Calculating-Vibraphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

955

Trades

1,484

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-30 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

39% 56% -$124

Politics

28% 28% -$59

Crypto

17% 39% -$170

Sports

16% 64% +$138

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	14	$479	556	555	+0	open	—	08-30 13:39
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	18	$471	460	460	+0	Yes	-$20	08-30 13:36
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	25	$465	519	519	+0	open	—	08-30 13:39
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	22	$393	391	391	+0	open	—	08-30 13:39
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$322	243	243	+0	Spurs	+$162	05-19 05:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$247	218	212	+6	No	+$46	05-24 18:28
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	7	$158	159	159	+0	No	-$4	07-13 13:23
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	9	$153	162	162	+0	No	-$4	08-30 13:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$141	269	269	+0	No	-$12	05-23 08:25
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	7	$123	115	114	+1	No	+$2	07-06 04:47
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	6	$116	94	72	+21	Knicks	+$18	05-26 01:11
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	21	$108	185	185	+0	No	-$9	08-30 13:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	12	$105	462	363	+99	Yes	-$15	05-24 01:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	9	$98	526	526	+0	No	-$3	05-23 16:04
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$97	81	81	+0	Cavaliers	+$37	05-18 01:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$92	1,274	1,274	+0	No	-$62	05-23 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$91	99	99	+0	No	+$22	05-25 06:55
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	8	$86	85	85	+0	open	—	08-30 13:39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	5	$78	148	0	+148	No	-$78	05-19 19:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	8	$75	708	504	+204	Yes	-$15	05-23 21:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$74	144	144	+0	No	-$6	05-24 21:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	9	$70	343	343	+0	No	-$29	05-24 01:04
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$68	53	53	+0	open	—	07-06 11:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$63	702	702	+0	No	-$23	05-23 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$60	47	40	+7	Yes	-$4	06-14 21:52
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?	2	$57	42	42	+0	open	—	05-30 13:42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	8	$56	74	0	+74	Team WE	-$56	05-30 13:11
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$50	86	0	+86	Yes	+$36	03-17 19:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$41	29	28	+1	Up	+$12	04-25 15:14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$40	128	0	+128	Knicks	-$40	05-19 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 13:39:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x6c027e…
08-30 13:39:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x96bb72…
08-30 13:39:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xcb0724…
08-30 13:39:30	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xd2bf29…
08-30 13:39:24	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xba5113…
08-30 13:39:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xc20679…
08-30 13:39:12	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xbe5242…
08-30 13:39:04	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x018169…
08-30 13:38:55	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe78700…
08-30 13:38:46	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xaa1b3a…
08-30 13:38:37	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x149f46…
08-30 13:36:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0x25c485…
08-30 13:36:03	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0xdb7aff…
08-30 13:35:54	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$13	0x033e88…
08-23 08:38:09	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xc5c03e…
07-27 14:30:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x537a69…
07-22 02:11:42	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x38a8f1…
07-21 06:10:54	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	54	38¢	$21	0xd88315…
07-21 01:31:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x9fa098…
07-21 01:31:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0x9fa098…
07-20 20:46:51	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x483131…
07-19 14:17:55	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x7f046c…
07-19 13:09:30	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0x209fa5…
07-19 13:05:28	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	60	34¢	$21	0xd7fd50…
07-19 09:08:57	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x361eee…
07-19 03:51:51	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	63	35¢	$22	0xba95c9…
07-19 01:48:06	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	63	34¢	$21	0x4f0fa1…
07-19 00:34:58	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc97aeb…
07-18 23:15:34	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0x3c4217…
07-18 23:07:57	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0xaeb214…
07-18 18:46:31	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0xdac39f…
07-18 18:42:03	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x938588…
07-18 18:27:51	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0xbe07b2…
07-18 15:13:58	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x8f0a3d…
07-18 14:25:07	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	104	40¢	$42	0xc4ef08…
07-18 11:53:16	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0x4049d7…
07-18 11:43:13	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x3afe63…
07-18 09:52:54	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xec3921…
07-18 09:41:22	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xe42343…
07-18 09:41:22	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	48	47¢	$23	0x3a1577…
07-18 09:41:22	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3a1577…
07-18 09:36:43	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x31bbde…
07-18 08:57:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	53¢	$52	0xd91e2c…
07-18 08:23:19	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x308ce6…
07-16 21:57:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x11876b…
07-15 18:45:10	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0x4d60b8…
07-15 14:21:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	222	32¢	$71	0x9ab0fe…
07-15 14:05:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	212	40¢	$85	0x154046…
07-15 06:52:31	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x93a350…
07-15 06:52:31	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	106	43¢	$46	0x93a350…
07-15 06:31:13	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xd91428…
07-15 06:20:26	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0xfceec1…
07-14 20:59:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	44	41¢	$18	0xb08529…
07-14 20:43:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3bcadd…
07-14 20:26:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	133	41¢	$55	0x5f49db…
07-14 20:25:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x7c63ac…
07-14 18:57:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xeeb0bf…
07-14 18:54:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	195	40¢	$78	0xea862c…
07-14 18:49:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7be6ef…
07-14 13:47:11	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	129	60¢	$77	0xcbab8c…
07-14 11:37:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	118	59¢	$70	0x46eaf4…
07-14 11:34:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xef409a…
07-14 01:41:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x6eabff…
07-13 21:04:25	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x94b420…
07-13 14:36:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x76ade7…
07-13 13:23:14	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	No	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0x397abf…
07-13 06:09:38	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	No	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0xf736a3…
07-13 05:16:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0xd1f6c2…
07-13 04:50:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0xaf8f27…
07-13 00:42:10	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x360997…
07-12 22:37:53	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x070b38…
07-12 22:37:52	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf934a0…
07-12 22:37:52	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x6382fa…
07-12 02:45:43	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xeae5fc…
07-12 02:45:43	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x4e1876…
07-12 01:03:50	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x0b7016…
07-12 01:01:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xc81b16…
07-11 21:46:50	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0xe8b921…
07-11 20:47:05	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x47d9ea…
07-11 20:45:07	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x190c2a…
07-11 20:43:47	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc19a57…
07-11 20:43:34	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2817a9…
07-11 20:42:44	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x34fc5b…
07-11 19:50:14	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	52	59¢	$31	0xc24953…
07-11 19:50:14	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0xc24953…
07-11 18:35:32	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	69	15¢	$11	0xa2fa82…
07-11 18:31:32	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x41b908…
07-11 18:31:32	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x314360…
07-11 18:31:31	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x00f6bf…
07-11 01:27:11	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x33b759…
07-10 16:11:04	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x40eb0a…
07-10 16:11:02	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0xee002f…
07-09 00:38:17	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	SELL	52	70¢	$36	0xa4d629…
07-08 11:50:13	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	110	32¢	$35	0x0789c5…
07-08 11:50:13	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0x0789c5…
07-08 10:21:46	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x4848c6…
07-08 02:50:08	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	138	55¢	$76	0x168a9d…
07-08 02:30:44	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xd09b84…
07-07 11:26:49	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x557f16…
07-07 11:26:49	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x3c0bec…