Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$573

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

211

Trades

1,335

lifetime

Volume

$204.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

$1.04K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-26 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

35% 53% -$283

Politics

33% 57% -$821

Crypto

15% 70% +$5,924

Tech

10% 71% +$2,107

Sports

6% 50% -$385

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$193

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	+1,000	$860	98¢	$983	+$123	07-14 12:40
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	+1,159	$730	4¢	$46	-$684	07-14 21:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5	$4	92¢	$5	+$0	08-03 17:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+84	$9	2¢	$2	-$8	07-05 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+6	$5	12¢	$1	-$4	07-02 00:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	50	$13.8K	25,906	16,227	+9,679	Yes	-$1,724	04-22 16:15
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$11.2K	7,674	7,667	+7	Yes	+$254	07-07 18:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	53	$9.8K	137,732	133,732	+4,000	No	+$2,168	06-03 21:49
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	24	$8.6K	6,872	6,648	+224	Yes	+$2,541	04-14 20:05
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	7	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	-0	Yes	+$18	04-23 16:45
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	23	$6.0K	3,474	3,474	+0	Yes	+$542	03-24 20:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	23	$5.8K	3,278	3,278	+0	Yes	+$255	04-12 22:19
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	+$24	06-07 23:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$5.2K	3,135	3,135	+0	Yes	+$92	04-23 18:38
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$5.2K	2,892	2,892	+0	Yes	+$480	06-07 23:45
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	8	$4.7K	8,734	8,734	+0	No	-$978	06-03 15:53
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$4.1K	3,774	3,774	+0	Yes	+$1,296	10-26 22:25
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$4.0K	7,018	7,009	+8	No	+$201	05-18 00:16
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$12	04-23 16:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	27	$3.8K	8,644	8,644	+0	No	-$265	04-29 14:20
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	8	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$275	03-23 20:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$3.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$300	04-15 20:23
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	27	$3.6K	1,864	1,864	+0	Yes	+$111	06-09 06:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$3.2K	3,008	3,008	+0	Yes	+$66	04-10 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$3.0K	6,025	0	+6,025	No	+$28	07-07 14:15
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	6	$2.9K	1,562	1,667	-105	No	+$142	07-15 15:40
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.7K	2,526	2,526	+0	Yes	+$40	02-10 14:35
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?	3	$2.7K	1,408	1,407	+1	Yes	+$71	04-26 02:56
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$2.5K	1,011	2,000	-988	Yes	-$11	04-22 19:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$2.4K	1,928	1,928	+0	Yes	+$32	04-11 00:28
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,416	926	+489	open	—	09-21 09:14
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	63	$2.2K	20,953	14,384	+6,569	Yes	-$365	04-03 01:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$2.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$120	03-20 17:10
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	12	$2.1K	7,740	7,455	+285	Yes	-$1,566	04-29 02:20
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	10	$1.9K	1,261	1,261	+0	Yes	+$367	06-08 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:25:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,764	71¢	$1,251	0xd60846…
10-26 22:24:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x0dd0ea…
10-26 22:24:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x919f30…
10-26 22:24:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,882	71¢	$1,340	0xd35010…
10-12 17:13:59	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2257b9…
10-12 17:12:18	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc4f9da…
10-12 15:54:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xddb2e4…
10-09 18:31:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	163	63¢	$102	0x10c44b…
10-09 18:21:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	919	64¢	$584	0xbf26e8…
10-09 18:11:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	260	65¢	$169	0x6a373c…
09-28 13:37:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb528fb…
09-21 09:14:05	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	SELL	916	99¢	$905	0x02afdd…
09-18 08:57:25	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb42395…
08-04 08:18:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x7a0000…
08-04 04:12:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b29e1…
08-03 17:59:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x93d32f…
08-02 16:35:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	SELL	3,840	0¢	$4	0x69cb35…
07-28 05:10:54	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0xd51d0e…
07-28 03:37:51	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	153	79¢	$121	0x56d791…
07-28 03:37:15	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	177	77¢	$136	0xb2daa3…
07-28 03:34:01	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	BUY	4,218	13¢	$529	0xb7abc5…
07-24 18:49:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd63d63…
07-23 13:11:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	398	5¢	$20	0x705dc6…
07-23 00:17:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	108	89¢	$96	0x1d928e…
07-23 00:17:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	633	87¢	$551	0x8f9158…
07-22 23:58:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0cd862…
07-22 23:54:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7d0895…
07-22 12:57:12	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	104	9¢	$9	0xb62a4c…
07-22 05:36:49	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x2dccbe…
07-22 05:35:36	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x7f4d8a…
07-22 05:35:27	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xe7a928…
07-21 18:00:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xba82e0…
07-19 23:31:28	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	81	92¢	$74	0xbd9abd…
07-19 23:22:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0x2d0ffa…
07-19 23:22:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	121	38¢	$46	0xa5d948…
07-19 23:11:40	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	162	91¢	$148	0xb775ec…
07-19 22:34:36	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa34da7…
07-19 22:33:46	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	270	38¢	$102	0xa7c74e…
07-19 22:16:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xd22d85…
07-19 21:43:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0xaf82e7…
07-19 20:28:03	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe4b15c…
07-19 20:27:57	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf3c0f9…
07-19 20:27:52	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x593ce2…
07-19 20:26:34	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x36990a…
07-19 20:26:21	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	160	10¢	$15	0x8477ec…
07-19 20:24:03	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1a1ea4…
07-19 20:23:58	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8669fd…
07-19 20:18:52	will vogue be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922775	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xdb2335…
07-19 20:18:01	will 4 minutes be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922779	No	BUY	126	99¢	$124	0x34f939…
07-19 18:49:57	will hips dont lie be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922772	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x61305d…
07-19 18:49:39	will hips dont lie be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922772	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xbaca1a…
07-19 18:35:27	will 4 minutes be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922779	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8fff14…
07-19 18:21:31	will hips dont lie be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922772	Yes	BUY	140	44¢	$62	0x86ed6b…
07-19 18:21:31	will hips dont lie be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922772	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x397202…
07-19 18:21:31	will hips dont lie be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922772	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2d6de5…
07-19 18:09:07	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	No	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0xffbe53…
07-19 17:36:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,887	17¢	$319	0x9d144f…
07-19 13:19:54	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd189d4…
07-19 00:45:24	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xc32786…
07-18 03:40:51	will vogue be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922775	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6c1b25…
07-18 03:38:00	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x8d53fd…
07-18 03:24:57	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	318	20¢	$65	0xc64b35…
07-18 02:25:31	will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x990856…
07-18 02:25:07	will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x08dbf5…
07-18 02:23:55	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	780	81¢	$635	0xa73533…
07-18 00:47:39	will a sky full of stars be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922786	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$25	0x4aa113…
07-17 23:46:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,117	3¢	$38	0x02c4a3…
07-17 21:49:24	will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x754e9c…
07-17 21:44:15	Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x0a49ed…
07-17 16:02:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,269	8¢	$99	0x8191df…
07-17 16:02:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	933	8¢	$72	0x97d440…
07-17 13:07:45	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	129	81¢	$105	0x010b9a…
07-16 21:07:08	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x0c6a32…
07-16 17:54:38	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x47a38c…
07-16 17:54:34	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xba1e5d…
07-16 17:54:11	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xccdf3e…
07-16 17:54:10	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0x4678b4…
07-16 17:49:25	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	56	33¢	$18	0xbf5a13…
07-16 17:49:25	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0x393b40…
07-16 17:42:41	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	Yes	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0xdfbfe0…
07-16 17:37:38	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x89d033…
07-16 17:37:38	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	187	33¢	$62	0x5d00dd…
07-16 10:39:29	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x03e9d8…
07-16 00:19:01	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd079fd…
07-15 21:45:50	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	212	96¢	$204	0xd6c5f2…
07-15 20:35:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	477	63¢	$301	0x2c12f2…
07-15 19:46:11	will the announcers say what a save during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905976	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3e986c…
07-15 19:34:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,117	4¢	$48	0x614dcc…
07-15 19:34:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,155	9¢	$101	0x5c0644…
07-15 19:16:59	will the announcers say hand of god during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905969	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe67c50…
07-15 18:55:49	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	167	96¢	$161	0x10057d…
07-15 18:41:35	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x98f830…
07-15 15:55:53	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x9ac205…
07-15 15:51:35	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	990	22¢	$218	0xe93541…
07-15 15:40:53	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,667	90¢	$1,499	0xd3d440…
07-15 15:34:49	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	92¢	$376	0xa5f572…
07-15 15:33:10	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1,017	88¢	$895	0xc49d53…
07-15 15:31:44	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	92¢	$468	0xa9d768…
07-15 15:31:35	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	90¢	$92	0x30f143…
07-15 15:31:35	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	90¢	$322	0x2638d4…