Fat-Bucket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

1,669

Trades

2,404

lifetime

Volume

$500.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$208

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-19 03:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% +$47

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:15 UTC	3	$2.6K	1,335	1,335	+0	Up	-$5	02-12 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:00 UTC	2	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Up	-$1	02-10 15:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	785	779	+6	Up	-$1	02-02 14:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	797	797	+0	Down	-$52	02-02 06:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 02:15 UTC	2	$1.4K	725	725	+0	Up	+$0	02-02 02:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:00 UTC	2	$1.4K	901	901	+0	Up	-$348	02-03 07:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:00 UTC	2	$1.4K	687	687	+0	Up	+$1	01-30 15:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:30 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,345	0	+1,345	Down	+$13	02-12 15:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:15 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,331	0	+1,331	Up	+$13	02-12 15:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:00 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,323	0	+1,323	Down	+$13	02-12 15:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 01:45 UTC	3	$1.3K	805	505	+300	Down	+$1	01-29 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 11:45 UTC	2	$1.3K	673	666	+7	Up	-$11	02-06 11:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:00 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,310	0	+1,310	Down	+$13	02-12 14:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	2	$1.3K	648	648	+0	Down	+$0	01-28 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 14:00 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,297	0	+1,297	Down	+$39	02-12 14:02
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 07:45 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,252	0	+1,252	Up	+$13	02-12 07:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 07:15 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,239	0	+1,239	Up	+$12	02-12 07:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$1.2K	615	615	+0	Up	+$6	01-28 05:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	606	606	+0	Down	+$2	01-28 05:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 06:15 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	Up	+$12	02-12 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:00 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,203	0	+1,203	Down	+$12	02-12 06:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 05:30 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,191	0	+1,191	Up	+$12	02-12 05:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 05:15 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,177	0	+1,177	Up	+$8	02-12 05:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	588	588	+0	Up	-$2	01-30 04:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	588	588	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 05:00 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,168	0	+1,168	Down	+$12	02-12 05:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 05:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	620	620	+0	Up	-$76	01-29 05:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	617	617	+0	Down	-$75	02-05 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:45 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,157	0	+1,157	Up	+$12	02-12 04:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:30 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,145	0	+1,145	Up	+$11	02-12 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xf234dd…
05-19 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xcd8468…
05-19 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x991055…
05-19 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xea68b0…
05-19 03:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xf297fe…
05-19 03:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x93a1e6…
05-19 03:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xdaa7ea…
05-19 03:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x992da2…
05-19 03:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x44122a…
05-19 03:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	106	98¢	$103	0xf484e6…
05-19 03:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xeb29ad…
05-19 03:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x76e7dd…
05-19 03:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x3e612f…
05-19 02:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x22c0b5…
05-19 02:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	190	45¢	$86	0x825f4b…
05-19 02:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe5fb26…
05-19 02:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xdd4876…
05-19 02:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc81818…
05-19 02:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0x43d40d…
05-19 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9dbc94…
05-19 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x2b73c6…
05-19 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd8f0fd…
05-19 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xa2153f…
05-19 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x987dcb…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x5d9a59…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x49e5f7…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x24bbce…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x077ab4…
05-19 02:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x1f3c5f…
05-19 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x2bdf58…
05-19 01:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x6423de…
05-19 01:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x5f8e34…
05-19 01:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x4d03bd…
05-19 01:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x691d55…
05-19 01:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2e32af…
05-19 01:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x27fa47…
05-19 01:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7ad7b5…
05-19 01:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x5ad4eb…
05-18 07:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	165	97¢	$160	0xca9e37…
05-18 06:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x564a93…
05-18 06:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x37636a…
05-18 05:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xd609c4…
05-18 05:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x0becc3…
05-18 05:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x4ac4e9…
05-18 03:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x371163…
05-18 03:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x0fc6ac…
05-18 03:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x2d55f4…
05-18 03:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xf0cc3c…
05-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xaa2d67…
05-18 02:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x43b983…
05-18 02:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	170	79¢	$135	0x4c6dca…
05-18 02:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0xc19e2b…
05-18 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf6dbf3…
05-18 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xcd5401…
05-18 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	143	96¢	$138	0x833e0c…
05-18 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x476a62…
05-18 02:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0xdc475d…
05-18 02:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x838542…
05-15 08:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x9b8fac…
05-15 07:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x62b73e…
05-15 07:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x2ccdf0…
05-15 06:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0x3db041…
05-15 06:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x6d4d61…
05-15 06:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	56	76¢	$43	0x872169…
05-15 06:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x5def80…
05-15 06:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xef4968…
05-15 06:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xd28278…
05-15 05:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x3a0749…
05-15 05:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5e3f74…
05-15 05:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xad267a…
05-15 05:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x9f701a…
05-15 05:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xda790b…
05-15 05:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb559da…
05-15 03:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x32ce9c…
05-15 03:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0x388d3d…
05-15 03:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x42571d…
05-15 03:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x803f49…
05-15 03:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4bd44f…
05-15 03:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x9a55a8…
05-15 03:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd1cd80…
05-15 03:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x75f2fb…
05-15 03:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x35dc2c…
05-15 02:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc76f1d…
05-15 02:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0a1e7d…
05-15 02:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x8b9d35…
05-15 02:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc950a8…
05-15 02:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7d8d6f…
05-15 02:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xe5ab87…
05-15 02:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xa92c75…
05-15 02:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5a89e7…
05-15 02:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x941829…
05-15 02:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4c8f08…
05-15 02:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x6cfbab…
05-15 02:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9e0a3d…
05-15 02:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xade31b…
05-15 02:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc0d50a…
05-15 02:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xce4c38…
05-15 02:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd478f2…
05-15 02:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xb3b1d6…
05-15 02:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xb031f6…