Shocking-Residue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

413

Trades

3,483

lifetime

Volume

$241.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$61

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-02 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 73% $-34

Tech

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-214	$-20	29¢	$-61	$-41	05-28 23:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	13	$5.8K	5,167	5,167	+0	open	—	06-11 22:56
btc updown 5m 1771817100	1	$1.3K	1,445	0	+1,445	open	—	02-23 03:30
btc updown 5m 1771881900	1	$1.3K	1,395	0	+1,395	open	—	02-23 21:30
btc updown 5m 1771862700	1	$1.3K	1,304	0	+1,304	open	—	02-23 16:10
btc updown 5m 1771795200	1	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	02-22 21:25
btc updown 5m 1771927500	1	$1.2K	1,237	0	+1,237	open	—	02-24 10:10
btc updown 5m 1771836000	1	$1.2K	1,224	0	+1,224	open	—	02-23 08:45
btc updown 5m 1771890300	1	$1.2K	1,224	0	+1,224	open	—	02-23 23:50
btc updown 5m 1771755000	1	$1.2K	1,263	0	+1,263	open	—	02-22 10:15
btc updown 5m 1771977000	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-24 23:55
btc updown 5m 1772011500	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-25 09:30
btc updown 5m 1771997100	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-25 05:30
btc updown 5m 1771993800	41	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-25 04:35
btc updown 5m 1771972200	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-24 22:35
btc updown 5m 1771857600	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-23 14:45
btc updown 5m 1771822500	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-23 05:00
btc updown 5m 1771777800	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-22 16:35
btc updown 5m 1771794600	1	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-22 21:15
btc updown 5m 1771971600	28	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	02-24 22:26
btc updown 5m 1771978800	5	$1.2K	1,191	0	+1,191	open	—	02-25 00:25
btc updown 5m 1772055900	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	02-25 21:49
btc updown 5m 1772056800	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	02-25 22:04
btc updown 5m 1771747500	1	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-22 08:10
btc updown 5m 1771559700	1	$959	969	0	+969	open	—	02-20 04:00
btc updown 5m 1771573500	1	$956	989	0	+989	open	—	02-20 07:50
btc updown 5m 1771634700	1	$950	969	0	+969	open	—	02-21 00:50
btc updown 5m 1771641000	1	$950	969	0	+969	open	—	02-21 02:35
btc updown 5m 1771650300	1	$949	1,117	0	+1,117	open	—	02-21 05:10
btc updown 5m 1771248600	6	$949	959	0	+959	open	—	02-16 13:35
btc updown 5m 1771195500	4	$949	959	0	+959	open	—	02-15 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 23:49:17	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x84bc0e…
07-02 23:48:43	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	SELL	58	76¢	$44	0x2d436c…
07-02 23:48:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	SELL	110	66¢	$73	0xe19068…
07-02 19:49:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x96a8d3…
07-02 19:18:05	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	144	99¢	$142	0x14c9e5…
07-02 18:54:23	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xd1f2ed…
07-02 18:53:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners first half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x3b9300…
07-02 18:34:10	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x3edda2…
07-02 18:16:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3c892c…
07-02 18:14:10	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x359839…
07-02 17:54:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x20c1dc…
07-02 17:10:38	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	268	92¢	$247	0x04e881…
07-02 17:08:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc96370…
07-02 17:08:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x33071f…
07-02 17:08:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2a5a2f…
07-02 17:07:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x96c65b…
07-02 17:07:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x205ce3…
07-02 16:21:35	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0xbe0663…
07-02 16:20:35	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x78d430…
07-02 16:19:11	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x50c0fb…
07-02 16:18:23	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa66fd7…
07-02 16:14:53	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x773209…
07-02 16:14:17	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xbcd060…
07-02 16:08:47	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	52	33¢	$17	0xa60381…
07-02 16:05:10	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0xeab60a…
07-02 15:56:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x084514…
07-02 15:54:52	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xed50f3…
07-02 15:53:50	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xc9fc12…
07-02 15:47:52	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8116fc…
07-02 15:47:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xce66fa…
07-02 15:46:40	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xdef24e…
07-02 15:38:55	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xde88fc…
07-02 15:36:55	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa5dfc1…
07-02 15:34:49	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x371fba…
07-02 15:26:23	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	42	54¢	$23	0x5be22a…
07-02 15:21:13	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0xc0779d…
07-02 15:20:37	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	103	45¢	$46	0xb031aa…
07-02 15:10:22	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	103	54¢	$55	0x59e073…
07-02 14:48:16	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xe0ca7d…
07-02 14:47:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x025006…
07-02 14:47:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x2899b5…
07-02 14:45:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6c8099…
07-02 13:41:17	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x1b0234…
07-02 13:40:13	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0xc161bf…
07-02 13:39:46	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0x109644…
07-02 13:39:44	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa198ca…
07-02 13:39:23	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0x78baef…
07-02 13:23:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x858117…
07-02 13:17:56	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc2d6dc…
07-02 13:07:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x01a83b…
07-02 13:07:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x0467db…
07-02 13:00:44	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x787cb7…
07-02 12:21:58	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x586c9f…
07-02 12:20:58	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0xe761a7…
07-02 10:03:52	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	115	46¢	$53	0x730304…
07-02 10:01:34	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcc65fb…
07-01 01:00:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	64	81¢	$51	0x29c9a1…
06-30 16:15:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5d2a81…
06-30 13:56:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc69b17…
06-30 09:50:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x16ecfa…
06-30 01:18:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x2235ec…
06-30 01:17:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1d296d…
06-30 00:29:10	atp tunglin tomic 2026 06 29	Bernard Tomic	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c14aa…
06-29 10:21:31	atp bellucc svajda 2026 06 29	Zachary Svajda	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xde004f…
06-28 09:53:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x05d991…
06-28 03:21:28	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa32f85…
06-28 02:35:04	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1abe28…
06-27 22:27:05	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xb183a8…
06-27 21:56:16	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3885e2…
06-27 21:36:56	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x883a84…
06-26 18:22:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x315fe6…
06-26 10:10:10	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x99f842…
06-26 10:10:08	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5bb562…
06-26 10:08:22	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x0c145f…
06-26 10:07:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfb3021…
06-26 10:05:50	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xdec009…
06-26 10:05:29	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x167f7d…
06-26 06:06:56	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2de13e…
06-25 14:40:05	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x39bd41…
06-25 13:52:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xa09576…
06-25 13:52:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x20f5ed…
06-25 10:11:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x448c0f…
06-25 09:46:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xc2ac85…
06-25 09:46:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x461b5c…
06-25 09:36:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xe03fcb…
06-25 09:36:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8e4dad…
06-25 09:21:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x001d50…
06-25 09:16:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe04d79…
06-25 06:32:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xdf7e06…
06-25 02:40:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x86487e…
06-25 01:27:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x072c43…
06-25 01:22:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x9e709d…
06-24 19:21:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x391ca0…
06-24 13:38:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x366b90…
06-24 13:31:35	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3f9e6b…
06-24 11:56:40	atp fritz choinsk 2026 06 24 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x18caf9…
06-24 11:56:40	atp fritz choinsk 2026 06 24 match total 21pt5	Under	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x021385…
06-24 11:56:38	atp fritz choinsk 2026 06 24	Jan Choinski	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x30c317…
06-24 07:14:55	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7b79d7…
06-24 01:50:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdd8fb5…