05-06 01:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x5196ad…
05-06 01:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc77b34…
05-05 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc74cb5…
05-05 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa1dc46…
05-05 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x276813…
05-05 14:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x201160…
05-05 10:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x952f8a…
05-05 10:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x8eff94…
05-05 10:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x53cf2f…
05-05 03:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x188767…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x41a479…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xa752f5…
05-05 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x12397e…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x37f805…
05-04 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfc5acd…
05-04 21:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x698a01…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$2.88K	108	05-06 01:24
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	14	$2.05K	169	05-06 01:24
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$1.59K	126	05-06 01:24
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	13	$1.97K	40	05-06 01:24
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	13	$981	63	05-06 01:24
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	13	$541	37	05-06 01:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$2.17K	75	05-06 01:24
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	12	$700	43	05-06 01:24