Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

307

Trades

570

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-03

last 10-30 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

53% 63% -$46

Crypto

31% 83% +$22

Politics

9% 67% -$14

Sports

5% 73% -$1

Tech

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	10-27 03:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	14	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	07-04 19:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	6	$29	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	08-02 01:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	11	$29	666	666	+0	No	-$2	07-04 04:09
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	07-10 09:45
will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 3	4	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$1	08-03 14:47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	5	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	08-02 00:38
atp fearnle mensik 2026 08 06	4	$19	11	11	+0	Jakub Mensik	$0	08-05 23:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$18	12	10	+1	Yes	-$2	07-30 20:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$17	75	75	+0	open	—	07-03 05:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$15	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$3	07-03 05:41
cs2 cs1 tc2 2026 07 27	3	$13	10	10	+0	cancelled	-$3	07-27 14:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	6	$12	42	0	+42	No	-$12	07-03 18:08
will ethereum reach 1900 on july 14	2	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	07-14 22:05
lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	2	$12	13	0	+13	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	07-10 14:28
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	2	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	07-10 20:54
will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	2	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	07-17 17:15
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 5pt5	2	$12	12	0	+12	Under	+$0	07-11 14:36
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	3	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	07-11 14:40
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	2	$12	13	0	+13	Over	-$12	07-16 13:10
bitcoin above 66k on july 10 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-10 09:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-30 15:08
ufc hai nmilos 2026 08 01	2	$11	6	6	+0	Nina Miloševic	+$1	08-01 14:50
ufc lud tof 2026 08 01	2	$11	6	6	+0	Tofiq Musayev	+$1	08-01 16:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 16:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	09-18 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-17 22:35
dota2 xtreme tr7 2026 08 03	2	$11	6	6	+0	Team Resilience	+$1	08-03 10:34
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	3	$11	6	6	+0	Spirit	+$1	08-01 11:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	10-07 16:54
wta parks eala 2026 08 06	2	$11	6	6	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$1	08-06 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:58:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xef8514…
10-30 03:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb3fbb9…
10-29 23:47:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x047ff2…
10-29 23:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b3284…
10-29 15:33:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xf947c2…
10-29 14:43:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x700b52…
10-29 01:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0x15f954…
10-29 01:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9e1e5a…
10-27 03:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x13eae8…
10-27 03:49:45	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x62bf09…
10-26 17:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xde9b70…
10-26 16:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xb53679…
10-26 07:53:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7bf30a…
10-20 14:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x79c4be…
10-20 14:08:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfef8c5…
10-20 13:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf5bebe…
10-19 17:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7312d4…
10-19 13:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd0591f…
10-18 10:33:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x003043…
10-16 13:10:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd64ea0…
10-16 00:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd53fbc…
10-15 14:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb25777…
10-15 06:11:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeb90c1…
10-15 05:55:05	bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x923805…
10-14 23:52:16	mls mia nyc 2026 10 14 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x25d2fb…
10-14 22:58:24	mls mia nyc 2026 10 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8eda5e…
10-14 21:38:31	bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb9f96b…
10-14 00:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6c7057…
10-13 01:03:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf0f207…
10-13 00:00:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5a79ff…
10-12 10:12:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5bc401…
10-12 04:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x43bf1f…
10-12 02:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x59a479…
10-11 18:21:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcfb3e7…
10-11 00:18:45	Inter Miami CF vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x80d5b4…
10-10 23:24:52	Inter Miami CF vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1e9057…
10-10 00:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe82cb1…
10-09 18:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7f8623…
10-09 01:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa40c46…
10-09 00:00:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x28f822…
10-08 23:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x91c4a8…
10-08 21:42:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x4ac75c…
10-08 20:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a254d…
10-08 17:48:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x63dab2…
10-08 15:29:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x12af0b…
10-08 09:24:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6e62d…
10-08 04:32:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6c6fc9…
10-08 04:28:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x087b6d…
10-07 17:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$0	0x2d287a…
10-07 17:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbd88ea…
10-07 16:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x648e69…
10-07 16:54:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x04c54d…
10-07 13:44:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x40e8fa…
10-06 15:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6aa730…
10-06 05:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf967aa…
10-05 21:49:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x686f9f…
10-05 19:59:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8ed45a…
10-04 21:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8fcca5…
10-03 14:38:44	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa8586e…
10-02 18:38:02	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3d0ddf…
10-02 00:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x8e59a9…
10-01 12:59:35	ethereum above 2600 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x58fa2f…
10-01 12:59:02	ethereum above 2600 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x64f8b4…
10-01 10:44:23	ethereum above 2600 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4ed45d…
10-01 06:33:21	bitcoin above 82k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd17732…
10-01 05:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3f600…
10-01 03:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x1eef20…
09-30 12:32:23	bitcoin above 82k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x0e30e8…
09-30 04:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb95f6c…
09-29 18:28:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x998321…
09-29 17:38:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xad6ec1…
09-29 13:22:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa67d96…
09-29 01:29:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xab1314…
09-29 00:00:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x960014…
09-28 17:16:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe24562…
09-28 04:01:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6f0cde…
09-28 01:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x83e41c…
09-27 23:21:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa99f61…
09-27 19:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x2f7313…
09-27 19:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x083bab…
09-25 06:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x97b845…
09-25 00:00:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b84dc…
09-24 16:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9234c4…
09-24 15:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xba4e39…
09-24 09:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe51a5d…
09-24 08:44:09	bitcoin above 80k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x247e83…
09-23 15:18:59	bitcoin above 82k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2e7608…
09-23 03:00:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcc03b7…
09-23 02:48:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x97fca8…
09-22 20:54:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba12da…
09-22 02:25:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3dec59…
09-22 00:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc197f1…
09-21 20:15:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc4d654…
09-21 17:18:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x47db26…
09-21 14:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x5b3f15…
09-20 21:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xab7a01…
09-18 14:52:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x247d04…
09-18 13:23:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfdffe0…
09-18 00:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc40473…
09-17 12:19:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x17a30c…