Shoddy-Larva — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

628

Trades

1,362

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-27 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

44% 33% -$246

Sports

34% 43% +$435

Crypto

17% 58% -$46

Politics

4% 34% -$33

Pop-Culture

1% 60% +$22

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5	$4	72¢	$4	$0	10-27 04:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-55	-$12	6¢	$-3	+$9	05-24 04:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?	5	$217	190	190	+0	Yes	+$37	06-05 18:23
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$196	130	130	+0	Knicks	+$63	06-11 03:48
Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$187	128	126	+1	Rockets	+$31	04-27 03:35
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$175	120	120	+0	Sean Strickland	+$65	05-10 05:03
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	3	$173	130	130	+0	Yes	+$87	06-04 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:20 UTC	4	$164	116	115	+2	Up	+$20	02-18 08:24
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$163	100	99	+1	Aljamain Sterling	+$35	04-26 03:29
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi	3	$162	120	120	+0	Francisco Comesana	+$78	05-28 20:42
mlb pit oak 2026 06 16	12	$162	204	204	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$32	06-17 04:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$161	160	160	+0	Spurs	+$24	05-19 03:38
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$149	90	90	+0	Knicks	+$30	05-26 02:03
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$145	120	120	+0	Spurs	+$24	05-31 02:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	4	$140	160	160	+0	Knicks	+$43	06-14 03:21
cs2 g2 bb3 2026 04 02	4	$139	100	99	+1	G2	+$3	04-02 17:24
Pistons vs. Magic	6	$137	151	150	+1	Magic	-$11	04-28 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$133	91	91	+0	Up	+$33	05-02 05:09
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	4	$133	125	125	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$32	05-31 22:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$132	100	100	+0	Knicks	+$66	06-06 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:45 UTC	4	$132	82	82	+0	Up	+$30	02-18 08:50
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$129	120	120	+0	Yes	+$24	06-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$128	85	58	+28	Down	+$6	05-02 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$126	100	100	+0	Down	+$26	05-31 05:24
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	4	$117	100	100	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$3	05-27 01:41
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	2	$114	86	86	+0	Yes	+$31	05-20 23:15
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$108	90	90	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$70	06-15 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$107	91	91	+0	Down	+$7	05-02 04:59
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	4	$105	70	70	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$34	05-10 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$105	58	58	+0	Down	+$5	05-02 04:48
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$104	70	70	+0	Canadiens	+$36	05-19 02:58
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	2	$104	70	70	+0	Golden Knights	+$36	05-27 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:13:02	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x284d48…
10-27 04:01:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa139f5…
10-27 03:39:20	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x8fbde6…
10-27 03:20:38	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xc0bbce…
10-27 02:23:48	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xa963ca…
10-27 02:19:09	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xdb5e13…
10-27 02:17:18	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xcf8292…
10-27 02:00:27	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xf8123c…
10-27 01:28:23	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x14007e…
10-27 01:25:08	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xdd1901…
10-27 01:15:41	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xf33b1a…
10-27 00:03:06	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xa4dd11…
10-26 23:44:00	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x8db16b…
10-26 23:26:21	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x2de5c4…
10-26 23:21:35	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x170e96…
10-26 23:21:06	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x20dd3f…
10-26 23:04:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x32f1ea…
10-26 18:26:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0xd9fd11…
10-26 18:24:42	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xc68f94…
10-26 17:57:45	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xdeb580…
10-26 17:35:39	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf2c0ee…
10-26 17:34:21	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x80403e…
10-26 17:31:02	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xb2411e…
10-26 17:23:00	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x17f1be…
10-26 17:06:32	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x414672…
10-26 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	G2	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xf18000…
10-26 16:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xb11571…
10-26 16:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x46c9aa…
10-26 16:50:15	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	DENDELE CS	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x180126…
10-26 16:47:21	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xb9c6c5…
10-26 16:47:12	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xb67d6d…
10-26 16:04:50	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x4d3e73…
10-26 15:57:12	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xaedfed…
10-26 15:39:30	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x4bbf7f…
10-26 03:58:00	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x5a93ca…
10-26 00:52:00	Clippers vs. Thunder	Clippers	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x4c9602…
10-26 00:05:48	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x467572…
10-25 22:42:29	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x826fdc…
10-25 21:38:45	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x650dab…
10-25 21:33:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x30d693…
10-25 21:31:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x31de57…
10-25 21:30:00	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xc6b372…
10-25 21:29:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xb8bb41…
10-25 20:28:30	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x38695f…
10-25 20:26:45	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xbdb94b…
10-25 20:25:29	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x04c3ef…
10-25 20:22:30	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xaf0b1c…
10-25 18:31:51	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xf8942e…
10-25 18:11:39	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x34d2d2…
10-25 16:14:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x947b3b…
10-25 15:41:14	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xbcc454…
10-25 15:29:21	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xc5a0c5…
10-25 05:44:44	Houston vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xf329a0…
10-25 04:47:14	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0xa88299…
10-25 04:33:44	Houston vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x694844…
10-25 04:27:59	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x3519c8…
10-25 04:27:35	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x86ade9…
06-22 03:00:46	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x8fe7d0…
06-21 21:01:46	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbba38d…
06-21 20:37:53	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xab7b08…
06-21 20:36:41	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0x948556…
06-21 20:21:17	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x9f24d7…
06-21 20:20:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x4d6470…
06-20 20:02:46	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x60e7d4…
06-20 19:09:25	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x7444b1…
06-20 19:05:07	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x21ad76…
06-20 15:01:01	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x0ede16…
06-20 02:47:55	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x01c2c7…
06-20 01:01:04	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x28be11…
06-20 01:00:20	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x1d4579…
06-19 23:22:41	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x0e793f…
06-19 19:44:17	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8abe73…
06-19 18:43:55	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xb93712…
06-19 18:37:47	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x42400a…
06-19 18:37:40	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x151f8b…
06-19 17:53:59	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	G2	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x49072b…
06-19 15:57:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x5f3d57…
06-19 06:35:38	Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Australia?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xec7888…
06-19 05:20:05	Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x3e4c5d…
06-19 05:15:47	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Team Falcons	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x75f706…
06-19 05:15:22	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Team Falcons	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xbc16e9…
06-19 02:48:50	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x8a598d…
06-19 02:30:34	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x98cd11…
06-19 02:29:19	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$4	0xb44992…
06-19 02:28:50	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xb63ab3…
06-19 02:12:44	Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5d4042…
06-19 01:58:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x438776…
06-19 00:06:17	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x1f21f6…
06-18 23:16:38	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x2fc0cf…
06-18 22:37:20	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xf395e6…
06-18 22:23:05	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x130fd9…
06-18 22:10:31	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x2f3b7f…
06-18 21:17:22	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x580f16…
06-18 21:05:52	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xe166a8…
06-18 20:54:10	Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x43f851…
06-18 20:54:02	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x838618…
06-18 20:41:08	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xa72858…
06-18 20:39:10	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x2a7e88…
06-18 20:38:11	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x729adc…
06-18 20:36:14	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x2ebf61…