Probable-Hypothesis 0xa35436…1a22eb
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$31.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$263
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-20 12:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75% — —
Crypto
21% — —
Politics
4% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -400 $-129 40¢ $-158 $-29 07-20 12:03
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +74 $41 72¢ $54 +$12 06-22 02:19
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +50 $42 88¢ $44 +$2 05-28 01:50
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 $-0 07-15 03:42
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -50 $-4 4¢ $-2 +$1 07-18 23:04
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 07-17 03:16