Gullible-Quail — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved (90d)

508

Trades (90d)

653

1,425 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.22K

$16.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-06 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 50% -$545

Other

38% 60% -$187

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$532	394	394	+0	FC Barcelona	+$130	10-13 20:15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	2	$404	326	326	+0	Yes	+$104	10-21 20:38
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	6	$360	1,090	0	+1,090	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	-$360	10-31 17:14
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	5	$342	417	101	+316	Over	+$19	06-17 21:03
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$283	221	221	+0	FC Bayern München	+$80	10-25 17:14
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	6	$233	463	0	+463	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$230	10-30 18:23
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	4	$210	858	0	+858	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	-$210	10-31 15:14
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	1	$200	571	0	+571	Under	-$200	06-22 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$178	127	127	+0	Up	+$58	05-23 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$175	131	131	+0	Up	+$15	05-24 21:59
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?	3	$175	470	0	+470	No	-$85	10-29 20:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$160	127	127	+0	Up	+$30	05-25 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$149	297	0	+297	Up	+$148	05-26 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	7	$140	83	83	+0	Up	+$20	05-27 20:07
ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	1	$140	200	0	+200	Over	+$60	10-14 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:20 UTC	8	$140	280	0	+280	Up	+$140	10-03 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$140	275	0	+275	Down	-$140	06-01 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$140	275	0	+275	Up	+$135	06-01 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$140	275	0	+275	Down	-$140	06-01 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$140	275	0	+275	Down	-$140	06-01 20:08
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$139	104	104	+0	Manchester City FC	+$37	05-09 18:06
Will AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?	3	$135	85	85	+0	No	+$6	10-17 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	10	$130	260	0	+260	Down	-$130	05-24 12:45
AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	4	$128	98	98	+0	Over	+$16	09-30 17:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$125	250	0	+250	Down	-$125	05-28 15:30
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	2	$123	104	104	+0	Over	+$23	10-15 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$120	230	0	+230	Up	+$111	05-24 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	15	$111	222	0	+222	Up	+$111	05-28 17:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:55 UTC	1	$111	218	0	+218	Up	+$107	09-16 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$110	216	0	+216	Up	-$110	05-26 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:47:55	Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf13243…
11-04 18:15:36	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xef0d81…
11-04 18:15:36	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xa46c9a…
11-04 15:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xff976d…
11-03 19:03:58	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	No	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0x6cede8…
11-03 18:29:04	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x61ad77…
11-02 19:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x65f64b…
11-02 17:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xc15b40…
11-02 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x35fb71…
11-02 17:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x9f8992…
11-02 17:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9b7b85…
11-02 17:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9a188e…
11-02 17:37:58	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x2cdc5a…
11-02 17:37:51	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xd31636…
11-02 17:32:58	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1d762b…
11-02 17:22:58	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x583732…
11-02 17:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3e2f04…
11-02 16:37:34	FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0994ab…
11-02 11:52:12	FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf0a56b…
11-02 08:13:06	FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x918ff3…
11-02 08:12:22	FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x498f1b…
11-01 17:56:21	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	23	11¢	$2	0x8be036…
11-01 17:44:25	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x9c73f1…
11-01 17:34:55	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x5e2b88…
11-01 17:33:21	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x84770a…
11-01 16:58:46	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x682904…
11-01 16:39:27	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb798fd…
11-01 16:15:28	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2aa9f5…
11-01 14:58:36	SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9d0a0c…
11-01 14:58:22	Hannover 96 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5da7f1…
11-01 11:15:15	SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xe8a966…
11-01 11:14:45	SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xfa9a9a…
11-01 11:12:58	Hannover 96 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x334b83…
10-31 19:54:18	FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6504d0…
10-31 19:42:54	FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb5c6cf…
10-31 19:42:49	FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xbe1b80…
10-31 19:29:31	FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xb8c997…
10-31 19:25:22	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xd6690c…
10-31 17:14:16	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	668	33¢	$220	0xe82caa…
10-31 17:14:16	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xc2bd80…
10-31 17:14:15	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	232	33¢	$77	0xe289ba…
10-31 17:14:15	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x108132…
10-31 17:03:42	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0xb15115…
10-31 17:02:09	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0x271046…
10-31 15:14:28	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	525	19¢	$100	0xbd1db1…
10-31 15:07:12	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	291	33¢	$96	0x780d12…
10-31 15:07:12	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30cbe2…
10-31 15:07:10	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x52c30c…
10-31 14:03:58	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xf4e010…
10-31 12:50:18	FC Südtirol vs. Cesena FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x4a50d3…
10-31 12:05:01	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x6d1804…
10-31 12:04:43	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5b0a2b…
10-31 12:01:52	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3bf043…
10-31 11:51:01	Lincoln City FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x6d4d44…
10-31 11:48:31	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xd9048f…
10-31 11:19:18	SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x87000a…
10-31 10:51:48	SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x6025c2…
10-30 18:23:22	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x631b11…
10-30 18:21:51	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa6a0ca…
10-30 18:11:30	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xc906c0…
10-30 18:11:25	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf9c316…
10-30 18:11:22	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	429	51¢	$219	0x1e73c5…
10-30 18:11:19	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x1ca195…
10-29 20:38:51	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0xc9c90c…
10-29 20:06:57	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x6a451f…
10-29 19:14:07	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	357	35¢	$125	0x469f88…
10-28 21:49:44	Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0xc34faa…
10-28 20:19:22	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0xfcb7f3…
10-28 19:23:44	Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xbcc4ea…
10-28 19:22:16	Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x4af535…
10-28 19:21:34	Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x3870b7…
10-28 18:40:26	SS Juve Stabia vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x69977b…
10-28 16:49:55	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xc430cf…
10-27 20:20:26	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x2c0952…
10-27 20:12:56	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x4435cb…
10-27 19:35:18	Benevento Calcio vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa278c8…
10-27 18:37:12	Benevento Calcio vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x9ba466…
10-27 18:27:30	Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x6f1e88…
10-27 18:27:11	Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x903e12…
10-27 17:47:00	Benevento Calcio vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xe5e564…
10-26 17:51:33	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7152cd…
10-26 17:41:38	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xa916b8…
10-26 12:33:21	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x594e81…
10-26 12:32:51	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xe21dd7…
10-25 18:35:59	Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xdad058…
10-25 18:12:44	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0x294693…
10-25 18:07:41	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5f5f19…
10-25 17:50:18	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xe4235e…
10-25 17:14:36	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	221	82¢	$181	0xc2165c…
10-25 16:43:44	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	221	46¢	$102	0xdc0622…
10-25 15:32:56	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xaf4b77…
10-25 15:17:39	NEC vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x804061…
10-25 13:50:36	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x0ffbf3…
10-25 11:47:05	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xffd010…
10-25 11:46:45	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x5121d4…
10-25 11:43:17	PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x3b80e5…
10-25 11:42:59	NEC vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x54adf0…
10-24 13:00:57	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xba890e…
10-24 13:00:17	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc76da3…
10-24 12:57:35	Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6e8ebf…