Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$183

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$413

Open exposure

$1.12K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-05 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

95% 35% +$1,454

Other

4% 0% -$300

Sports

1% 100% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No		+1,695	$1,000	62¢	$1.1K	+$59	10-05 16:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+1,875	$300	3¢	$57	-$243	05-27 15:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$2.4K	1,935	1,935	+0	Yes	+$1,361	03-07 11:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	3,226	0	+3,226	Yes	+$1,226	02-20 14:14
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$2.0K	5,586	0	+5,586	No	-$2,000	07-29 10:00
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$1.0K	3,139	0	+3,139	Yes	+$2,139	02-20 14:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	1	$1.0K	1,695	0	+1,695	open	—	10-05 16:50
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$1000	15,822	0	+15,822	No	-$1,000	07-29 10:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$800	1,668	0	+1,668	No	+$868	06-18 15:06
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$500	1,163	0	+1,163	Yes	-$500	07-28 18:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$500	865	0	+865	Yes	+$365	03-04 14:35
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei during the state of the union address	1	$400	1,288	0	+1,288	No	-$400	02-24 22:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$300	1,875	0	+1,875	open	—	05-27 15:29
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$300	833	0	+833	No	-$300	03-09 08:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$300	1,632	0	+1,632	No	-$300	03-27 08:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$300	484	0	+484	Yes	+$184	03-27 08:44
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	1	$200	2,592	0	+2,592	Yes	-$200	07-26 12:22
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	1	$200	677	0	+677	No	-$200	03-14 18:44
will trump praise allah again by april 15	1	$200	909	0	+909	Yes	+$709	04-07 21:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$200	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$200	04-28 16:13
will trump say putin during the state of the union address 958	1	$150	278	0	+278	No	-$150	02-24 22:25
will trump say witkoff during the state of the union address 785	1	$150	262	0	+262	Yes	+$112	02-24 22:26
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	1	$150	350	0	+350	Yes	+$200	02-24 22:26
will trump say president xi during the state of the union address 585	1	$150	256	0	+256	No	-$150	02-24 22:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$100	3,846	0	+3,846	No	-$100	05-27 15:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$100	05-27 15:30
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$100	2,354	0	+2,354	No	-$100	06-22 16:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$100	2,703	0	+2,703	No	-$100	03-17 16:39
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	1	$100	143	0	+143	Movsar Evloev	+$43	03-21 22:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$50	417	0	+417	No	-$50	03-05 05:56
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$50	295	0	+295	No	-$50	03-09 08:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$50	714	0	+714	No	-$50	03-02 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 16:50:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0xca11f5…
07-29 11:57:32	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,073	3¢	$30	0xf05132…
07-29 10:01:44	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15,822	6¢	$1,000	0x0f2b47…
07-29 10:00:53	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,586	36¢	$2,000	0x757e40…
07-28 18:06:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0xfcb0aa…
07-26 12:22:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	No	BUY	2,592	8¢	$200	0x672c97…
06-22 16:28:19	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,354	4¢	$100	0x118f2c…
06-18 15:06:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	775	39¢	$300	0x6621f9…
06-17 16:55:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0x650e63…
05-27 15:30:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0x2478f2…
05-27 15:30:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xdda55d…
05-27 15:29:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,875	16¢	$300	0x52c2ab…
04-28 16:13:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0x1fc79a…
04-07 21:07:15	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0xb43898…
03-27 08:44:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0x0a03d7…
03-27 08:44:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x68a249…
03-21 22:31:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x980a69…
03-21 22:19:45	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x874a5e…
03-17 16:39:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	2,703	4¢	$100	0x8ec849…
03-14 18:44:19	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	677	30¢	$200	0xb64033…
03-09 08:34:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	295	17¢	$50	0x37dbdb…
03-09 08:14:55	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0xaef090…
03-07 11:25:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,935	96¢	$1,861	0x9fd636…
03-05 05:56:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x3ad656…
03-04 14:35:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	865	58¢	$500	0x927518…
03-02 16:39:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xbce485…
02-28 14:54:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	882	34¢	$300	0x78531a…
02-26 07:09:58	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	683	4¢	$30	0x2a5d2e…
02-24 22:37:36	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	1,288	31¢	$400	0xf4a523…
02-24 22:26:32	will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	Yes	BUY	350	43¢	$150	0xafaccd…
02-24 22:26:02	will trump say witkoff during the state of the union address 785	Yes	BUY	262	57¢	$150	0x54c24d…
02-24 22:25:18	will trump say putin during the state of the union address 958	Yes	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0x808784…
02-24 22:24:58	will trump say president xi during the state of the union address 585	Yes	BUY	256	59¢	$150	0x1d9f4d…
02-20 14:15:52	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0xdb4c54…
02-20 14:14:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,226	62¢	$2,000	0x867ec2…
02-20 14:09:16	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,139	32¢	$1,000	0xb404ae…