Rotten-Stencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$733

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

891

Trades

2,851

lifetime

Volume

$958.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$336

Open exposure

$441

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

77% 48% +$29

Crypto

16% 57% -$158

Politics

4% 40% -$51

Sports

3% 53% -$515

Tech

0% 25% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+301	$301	100¢	$300	-$1	10-26 09:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+108	$100	92¢	$99	-$1	10-25 21:04
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+465	$20	5¢	$22	+$2	10-24 11:46
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	+37	$25	55¢	$20	-$5	10-23 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	23	$70.2K	35,341	35,341	+0	No	+$43	03-18 08:47
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	15	$59.8K	30,570	29,448	+1,122	No	+$21	01-28 10:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	136	$45.1K	22,590	22,590	+0	No	+$7	06-15 07:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$42.6K	21,402	21,402	+0	Yes	+$21	04-26 22:33
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	31	$36.4K	18,236	18,236	-0	No	$0	01-13 16:55
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	130	$23.6K	11,948	11,948	+0	No	+$157	03-13 12:06
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	17	$22.6K	13,863	8,863	+5,000	Yes	+$24	03-18 14:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$16.3K	10,876	5,405	+5,471	No	+$6	04-30 21:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	125	$16.2K	10,846	5,421	+5,425	No	+$25	02-13 09:29
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?	11	$15.9K	7,808	8,109	-301	Yes	-$1	01-12 19:46
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	89	$14.6K	174,002	191,382	-17,380	No	+$103	01-03 21:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1 491	68	$13.5K	7,211	6,306	+905	No	+$5	03-26 04:04
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2026?	8	$13.4K	6,715	6,715	+0	Yes	+$9	01-12 13:04
Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$13.4K	6,705	6,705	+0	No	+$0	01-07 13:52
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$12.8K	6,436	6,436	+0	No	-$6	03-14 21:52
will mrbeasts next video get less than 60 million views on week 1 212	2	$12.8K	6,411	6,411	+0	No	+$0	01-10 11:31
Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?	5	$12.2K	6,125	6,125	+0	Yes	+$3	01-11 13:13
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	2	$12.0K	6,012	6,012	+0	Yes	+$6	01-10 15:22
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	22	$11.8K	55,812	55,812	+0	No	+$50	01-19 19:39
footballfun fdv above 500m one day after launch 276 512 182 316	10	$11.8K	6,537	6,537	+0	No	+$20	01-16 15:30
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	2	$10.9K	5,467	5,467	+0	No	+$0	04-30 21:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10.8K	5,416	5,416	+0	No	+$5	04-18 23:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$10.2K	5,114	5,114	+0	No	+$0	01-31 10:03
footballfun fdv above 1b one day after launch 116 586 393 244	3	$10.0K	5,030	5,030	+0	No	+$25	01-16 09:56
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	2	$10.0K	5,013	5,013	+0	No	+$0	01-30 16:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 67 and 69 million views on day 4	5	$10.0K	5,007	5,006	+1	No	+$2	03-11 18:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$10.0K	5,005	5,005	+0	Yes	-$8	06-17 18:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$9.9K	4,978	4,978	+0	No	+$5	03-04 17:03
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	7	$8.6K	5,901	2,753	+3,148	No	+$27	01-16 19:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$8.3K	4,152	4,152	+0	No	-$12	06-03 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:48:44	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa0255e…
10-26 09:45:29	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf37b0f…
10-26 09:41:36	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x16ace6…
10-26 09:41:15	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xdae985…
10-26 09:40:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc440f5…
10-26 09:39:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x145d1e…
10-26 09:38:57	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xdc019a…
10-26 09:38:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xad4e6f…
10-26 09:37:50	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Diane Parry	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc749dc…
10-26 09:37:17	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9eed1d…
10-26 09:36:45	Brest: Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Gabriel Diallo	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa98c7e…
10-26 09:36:14	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa0c1b9…
10-26 09:35:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x490ce9…
10-26 09:33:56	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	128	24¢	$30	0x40763f…
10-25 21:07:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x8852ec…
10-25 21:04:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd6c660…
10-25 21:00:53	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xe52527…
10-25 20:59:26	Pacers vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xf9145e…
10-25 20:58:27	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe4715f…
10-25 20:57:03	BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x4bf090…
10-25 20:56:35	Virtus Bologna vs. Besiktas	Virtus Bologna	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x0a2a03…
10-25 20:55:56	Anadolu Efes vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x2db242…
10-25 20:53:24	Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Virtus Bologna	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x74303a…
10-24 21:12:35	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x0701d9…
10-24 11:56:30	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x916971…
10-24 11:55:38	Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x7ae14a…
10-24 11:54:47	wta watson parks 2026 10 24	Heather Watson	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x1eb7e0…
10-24 11:53:27	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan	Partizan	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xca1342…
10-24 11:52:20	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x65b115…
10-24 11:52:02	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x925754…
10-24 11:47:59	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x2f7f3c…
10-24 11:46:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	465	4¢	$20	0xf64d5c…
10-23 08:13:05	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x81df97…
10-23 08:10:24	Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0xfe0b3a…
10-23 08:07:02	Fort Worth: Mees Rottgering vs Darwin Blanch	Darwin Blanch	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x898b5f…
10-23 08:05:32	Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov	Alexander Bublik	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x45a650…
10-22 18:05:57	Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova	Mary Stoiana	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x3cfa13…
10-22 18:05:32	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2b6d9a…
10-22 18:04:57	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa4e909…
10-22 18:02:51	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xbec9de…
10-22 18:02:11	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x5ce58b…
10-22 18:01:53	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x0cade9…
10-22 18:01:30	Raptors vs. Wizards	Raptors	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xff897f…
10-22 18:00:56	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	SELL	74	26¢	$19	0xed44e6…
10-22 18:00:17	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7c822b…
10-22 17:59:57	Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	Partizan	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x552a8a…
10-22 17:59:33	Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelona	Olimpia Milano	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9fa575…
10-21 14:13:06	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb29104…
10-21 14:10:33	Lyon Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa60a35…
10-21 14:10:08	Lyon Open: Borna Gojo vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xed9f0a…
10-21 14:09:38	Guangzhou 2: Cruz Hewitt vs Tristan Schoolkate	Cruz Hewitt	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x35d350…
10-21 14:08:12	Japan Women's Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Kayla Day	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5ece43…
10-21 14:05:29	Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	Partizan	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6939df…
10-21 14:04:54	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x016833…
10-21 14:04:03	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x713bfd…
10-21 14:03:18	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x3b1b30…
10-21 14:02:15	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Suns	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x014177…
10-21 14:01:30	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x86aec8…
10-21 14:01:11	Hawks vs. Magic	Hawks	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x583b4b…
10-20 06:22:58	Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x234db4…
10-18 20:10:26	Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0x1c2717…
10-18 20:08:30	Lyon Open: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw	Jaime Faria	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xf7d1b2…
10-18 20:07:41	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x29e2b2…
10-18 20:07:11	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfd9fa3…
10-18 20:05:51	Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc38e1f…
10-18 20:05:29	Japan Women's Open: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x884e40…
10-17 18:36:00	Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xfb515b…
10-17 18:33:05	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	34	57¢	$20	0xa6fc90…
10-17 18:22:18	euroleague milano barcelon 2026 10 22	Barcelona	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x631f61…
10-17 18:17:39	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0265d6…
10-17 18:16:33	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x0b8a9f…
10-17 18:15:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xdf07a3…
10-17 08:42:27	atp shevche glinka 2026 10 17	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe25742…
10-17 08:38:41	atp perrica bertola 2026 10 17	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xbad1cc…
10-17 06:43:48	wta parks vandrom 2026 10 17	Alycia Parks	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa4f90d…
10-17 06:41:56	wta parks vandrom 2026 10 17	Jeline Vandromme	SELL	47	67¢	$31	0x03ac76…
10-16 18:08:29	Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xac9ff5…
10-16 17:54:44	wta yastrem rakhimo 2026 10 17	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe10df1…
10-16 17:51:53	wta swiatek chwalin 2026 10 17	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xefe44e…
10-16 17:51:14	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Martyna Kubka	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x5ba920…
10-16 17:50:39	wta yamaguc kenin 2026 10 17	Mei Yamaguchi	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x01c55c…
10-16 17:49:27	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Rafael Jodar	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x673355…
10-16 17:48:47	wta kartal ostapen 2026 10 16	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x1d47c2…
10-16 17:48:09	wta joint okamura 2026 10 16	Kyoka Okamura	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x3c70b5…
10-16 17:47:02	wta parks vandrom 2026 10 17	Jeline Vandromme	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x8c3d75…
10-16 17:46:23	wta ito grant 2026 10 17	Aoi Ito	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x4d36ca…
10-14 20:37:22	atp papoe kolar 2026 10 16	Zdenek Kolar	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x6f879e…
10-14 20:33:19	atp jodar ruud 2026 10 15	Rafael Jodar	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x93dafd…
10-14 20:29:15	atp shevche friend 2026 10 14	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x9c1e8f…
10-14 20:28:04	atp stricke virtane 2026 10 15	Otto Virtanen	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xfc933c…
10-14 20:27:10	wta fernand ostapen 2026 10 15	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xfa0f66…
10-14 20:26:25	atp gea fokina 2026 10 15	Arthur Gea	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xfc5452…
10-13 08:45:47	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Xiyu Wang	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xb14e59…
10-13 08:45:07	Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Laslo Djere	Michael Mmoh	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x0c5477…
10-13 08:43:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xee05b3…
10-13 08:42:59	wta muchova mcnally 2026 10 13	Caty McNally	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x3bfa86…
10-13 08:42:22	wta pigato havlick 2026 10 14	Lucie Havlickova	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8ac187…
10-13 08:41:38	wta knutson bandecc 2026 10 14	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x3fe3db…
10-13 08:41:01	Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Jelena Ostapenko	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x680cd5…
10-10 18:24:00	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek	Sara Bejlek	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x396d61…