Rubbery-Carbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$491

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

109

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$4.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-29 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 68% -$399

Other

4% 47% -$57

Politics

1% 0% -$37

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No		+377	$34	8¢	$28	-$6	10-29 22:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 4am et	2	$268	157	156	+2	Up	+$45	03-18 09:01
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3am et	2	$253	169	167	+3	Down	+$71	03-18 07:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 07:45 UTC	2	$252	165	163	+3	Up	+$76	03-11 08:00
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 5am et	2	$251	153	151	+2	Up	+$53	03-18 09:59
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1am et	4	$198	147	147	+0	Down	+$27	06-21 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:00 UTC	2	$195	130	128	+2	Up	+$47	03-18 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	2	$172	119	117	+2	Up	+$53	03-18 08:08
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	2	$114	143	142	+2	Down	-$86	03-18 11:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	2	$114	64	64	+0	Down	+$14	03-18 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	3	$113	175	175	+0	Down	-$74	06-01 05:26
bitcoin up or down march 2 1am et	2	$113	58	58	+0	Down	+$2	03-02 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 07:45 UTC	2	$108	58	58	+0	Up	+$8	03-18 08:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-16 00:00 UTC	1	$102	154	0	+154	Up	-$102	04-16 00:17
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 6am et	1	$100	149	0	+149	Down	-$100	03-18 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	1	$100	133	0	+133	Down	-$100	03-11 08:01
bitcoin up or down march 13 4am et	1	$99	152	0	+152	Up	-$99	03-13 08:03
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	1	$90	103	0	+103	Down	+$13	04-15 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	2	$84	54	53	+1	Down	+$21	03-18 08:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:40 UTC	2	$66	43	43	+0	Down	+$7	03-18 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:45 UTC	1	$61	110	0	+110	Down	-$61	03-18 11:35
bitcoin up or down march 2 2am et	1	$58	122	0	+122	Down	-$58	03-02 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$55	31	31	+0	Down	+$5	06-01 03:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:30 UTC	1	$52	55	0	+55	Up	+$3	03-01 13:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC	1	$51	108	0	+108	Up	-$51	03-12 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:00 UTC	1	$50	80	0	+80	Up	+$30	03-18 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:45 UTC	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	03-18 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:35 UTC	1	$50	91	0	+91	Down	-$50	03-18 11:32
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	1	$49	82	0	+82	Down	-$49	03-11 08:05
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 05:02
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 3pm et	2	$39	24	24	+0	Up	+$8	06-20 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:17:30	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	377	9¢	$34	0xbca1d6…
10-07 08:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x5ae5c5…
10-07 08:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xd6278e…
10-07 08:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x8edfed…
09-25 05:14:42	wta volynet birrell 2026 09 24	Kimberly Birrell	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x27bb8a…
08-28 10:26:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x2578d6…
08-28 10:26:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x21dba8…
08-28 10:26:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	97	11¢	$11	0xb37083…
08-27 10:31:10	will ethereum reach 2900 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x840f0c…
07-07 07:50:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x012c1b…
06-29 06:17:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8c086a…
06-21 06:03:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x51bfaf…
06-21 06:02:53	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x97bc54…
06-21 05:48:31	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0x69fb4a…
06-21 05:47:49	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1,016	3¢	$30	0x7e5a0b…
06-21 05:46:22	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	77	55¢	$42	0xa564da…
06-21 04:59:25	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	77	48¢	$37	0xf71cd0…
06-21 04:45:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x298b67…
06-21 04:30:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x4f9866…
06-20 19:53:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0x3dda26…
06-20 19:52:38	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xebc2b6…
06-20 19:03:58	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x86f0cf…
06-20 06:04:35	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x900dec…
06-20 06:03:55	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x79a0a1…
06-20 05:54:07	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x47be76…
06-18 20:58:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x9d4593…
06-17 20:53:08	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xb605f7…
06-13 09:39:55	atp mannari minaur 2026 06 13	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	82	20¢	$16	0x5201a7…
06-01 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x8a6b12…
06-01 05:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	27	75¢	$21	0x3dff0b…
06-01 05:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x9e1f3d…
06-01 05:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xfc0a1e…
06-01 05:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x7f53e7…
06-01 05:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2635a7…
06-01 05:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf632e6…
06-01 05:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x5f74d8…
06-01 05:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0xc0adf2…
06-01 05:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	175	11¢	$19	0x83e5d8…
06-01 03:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	160	54¢	$86	0x6914c5…
06-01 03:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3df11f…
06-01 03:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x3f175d…
06-01 03:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xda9615…
06-01 03:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x2fa06d…
06-01 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x738f1f…
05-24 04:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0x001ad3…
05-23 21:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	23	54¢	$13	0x4ce9eb…
04-21 06:26:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-21 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x574ff8…
04-16 00:17:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-16 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	154	67¢	$102	0xcc0215…
04-15 21:37:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	103	87¢	$90	0xb738a1…
03-31 06:50:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	234	3¢	$7	0x8cdf44…
03-30 07:21:34	atp broady uchida 2026 03 29	Liam Broady	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xa967f7…
03-30 07:08:22	solana up or down march 30 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x40dc81…
03-30 06:24:10	solana up or down march 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x78b0e3…
03-28 21:22:02	dogecoin up or down march 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa7d3bb…
03-28 05:52:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x45a707…
03-27 19:29:55	ethereum up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9a83a1…
03-26 11:49:43	solana up or down march 26 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x33e06e…
03-25 20:00:23	snhl zsc lug 2026 03 25	ZSC Lions	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xe7c2d9…
03-25 19:59:43	wta rybakin pegula 2026 03 25	Elena Rybakina	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x327b26…
03-25 19:14:27	wta rybakin pegula 2026 03 25	Elena Rybakina	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x999275…
03-18 11:35:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	110	55¢	$61	0x1e39da…
03-18 11:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x231347…
03-18 11:31:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	142	10¢	$14	0xfd6d60…
03-18 10:12:29	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x417e40…
03-18 10:12:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	128	94¢	$120	0x54bb33…
03-18 10:00:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	130	58¢	$75	0xb2fd12…
03-18 09:59:27	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x506044…
03-18 09:22:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8ffdd9…
03-18 09:08:03	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x1911be…
03-18 09:01:31	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x2a402b…
03-18 09:01:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x3adc9b…
03-18 09:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x19397a…
03-18 08:56:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xec19b2…
03-18 08:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x9bf445…
03-18 08:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0x2d598a…
03-18 08:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:40 UTC	Down	SELL	43	84¢	$36	0x7d5a31…
03-18 08:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xff403f…
03-18 08:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5cdac0…
03-18 08:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x08461b…
03-18 08:08:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	117	96¢	$112	0xe45e90…
03-18 08:08:17	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	157	71¢	$112	0x39d1ea…
03-18 08:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x3e9869…
03-18 07:51:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	119	51¢	$60	0xa57822…
03-18 07:50:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xfc8d3f…
03-18 07:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xf7dd86…
03-18 07:48:43	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	167	96¢	$160	0xd279d3…
03-18 07:16:25	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	169	55¢	$92	0x8313a5…
03-16 05:16:07	ethereum up or down march 16 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x76703f…
03-16 05:02:27	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4d39ce…
03-15 21:49:55	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1204ae…
03-15 06:48:17	xrp up or down march 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xcc823d…
03-14 21:09:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xf2d77f…
03-14 21:09:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x0a0efb…
03-14 08:09:31	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-14 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x8b8934…
03-14 08:05:11	ethereum up or down march 14 2am et	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x542c84…
03-14 06:20:59	ethereum up or down march 14 2am et	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x715133…
03-14 06:12:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xafd55b…
03-13 08:03:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 4am et	Down	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0xb4c1ae…
03-12 16:53:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	108	47¢	$51	0x4534ca…
03-12 14:27:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0xd65b01…