Courageous-Input — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

496

Trades

523

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-30 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 75% -$29

Other

22% 62% -$56

Politics

20% 86% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$111	61	61	+0	Yes	+$11	09-21 03:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-08 17:47
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	6	$95	99	3	+96	Spain	+$3	07-19 22:01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$86	93	0	+93	Yes	+$7	07-07 18:00
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	2	$76	40	40	+0	No	$0	10-28 10:36
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	10-06 03:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	10-29 13:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	1	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$1	10-11 04:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	10-23 03:41
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	2	$51	71	71	+0	No	-$49	09-22 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	10-27 07:57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	2	$42	23	23	+0	Vitality	+$0	10-11 17:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	10-13 08:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	10-12 09:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$1	10-12 09:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	1	$29	30	0	+30	Yes	+$1	10-27 07:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	10-22 10:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-30 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	10-11 10:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	10-02 05:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$16	61	0	+61	Down	-$16	05-01 12:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-02 06:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$2	10-02 05:13
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 02:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	05-01 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$14	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	05-01 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	05-01 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	05-01 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$13	17	0	+17	Down	+$4	05-01 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-01 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:53:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xddbbad…
10-29 13:58:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xbad141…
10-28 10:36:53	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x0783ad…
10-28 09:20:28	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x61d469…
10-28 03:16:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xbaebf6…
10-27 13:26:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xaabf0b…
10-27 07:57:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x07d196…
10-27 07:56:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbb6950…
10-23 03:41:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x95122d…
10-22 10:45:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xda1970…
10-22 10:45:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe40635…
10-14 18:56:28	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbcd743…
10-14 17:48:15	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14	Legacy	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x421cbd…
10-13 08:01:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x1cbbc0…
10-13 02:40:47	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc89a3e…
10-12 10:01:14	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6030c4…
10-12 09:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x681962…
10-12 09:03:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x47e9e4…
10-11 17:32:43	cs2 vit mouz 2026 10 11	Vitality	SELL	23	95¢	$21	0xd48f8f…
10-11 17:01:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xec577e…
10-11 10:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf97c26…
10-11 04:35:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x5e71a9…
10-08 17:47:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1b8bd7…
10-07 14:40:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x73e5ba…
10-06 03:03:46	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x04f1a5…
10-05 16:42:05	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc031bd…
10-02 06:02:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd90fb9…
10-02 05:16:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x508c6e…
10-02 05:13:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xa6058d…
09-30 05:50:27	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9a2a31…
09-30 05:49:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3a38c8…
09-30 05:49:29	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6bf7b2…
09-30 05:48:39	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05a9a1…
09-22 15:10:06	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x813d0b…
09-21 08:41:21	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x6426e7…
09-21 03:33:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xf863af…
09-20 04:54:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x787532…
09-16 02:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x125b29…
09-16 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x755a38…
09-15 19:23:49	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x4aff65…
09-15 19:22:51	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x40c459…
08-20 16:53:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd0aba8…
08-20 16:52:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9c2df5…
07-19 22:01:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0xa5bec0…
07-19 21:43:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x98ebb9…
07-19 21:36:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe786bf…
07-19 21:27:13	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6b2f45…
07-19 19:52:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xeb5741…
07-19 19:48:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x813348…
07-19 19:33:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbd503a…
07-19 19:22:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7a68e9…
07-19 19:20:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e05ea…
07-16 16:24:13	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	England	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6132e0…
07-11 16:07:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf1cb9d…
07-07 18:56:49	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	India	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc343a5…
07-07 18:00:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	91	94¢	$85	0x85d865…
07-07 17:31:34	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa6ae19…
07-07 16:59:41	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaa4b58…
07-07 16:59:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb81721…
07-05 16:07:43	crint gbr3 aus2 2026 07 05	Australia	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xebbd20…
07-03 16:19:59	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x23f457…
07-03 16:18:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1c1a51…
07-03 16:18:16	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x597dc3…
07-03 16:17:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc2e522…
07-02 16:09:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xff9385…
07-01 17:23:32	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe00dce…
07-01 15:47:49	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdd5a7f…
06-30 09:23:31	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x452afa…
06-29 11:17:56	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa444f6…
06-29 10:46:22	atp shapova busta 2026 06 29	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcaa85f…
06-29 10:45:16	atp trungel damm 2026 06 29	Martin Damm	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xead4eb…
06-29 08:44:10	wta sawangk chwalin 2026 06 29	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xba7c78…
06-29 08:26:19	France to score first vs. Sweden?	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xf0c994…
06-27 19:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4b0cb6…
06-03 17:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xaecf05…
06-03 17:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7449e0…
06-03 16:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf9642d…
06-03 16:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x5184f2…
06-03 16:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xae7e87…
06-03 16:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 4?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6a15fe…
06-03 11:45:16	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf0fa59…
06-03 11:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xdc641c…
06-03 11:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe418f4…
06-03 11:40:10	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd8327f…
06-03 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7ed411…
06-03 11:35:24	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x86d455…
06-03 11:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x16dc6c…
06-03 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x55bb21…
06-03 11:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc704b2…
06-03 11:25:43	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1796d1…
06-03 11:00:16	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e280d…
06-03 07:04:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 4?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x1514f5…
06-03 06:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb46f89…
06-03 06:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x6cfc20…
06-03 00:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8f97bf…
06-03 00:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x66670c…
06-03 00:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x0eb252…
06-03 00:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 3?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe32e7d…
06-03 00:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 3?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x46e8cb…
06-03 00:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf9d90c…