Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

71 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$74

$74 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-05 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

81% 59% +$1

Politics

16% 50% -$2

Tech

3% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No		+3	$1	83¢	$2	+$1	11-05 20:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-30 06:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ewy reach 186 by september 7 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$0	09-10 23:46
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	09-26 08:13
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 01:00
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-16 05:23
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 14:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 07:15
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 02:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-21 13:57
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-09 22:33
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 17:48
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-15 09:14
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-20 21:39
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 22:21
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-09 13:05
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 05:51
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-21 05:53
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-16 13:25
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-15 20:53
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 06:22
will amzn reach 252 by september 14 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-17 12:10
will aapl reach 344 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 23:14
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-13 21:51
will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-17 23:12
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-23 07:34
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	09-22 14:34
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 04:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-07 17:33
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 22:08
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-10 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 20:25:21	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3d759d…
11-02 16:31:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7bcba5…
11-02 08:18:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc70811…
11-02 00:18:09	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6fe93b…
10-31 14:25:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x314398…
10-30 06:26:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x94153a…
10-29 22:25:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x74ab48…
10-29 13:57:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0a01dc…
10-26 23:49:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5da5c6…
10-25 02:07:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7aabe2…
10-24 00:06:24	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbb1c50…
10-23 16:01:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf1133d…
10-23 07:23:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x808bea…
10-22 23:23:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3067a5…
10-22 12:21:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x03cc3d…
10-21 12:17:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4e47c5…
10-21 04:03:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf70365…
10-20 19:57:23	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x05b1fd…
10-18 11:50:54	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc7b17a…
10-18 00:03:32	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc80253…
10-17 15:54:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x08a691…
10-16 13:03:51	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x008a26…
10-16 05:02:19	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5577cc…
10-15 21:00:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4aa77d…
10-15 09:46:37	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb8cb42…
10-15 00:09:56	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd06f2a…
10-14 14:36:07	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x11b136…
10-14 06:29:52	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2dc31f…
10-11 10:12:29	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf2b00b…
10-11 01:21:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1469b5…
10-10 09:42:52	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xffa6e9…
10-09 01:00:02	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbc8ba9…
10-09 00:59:41	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc826af…
10-08 04:30:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x823893…
10-08 02:44:07	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x44b11d…
10-05 16:29:07	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc2855b…
10-05 00:35:49	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x57f8db…
10-02 15:26:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0ea282…
10-02 06:51:18	will wti dip to 90 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1352f8…
09-26 08:13:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3e7e56…
09-26 07:35:44	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8d4170…
09-23 07:34:25	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf6483f…
09-22 23:14:58	will aapl reach 344 by september 21 2026 from september 22	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa8ea49…
09-22 14:34:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0cb9da…
09-22 06:22:31	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9fa5f2…
09-21 22:08:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xac013f…
09-21 14:08:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xce18ce…
09-21 13:57:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe3530a…
09-21 05:53:54	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x462be8…
09-20 21:39:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4165a1…
09-19 07:20:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbaaa24…
09-17 23:12:28	will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c0f6f…
09-17 12:10:09	will amzn reach 252 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd36639…
09-16 13:25:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xac169f…
09-16 05:23:33	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0b3f33…
09-15 20:53:13	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3e8a5c…
09-15 09:14:36	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4fb0e1…
09-14 22:21:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1789f7…
09-14 14:10:21	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x21de8e…
09-14 05:51:46	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x761d3d…
09-13 21:51:12	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0e7176…
09-10 23:46:27	will ewy reach 186 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78c81d…
09-10 23:31:40	will ewy reach 186 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeaf02d…
09-10 15:23:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x12e9c4…
09-10 07:15:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa82f99…
09-09 22:33:57	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xf35fbe…
09-09 13:05:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x186a61…
09-09 02:15:21	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xdc6e9f…
09-08 17:48:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4718bd…
09-08 04:33:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf84d88…
09-07 17:33:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e4c62…