Gullible-Quail — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

7 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$117

$117 lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-14 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

82% 0% $-23

Crypto

18% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down		+3	$2	92¢	$3	+$1	05-14 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	1	$88	0	104	-104	Manchester City FC	$-16	05-09 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$15	05-12 11:37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$8	31	0	+31	Yes	$-8	05-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-11 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 08:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-11 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 08:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbe235b…
05-14 07:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xe989f7…
05-12 11:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x8b80a0…
05-11 19:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x154ae9…
05-11 05:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x05df21…
05-09 18:06:04	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	104	85¢	$88	0x87c241…
05-05 19:47:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x43b36c…