Hollow-Grease — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$118

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

161

615 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$20.4K

$120.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-05 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 88% +$268

Other

9% 72% -$170

Tech

2% 83% +$22

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes		+5	$4	15¢	$1	-$3	11-05 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	3	$2.4K	1,217	1,216	+1	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$8	06-12 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 15:56
bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-09 07:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$4	05-22 09:14
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	No	+$4	04-15 14:51
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$3	04-19 14:49
bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$3	07-13 11:04
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	3	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	No	+$4	07-10 02:11
bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$1	07-07 15:14
bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	2	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$1	06-28 15:54
bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	Yes	+$1	06-16 15:13
bitcoin above 56k on june 15 2026	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	Yes	+$1	06-14 16:02
bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	06-13 00:45
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	2	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	06-09 11:36
bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	06-08 06:14
bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$1	06-20 12:03
bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$3	06-07 07:29
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$1	06-04 07:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$1	06-03 08:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	Yes	+$1	05-30 14:24
bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	2	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$3	06-29 12:09
bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	3	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	No	+$1	07-03 20:23
bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	3	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	Yes	+$4	06-17 15:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	2	$1.0K	1,047	0	+1,047	No	+$3	05-21 10:44
bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	4	$1.0K	552	552	+0	No	-$9	07-12 16:11
bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	2	$1.0K	800	234	+566	No	+$1	06-21 13:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	1	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	No	+$1	05-17 17:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	3	$1.0K	1,032	0	+1,032	No	+$5	05-19 06:24
bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	3	$1.0K	527	500	+27	No	+$0	06-25 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xdfcd30…
11-05 15:26:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x8bc7d6…
11-05 13:57:07	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xa052ab…
11-05 12:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x17d687…
11-05 11:18:51	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa42690…
11-05 06:42:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xdda5a0…
11-05 05:24:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x62c4d9…
11-05 04:19:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x282326…
11-05 04:09:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4bafb2…
11-05 03:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06bf34…
11-05 03:13:58	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd1a989…
11-05 03:13:57	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x891628…
11-05 03:13:57	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1b75f0…
11-05 03:11:04	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0451f3…
11-04 16:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9df91e…
11-04 15:01:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xee4b61…
11-04 15:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x832dd3…
11-04 15:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0xa66d4b…
11-04 14:55:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x211deb…
11-04 14:55:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ec912…
11-04 14:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x67bc72…
11-04 14:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x385121…
11-04 13:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	430	100¢	$429	0xb4f3a7…
11-04 13:27:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x98a34f…
11-04 07:50:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x50ab3b…
11-04 07:49:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	430	99¢	$427	0x985df3…
11-03 05:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x9d5539…
11-03 05:37:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	423	100¢	$422	0xb96d5e…
11-02 14:26:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0x86d8ab…
11-02 04:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x0c6e1e…
11-02 03:36:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x20cb27…
11-02 03:36:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5a39b7…
11-01 06:39:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	398	100¢	$398	0x153201…
11-01 06:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0xeee00a…
11-01 06:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x17f43c…
10-30 13:33:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $82.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x747cf7…
10-30 13:12:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $82.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xf3d628…
10-30 13:11:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $82.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa2af56…
10-30 13:09:36	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x70f603…
10-30 12:59:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x6bf23c…
10-30 03:13:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xbdf52f…
10-30 02:12:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3119b0…
10-30 02:05:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xdada20…
10-29 14:39:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0xfcb042…
10-27 08:58:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x0a8f9a…
10-25 09:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa0fd8c…
10-25 07:07:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	469	100¢	$468	0xc34c8e…
10-24 15:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xecdcfd…
10-24 14:35:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xefc14d…
10-23 12:29:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7887b…
10-21 16:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xfbd4de…
10-21 11:15:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xee4125…
10-21 11:14:48	Axis Robotics FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x233f8c…
10-21 11:14:39	Axis Robotics FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x10287b…
10-21 11:14:32	Axis Robotics FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x75f4a8…
10-20 04:28:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x6a18d5…
10-19 04:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x21c59f…
10-16 12:45:04	will tsla reach 367 50 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	SELL	370	99¢	$366	0xb51b0c…
10-16 12:30:16	will tsla reach 367 50 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8deb5e…
10-16 10:29:28	will tsla reach 367 50 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa07017…
10-16 07:39:10	will tsla reach 367 50 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x32cbff…
10-16 03:22:16	will tsla reach 367 50 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x5fa58a…
10-16 03:17:13	will tsla reach 367 50 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xfc6ecb…
10-15 12:18:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0xee1bb4…
10-15 12:14:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x452c28…
10-15 12:13:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x1212c3…
10-15 07:44:28	spx opens up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x0464e1…
10-15 07:44:08	spx opens up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xde4b78…
10-15 02:23:53	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe3c64d…
10-14 13:42:50	bitcoin above 88k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x413563…
10-14 13:34:27	bitcoin above 88k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0xd04939…
10-14 13:21:57	will hood dip to 107 50 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x84c317…
10-14 13:21:39	spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5182f5…
10-14 13:10:30	spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xbd2afb…
10-08 12:40:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xbe59c3…
10-08 11:31:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x487bf2…
10-06 12:35:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc581b1…
10-05 13:30:16	will hood reach 115 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5430af…
10-05 06:57:07	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x511573…
10-05 06:20:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x4ec6ca…
10-02 13:05:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	342	100¢	$342	0xeda849…
10-02 08:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xf12441…
09-25 11:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x955443…
09-25 10:19:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x0b6fad…
09-20 08:39:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0xd6e866…
09-19 08:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	481	100¢	$481	0xb49490…
09-18 08:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe8f2ea…
09-18 08:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xe7712f…
09-18 08:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x48126f…
09-18 08:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xe2f3b1…
09-18 08:55:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xb5f505…
09-18 08:51:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3766c1…
09-18 04:50:39	will hood reach 115 in september 2026 from september 15	Yes	SELL	93	80¢	$74	0x942112…
09-17 13:31:24	will hood reach 115 in september 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	93	64¢	$60	0x5c6ce7…
09-17 13:09:12	will hood reach 107 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd11eae…
09-17 08:58:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xea7de5…
09-15 12:51:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	460	100¢	$459	0x4355b9…
09-10 14:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x9dc059…
09-09 11:25:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4c912d…
09-09 08:11:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x471a65…