Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$318

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,393 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.8K

$217.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-06 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Politics

36% 56% -$1,834

Other

34% 54% -$213

Crypto

14% 70% +$5,924

Tech

10% 71% +$2,107

Sports

6% 50% -$385

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$193

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	11-04 15:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+84	$9	2¢	$2	-$8	07-05 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+6	$5	10¢	$1	-$4	07-02 00:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	50	$13.8K	25,906	16,227	+9,679	Yes	-$1,724	04-22 16:15
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$11.2K	7,674	7,667	+7	Yes	+$254	07-07 18:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	53	$9.8K	137,732	133,732	+4,000	No	+$2,168	06-03 21:49
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	24	$8.6K	6,872	6,648	+224	Yes	+$2,541	04-14 20:05
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	7	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	-0	Yes	+$18	04-23 16:45
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	23	$6.0K	3,474	3,474	+0	Yes	+$542	03-24 20:12
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$5.8K	6,284	0	+6,284	No	+$492	10-27 20:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	23	$5.8K	3,278	3,278	+0	Yes	+$255	04-12 22:19
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	+$24	06-07 23:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$5.2K	3,135	3,135	+0	Yes	+$92	04-23 18:38
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$5.2K	2,892	2,892	+0	Yes	+$480	06-07 23:45
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	8	$4.7K	8,734	8,734	+0	No	-$978	06-03 15:53
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$4.1K	3,774	3,774	+0	Yes	+$1,296	10-26 22:25
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$4.0K	7,018	7,009	+8	No	+$201	05-18 00:16
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$12	04-23 16:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$3.9K	2,150	2,150	+0	open	—	11-06 03:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	27	$3.8K	8,644	8,644	+0	No	-$265	04-29 14:20
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	8	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$275	03-23 20:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$3.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$300	04-15 20:23
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	27	$3.6K	1,864	1,864	+0	Yes	+$111	06-09 06:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$3.2K	3,008	3,008	+0	Yes	+$66	04-10 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$3.0K	6,025	0	+6,025	No	+$28	07-07 14:15
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	6	$2.9K	1,562	1,667	-105	No	+$142	07-15 15:40
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.7K	2,526	2,526	+0	Yes	+$40	02-10 14:35
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	5	$2.7K	1,416	1,416	+0	open	—	11-02 16:28
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?	3	$2.7K	1,408	1,407	+1	Yes	+$71	04-26 02:56
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$2.7K	3,947	0	+3,947	Yes	-$763	10-27 20:11
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$2.5K	1,011	2,000	-988	Yes	-$11	04-22 19:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$2.4K	1,928	1,928	+0	Yes	+$32	04-11 00:28
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	63	$2.2K	20,953	14,384	+6,569	Yes	-$365	04-03 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:43:00	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,659	98¢	$1,619	0x6e43a1…
11-06 02:11:42	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	491	98¢	$480	0x05a0fd…
11-04 15:16:57	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb64cba…
11-04 14:21:45	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,150	85¢	$1,827	0x347d87…
11-04 02:13:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	424	0¢	$2	0x7c2269…
11-04 01:54:43	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	292	77¢	$223	0x7d6a8b…
11-04 01:54:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x896f46…
11-04 01:54:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x47bdd1…
11-04 01:48:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x0bfe63…
11-04 01:48:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xfb83eb…
11-04 01:48:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xc368db…
11-04 01:48:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x8ea568…
11-04 01:48:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x08c0d8…
11-04 01:47:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x9847ab…
11-04 01:47:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x8b3c33…
11-04 01:47:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x36aa18…
11-04 01:47:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xe6e661…
11-04 01:47:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x391611…
11-04 01:47:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdc86a5…
11-04 01:47:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xa8c709…
11-04 01:47:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xa7e733…
11-04 01:47:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x492f7e…
11-04 01:47:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x17aea6…
11-04 01:47:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xad570e…
11-04 01:47:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	2¢	$6	0x61f05e…
11-04 01:47:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x01e99c…
11-04 01:47:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x005efd…
11-04 01:19:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9c94fd…
11-04 01:18:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xfd7015…
11-04 01:17:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xa346d5…
11-04 01:17:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x2e9b10…
11-04 01:17:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	616	4¢	$25	0xb60a41…
11-03 21:24:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	190	22¢	$43	0xb0c9a1…
11-03 21:23:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4391a6…
11-03 21:21:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x425256…
11-03 21:20:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe987e2…
11-03 21:17:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	208	22¢	$47	0x50205c…
11-02 18:53:25	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0xa2942d…
11-02 16:28:10	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	SELL	489	97¢	$477	0x43ed02…
10-28 14:24:43	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x11da05…
10-28 14:23:37	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbd6ccb…
10-27 20:25:50	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	459	91¢	$420	0x46a620…
10-27 20:25:44	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,135	92¢	$1,038	0x2f2570…
10-27 20:25:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,165	92¢	$1,066	0x44d39c…
10-27 20:25:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	223	92¢	$204	0x1aff22…
10-27 20:25:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	303	92¢	$277	0xbdc27d…
10-27 20:11:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,497	57¢	$853	0x558f37…
10-27 20:11:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xe2b01b…
10-27 20:11:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	178	57¢	$102	0x3af8f1…
10-27 20:08:03	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,313	91¢	$1,199	0x1ba241…
10-27 20:07:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	239	91¢	$218	0x6b8595…
10-27 20:07:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x9dc325…
10-27 20:07:35	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	228	91¢	$208	0xd10f75…
10-27 20:03:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	247	57¢	$141	0x5a0f54…
10-27 19:57:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x9058d3…
10-27 19:56:27	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x093021…
10-27 19:56:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4143af…
10-27 19:56:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x9a8d8e…
10-27 19:55:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xa05405…
10-27 19:55:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x23fe01…
10-27 19:55:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x14ae3f…
10-27 19:54:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x9555e1…
10-27 19:54:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xedc4a5…
10-27 19:54:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	480	80¢	$384	0x9b64b8…
10-27 19:53:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe7e534…
10-27 19:52:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	542	80¢	$434	0xa15908…
10-27 19:50:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$961	0xfa82ca…
10-26 22:25:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,764	71¢	$1,251	0xd60846…
10-26 22:24:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x0dd0ea…
10-26 22:24:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x919f30…
10-26 22:24:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,882	71¢	$1,340	0xd35010…
10-12 17:13:59	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2257b9…
10-12 17:12:18	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc4f9da…
10-12 15:54:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xddb2e4…
10-09 18:31:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	163	63¢	$102	0x10c44b…
10-09 18:21:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	919	64¢	$584	0xbf26e8…
10-09 18:11:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	260	65¢	$169	0x6a373c…
09-28 13:37:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb528fb…
09-21 09:14:05	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	SELL	916	99¢	$905	0x02afdd…
09-18 08:57:25	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb42395…
08-04 08:18:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x7a0000…
08-04 04:12:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b29e1…
08-03 17:59:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x93d32f…
08-02 16:35:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	SELL	3,840	0¢	$4	0x69cb35…
07-28 05:10:54	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0xd51d0e…
07-28 03:37:51	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	153	79¢	$121	0x56d791…
07-28 03:37:15	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	177	77¢	$136	0xb2daa3…
07-28 03:34:01	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	BUY	4,218	13¢	$529	0xb7abc5…
07-24 18:49:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd63d63…
07-23 13:11:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	398	5¢	$20	0x705dc6…
07-23 00:17:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	108	89¢	$96	0x1d928e…
07-23 00:17:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	633	87¢	$551	0x8f9158…
07-22 23:58:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0cd862…
07-22 23:54:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7d0895…
07-22 12:57:12	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	104	9¢	$9	0xb62a4c…
07-22 05:36:49	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x2dccbe…
07-22 05:35:36	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x7f4d8a…
07-22 05:35:27	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xe7a928…
07-21 18:00:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xba82e0…
07-19 23:31:28	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	81	92¢	$74	0xbd9abd…