Descriptive-Raiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$439

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$67

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-04 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 74% -$343

Politics

23% 77% +$303

Other

21% 58% +$43

Tech

9% 75% -$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+668	$506	10¢	$67	-$439	08-04 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	23	$2.2K	1,342	1,342	+0	Yes	+$287	06-17 01:03
bitcoin up or down on january 21	29	$1.1K	866	896	-30	Down	-$357	01-21 16:24
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	5	$824	434	434	+0	Yes	+$43	07-01 17:52
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$791	411	411	+0	Yes	+$28	06-23 14:03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	4	$723	364	364	+0	No	+$4	01-13 05:04
solana up or down on january 13	3	$684	344	344	+0	Up	+$4	01-13 17:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	13	$681	749	687	+61	Yes	+$53	02-18 08:28
bitcoin up or down on january 11	10	$659	348	348	+0	Up	+$37	01-11 17:03
bitcoin up or down on january 14	11	$558	290	298	-8	Up	+$29	01-14 16:36
ethereum up or down on january 21	17	$535	320	320	+0	Down	+$2	01-21 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$506	668	0	+668	open	—	08-04 16:20
bitcoin up or down on january 20	7	$492	326	326	+0	Down	+$6	01-20 16:29
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	6	$436	288	288	+0	No	-$88	06-25 07:53
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	61	$432	234	234	+0	Yes	+$35	06-22 08:37
bitcoin up or down on january 16	7	$422	216	216	+0	Down	+$9	01-16 16:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	5	$415	215	215	+0	Yes	+$15	06-21 12:45
bitcoin up or down on january 19	13	$394	240	240	+0	Down	+$27	01-19 14:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	6	$388	200	200	+0	Yes	+$8	06-24 17:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	2	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-23 22:32
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	4	$382	209	209	+0	Yes	+$2	06-24 13:12
bitcoin up or down on january 17	5	$295	160	160	+0	Up	+$20	01-17 13:57
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	11	$264	260	260	+0	Yes	+$25	06-24 16:41
ethereum up or down on january 18	7	$234	135	135	+0	Up	+$5	01-18 16:49
bitcoin up or down on january 7	2	$211	107	107	+0	Down	+$2	01-07 17:35
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	20	$210	117	117	+0	Yes	+$10	01-23 05:39
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	6	$209	110	110	+0	Yes	+$9	06-22 11:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$204	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 08:14
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	3	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 17:43
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$185	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	01-13 13:40
ethereum up or down on january 20	9	$180	93	93	+0	Down	+$6	01-20 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 16:20:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x731c4f…
08-03 11:23:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0xcacee0…
07-31 21:25:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0xe78fd9…
07-31 18:19:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x00cd04…
07-04 18:09:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	480	81¢	$389	0x558b90…
07-02 20:02:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x316a39…
07-02 19:00:53	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xc5dce4…
07-02 19:00:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x7fa977…
07-02 15:47:59	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x5e25e3…
07-02 12:54:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x1c2b55…
07-01 17:52:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	434	100¢	$434	0x17089d…
06-29 16:19:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	SELL	64	88¢	$56	0x39b916…
06-25 19:39:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc0864e…
06-25 19:30:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0f6e85…
06-25 19:18:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	202	90¢	$182	0x4a9201…
06-25 17:27:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd3dc84…
06-25 17:16:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0x5c67cc…
06-25 16:58:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x4a1397…
06-25 16:43:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xb2aa5c…
06-25 07:53:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x9b8b6a…
06-25 07:53:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xd91543…
06-25 07:53:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	102	53¢	$54	0x610fcb…
06-25 06:03:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xaf3bb5…
06-24 18:44:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	144	68¢	$98	0xd93c79…
06-24 17:21:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xc7acd7…
06-24 16:41:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	73	74¢	$54	0xc2a304…
06-24 16:22:56	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xeb5803…
06-24 16:19:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x765b7a…
06-24 13:19:38	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa0e6b6…
06-24 13:14:17	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xacb68c…
06-24 13:13:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xe1c36e…
06-24 13:13:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x323d77…
06-24 13:13:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xcbcdb3…
06-24 13:12:40	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	92¢	$192	0x9c75e3…
06-24 09:06:44	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x4fe3b2…
06-24 06:46:56	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3e3016…
06-24 06:29:10	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	91¢	$154	0x75fad3…
06-23 22:32:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xde6075…
06-23 17:24:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xa5849a…
06-23 17:23:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x9124a0…
06-23 16:25:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x573031…
06-23 14:44:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x86b9cd…
06-23 14:13:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	160	44¢	$70	0x2d56f8…
06-23 14:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	102	47¢	$48	0xedd1da…
06-23 14:03:53	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	411	100¢	$409	0x17d637…
06-22 18:12:52	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc78815…
06-22 17:43:47	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf4ecad…
06-22 13:39:47	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	75	94¢	$70	0x7177c6…
06-22 13:38:01	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x1706f3…
06-22 12:10:56	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe6f0a3…
06-22 11:59:20	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$75	0xa5253d…
06-22 11:49:26	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x1cdc3c…
06-22 11:47:07	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x0b876f…
06-22 11:39:34	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x33bf50…
06-22 11:34:05	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9ace99…
06-22 10:59:01	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4966ae…
06-22 10:52:10	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8edf1c…
06-22 09:53:13	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xaeb083…
06-22 08:37:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x6c7d44…
06-21 23:09:20	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcd60ab…
06-21 16:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	102	41¢	$42	0xb99317…
06-21 16:33:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x05ed57…
06-21 16:32:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xa8db32…
06-21 16:32:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x003c01…
06-21 16:25:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x180959…
06-21 15:13:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x41629c…
06-21 15:01:07	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xa803a9…
06-21 14:56:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x5eb996…
06-21 13:46:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x8de770…
06-21 12:45:52	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xc46b9d…
06-21 08:19:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x6b0713…
06-21 08:19:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xb97163…
06-21 08:19:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xad0b47…
06-21 08:19:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x7e01ab…
06-21 08:19:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf90667…
06-21 08:19:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xf27dc1…
06-21 08:19:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x9cd604…
06-21 08:19:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xfe7e0f…
06-21 08:19:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xfa8b63…
06-21 08:19:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c6cd2…
06-21 08:19:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x48b910…
06-21 08:19:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x147446…
06-21 08:19:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x83c9fe…
06-21 08:19:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xddd726…
06-21 08:18:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa55f41…
06-21 08:18:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x7918bc…
06-21 08:18:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x28fad7…
06-21 08:18:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x77f9f5…
06-21 08:18:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x6d76c8…
06-21 08:18:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xff0824…
06-21 08:18:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xfb2e43…
06-21 08:18:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xd8501b…
06-21 08:18:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdcb67f…
06-21 08:18:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x7a9bea…
06-21 08:18:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x5e876b…
06-21 08:18:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x689cf1…
06-21 08:18:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x39d9b0…
06-21 08:18:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x7b719c…
06-21 08:18:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x5bee79…
06-21 08:18:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x06a14b…