Carefree-Ale 0xa43da0…3b00f4
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$78.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.12K
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
228
Trades
2,666
lifetime
Volume
$563.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$212
Open exposure
$34.7K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-30 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
77% 59% +$71,727
Other
11% 58% -$4,998
Crypto
5% 100% +$14,902
Sports
4% 43% -$3,106
Tech
4% 50% +$144
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +10,711 $5,340 66¢ $7.1K +$1,783 10-21 02:09
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +10,573 $5,361 66¢ $7.0K +$1,617 10-07 12:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,500 $5,100 70¢ $5.3K +$187 10-28 18:22
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,993 $4,266 68¢ $4.8K +$524 10-27 15:53
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +4,336 $2,763 64¢ $2.8K -$9 10-30 12:38
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +7,500 $1,500 32¢ $2.4K +$938 10-27 05:18
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +3,584 $1,288 57¢ $2.0K +$755 10-28 22:22
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +5,008 $1,002 32¢ $1.6K +$626 10-27 14:24
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -900 -$1,677 97¢ $-874 +$803 09-01 13:24
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +569 -$808 72¢ $413 +$1,221 10-09 22:33
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +402 $205 70¢ $283 +$78 09-13 06:50
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $41 79¢ $79 +$38 09-10 21:07
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +97 $36 37¢ $36 $0 10-27 23:06
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $0 10-20 15:42
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,500 $6,280 0¢ $-2 -$6,283 06-09 14:19
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +545 $161 0¢ $1 -$160 10-27 19:44