Novel-Chronicle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

121

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$870

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-25 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 36% +$12

Other

44% 34% -$32

Politics

7% 36% -$8

Sports

3% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$51	86	86	+0	Yes	-$14	02-01 11:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:00 UTC	3	$40	32	19	+13	Up	-$1	01-26 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:00 UTC	7	$36	34	33	+0	Up	-$1	01-28 00:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:15 UTC	6	$33	59	21	+38	Up	+$5	01-26 16:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:30 UTC	4	$26	29	12	+17	Down	-$2	01-26 16:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:00 UTC	4	$24	35	11	+24	Down	-$2	01-26 23:15
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	3	$24	36	36	+0	Yes	+$14	01-26 16:06
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	3	$22	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	01-28 22:31
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 rso	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	01-18 22:07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$20	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	05-30 06:01
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$19	27	27	+0	Yes	+$10	01-27 19:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	3	$18	29	29	+0	Yes	+$2	06-22 22:47
will ethereum dip to 2800 january 19 25	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	01-25 20:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	01-28 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 13:00 UTC	4	$15	25	7	+17	Up	$0	01-28 13:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 22:30 UTC	3	$13	19	6	+13	Down	-$1	01-28 22:45
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	01-27 19:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 17:45 UTC	2	$13	25	0	+25	Up	$0	01-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$13	18	5	+13	Up	+$2	05-29 14:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:45 UTC	2	$12	32	0	+32	Down	+$8	01-26 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	05-29 14:02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	5	$12	14	10	+4	No	-$1	05-30 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$11	15	11	+3	Up	+$1	05-30 17:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:00 UTC	4	$11	9	5	+4	Up	-$1	01-26 23:15
lal rso cel 2026 01 25 rso	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	01-25 19:33
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	5	$11	38	0	+38	No	-$11	01-29 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	3	$11	14	9	+5	No	-$1	06-22 22:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:15 UTC	6	$11	14	10	+3	Up	-$5	01-26 23:30
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	1	$10	13	0	+13	WW Team	-$10	05-29 14:30
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	05-30 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 17:18:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0xa1a9aa…
06-25 17:17:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xa9a11d…
06-24 23:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf8c6c1…
06-24 23:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcab375…
06-23 17:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5220ba…
06-23 17:40:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x55a935…
06-23 17:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x15f255…
06-23 17:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xb19259…
06-22 22:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc53a3f…
06-22 22:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe622f1…
06-22 22:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xa5afc5…
06-22 22:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xeafc33…
06-22 22:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x7be654…
06-20 10:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xe36ab1…
06-20 10:00:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x6d17ef…
06-18 12:58:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x7c9f4a…
06-18 12:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x908067…
06-18 12:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xe0a7f5…
06-16 11:52:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x4eaeb9…
06-16 11:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdca4ca…
06-10 22:28:51	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfefb6c…
06-10 22:28:45	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x74db52…
06-02 14:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x647fcc…
06-02 14:22:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc86d70…
06-02 14:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x5004c1…
06-02 14:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x5654f3…
05-30 17:25:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x4d75cf…
05-30 17:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcf30a0…
05-30 17:21:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf77f15…
05-30 17:20:53	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x177aff…
05-30 17:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3046bc…
05-30 17:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x48d7ce…
05-30 17:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x593e23…
05-30 17:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6288f3…
05-30 17:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x78ba34…
05-30 17:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x6d4df0…
05-30 17:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xc914fb…
05-30 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x540e92…
05-30 17:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x696745…
05-30 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x07d938…
05-30 17:07:50	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x360109…
05-30 17:05:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xff6f67…
05-30 16:09:15	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaee786…
05-30 16:08:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x04fa15…
05-30 14:04:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2cce37…
05-30 14:04:07	Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xed356c…
05-30 14:00:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x2d4ac5…
05-30 14:00:39	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x013bc3…
05-30 14:00:35	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xce24e9…
05-30 06:02:07	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x0c0df7…
05-30 06:01:46	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xf2301d…
05-29 14:30:28	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1472f8…
05-29 14:21:31	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x8e17c7…
05-29 14:20:59	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1797b2…
05-29 14:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x26d19e…
05-29 14:14:17	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x301b2c…
05-29 14:08:48	Will Andorra win on 2026-05-29?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4d4a16…
05-29 14:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x480854…
05-29 14:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x607ae7…
05-29 14:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7b19a8…
05-29 14:02:54	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb112cc…
05-29 14:02:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x215a71…
05-29 10:36:56	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9cb55a…
05-29 10:34:55	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xe23a28…
05-29 10:31:27	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc28043…
05-29 10:30:10	Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdddd4a…
05-29 10:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf4cf5f…
05-29 10:24:36	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2ed57d…
05-29 10:19:12	Will Andorra win on 2026-05-29?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe327fc…
05-29 10:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa69153…
05-29 10:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xf4400c…
05-29 10:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x7eb52a…
05-29 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x95cf60…
05-29 09:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x1a2fdb…
05-29 09:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd81910…
05-29 09:56:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x42d586…
05-29 09:55:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc492a2…
05-29 09:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa0c444…
05-29 09:44:35	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x43fd2e…
02-05 10:29:45	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x731708…
02-05 10:29:31	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xd6c0e9…
02-05 10:29:25	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x1674bb…
02-04 09:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe4f7ed…
02-03 13:31:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5a9a15…
02-03 09:09:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x56e873…
02-03 09:07:20	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x023e13…
02-03 09:07:12	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a6060…
02-03 09:03:52	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbc4b2b…
02-03 09:03:00	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x220104…
02-03 09:02:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x5db5eb…
02-02 08:01:14	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3f58d3…
02-02 08:00:52	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x68e958…
02-01 21:54:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x34eaba…
02-01 21:54:04	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1fa7eb…
02-01 21:53:34	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xbb4c10…
02-01 11:28:40	earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 mobile 1 times	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x534e6c…
02-01 11:28:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x47db4b…
01-31 22:58:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xf784ee…
01-31 17:39:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x179200…
01-31 17:39:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x61413c…