Grateful-Timer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

410

Trades

1,407

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-06 04:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

51% 38% -$421

Politics

20% 55% +$316

Sports

17% 22% -$27

Crypto

12% 55% -$132

Tech

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$995	558	558	+0	No	-$5	06-23 00:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	68	$750	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 28?	34	$662	333	333	+0	No	+$3	05-28 04:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$634	1,078	1,078	+0	No	+$8	06-15 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	22	$528	362	362	+0	No	-$17	06-27 04:47
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$518	265	265	+0	No	-$2	07-04 09:54
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	9	$452	248	218	+30	Yes	+$3	06-04 08:53
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$421	216	216	+0	No	+$1	06-28 11:48
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	8	$419	210	210	+0	No	-$1	06-05 07:31
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$414	222	222	+0	No	-$6	07-09 02:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$405	630	630	+0	No	+$325	05-23 10:03
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$402	206	206	+0	No	+$2	06-27 04:04
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$400	204	204	+0	No	$0	06-30 11:44
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	10	$319	166	166	+0	No	-$1	05-25 21:41
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	8	$297	152	152	+0	No	-$3	06-15 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?	8	$282	161	161	+0	No	+$1	06-27 04:35
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$246	140	140	+0	open	—	10-06 04:38
us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	6	$236	123	123	+0	No	-$4	06-15 01:38
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$236	121	121	+0	Yes	-$4	06-15 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?	7	$233	150	150	-0	No	-$1	06-27 04:11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$218	331	331	+0	No	-$2	07-01 08:15
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	08-29 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	40	$200	390	0	+390	Up	+$6	05-27 03:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$195	592	592	+0	Yes	-$5	06-15 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	9	$189	151	151	+0	No	-$1	07-05 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?	7	$182	135	135	+0	No	-$17	06-19 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	35	$175	419	0	+419	Down	-$61	05-27 04:04
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	4	$174	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	06-13 04:46
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	4	$148	91	61	+31	Yes	-$1	06-03 13:53
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$146	89	89	+0	Yes	+$27	05-22 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 04:38:13	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0x573877…
10-06 04:38:01	Will Felix Banaszak be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x381d26…
09-24 08:41:45	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x09a923…
09-18 11:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x386657…
09-18 11:26:51	Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x3bae3e…
09-18 11:26:34	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xb3a8e1…
09-18 11:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	No	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x154b83…
09-18 11:25:54	Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	SELL	26	82¢	$21	0xd389b6…
09-18 11:25:36	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x32c5be…
09-18 11:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	No	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0x8b2231…
09-18 11:25:09	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x443d42…
09-18 11:25:03	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xad4afd…
09-18 11:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?	No	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x75ebe3…
09-18 11:23:28	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5dba27…
09-18 11:23:28	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x283ec6…
09-18 11:22:58	Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0xa16a20…
09-18 11:22:39	Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x9207a8…
09-18 11:21:31	Will Lars Klingbeil be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xbb53a5…
09-18 11:21:24	Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xd52de1…
09-18 11:21:19	Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xb88490…
09-18 11:17:15	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xd3fff5…
09-18 11:17:07	Will Google Maps be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	SELL	44	30¢	$13	0x1fa62e…
09-18 07:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	51	42¢	$21	0x2e08f2…
09-18 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x3bbcb7…
09-18 07:24:46	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x1a0f52…
09-18 07:17:58	Will Lars Klingbeil be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1d18d3…
09-18 07:17:57	Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	BUY	26	84¢	$22	0x6a489f…
09-18 07:17:55	Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x86f758…
09-18 07:17:55	Will Felix Banaszak be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x04572d…
09-18 07:17:24	Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$21	0x4f0f04…
09-18 07:17:21	Will Google Maps be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4830b5…
09-18 07:16:52	Will Google Maps be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9df4df…
09-18 07:16:52	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x01131b…
08-29 11:32:45	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x25d464…
08-25 05:09:52	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc1b864…
07-21 12:28:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc0c38a…
07-19 07:57:51	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xc6bab0…
07-19 07:57:39	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xed8c3a…
07-19 07:57:30	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xfee2f6…
07-19 07:57:22	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x8b5797…
07-15 12:05:20	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xbfdf3e…
07-15 12:05:08	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0bc957…
07-15 12:04:58	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xdc0e8d…
07-14 06:29:17	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf3c407…
07-10 11:26:55	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x71521c…
07-10 11:26:43	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x939d9f…
07-09 11:54:44	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x778bcd…
07-09 11:54:19	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x7b8609…
07-09 11:54:02	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xb995a5…
07-09 11:53:31	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x48081b…
07-09 11:53:14	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x25e060…
07-09 11:53:07	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xcba5c9…
07-09 02:04:50	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xbe3c1c…
07-09 02:04:44	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x581787…
07-09 02:04:29	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x0b31e7…
07-09 02:04:22	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xc7f708…
07-09 02:04:13	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa341ae…
07-09 02:00:14	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	222	92¢	$204	0xab099f…
07-07 23:19:02	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x39e34f…
07-06 03:01:34	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?	Yes	SELL	78	80¢	$63	0x4c8ab0…
07-06 01:57:19	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4202e7…
07-06 01:56:46	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xa07390…
07-06 01:43:56	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x0663eb…
07-06 01:03:44	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x7a2580…
07-06 01:03:37	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x5d0944…
07-06 01:03:23	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x250bef…
07-06 01:03:16	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd4d091…
07-06 01:02:52	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4a5a43…
07-06 01:02:31	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xd01ccc…
07-06 01:02:07	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb647d9…
07-05 01:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	67	63¢	$42	0x451d68…
07-05 01:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	67	61¢	$41	0x43547c…
07-05 01:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xd8f879…
07-05 00:55:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x06fc93…
07-05 00:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x05b8e2…
07-05 00:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xc8f370…
07-05 00:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xc5412d…
07-05 00:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x10c63a…
07-05 00:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x1fd181…
07-05 00:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x584d49…
07-05 00:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x3b5024…
07-05 00:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5520d6…
07-05 00:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x59bd72…
07-04 10:49:17	Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xa31bcb…
07-04 10:49:07	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa4128f…
07-04 10:48:58	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbd9ff6…
07-04 10:48:44	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf1bc39…
07-04 09:54:04	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	265	97¢	$258	0x5c9320…
07-04 08:23:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x25ecb4…
07-04 05:37:08	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xf47ee7…
07-04 01:21:14	Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x55f3a0…
07-04 01:20:17	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x3774c3…
07-04 01:20:02	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x7f65f9…
07-04 01:19:55	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7f591c…
07-04 01:19:41	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xb7c43d…
07-04 00:13:13	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x6af396…
07-03 12:07:02	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x72dd8e…
07-03 12:06:55	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x006539…
07-03 12:06:47	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x900d66…
07-02 13:30:01	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd59eef…