Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

255

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-01 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

56% 99% -$7

Crypto

27% 100% +$4

Politics

14% 97% -$4

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	06-29 23:57
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	10-28 03:59
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$4	$0	10-28 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x415639…
10-31 15:56:36	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99e650…
10-31 15:56:07	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda1c5a…
10-30 23:57:07	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c7a7c…
10-30 10:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x605d91…
10-30 01:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x082a85…
10-29 07:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf3ac9e…
10-28 03:59:01	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf2a49…
10-28 03:56:49	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20c578…
10-28 02:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27e372…
10-27 01:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa093a4…
10-27 00:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9290b…
10-26 12:56:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f908f…
10-23 15:59:11	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x416194…
10-23 15:58:41	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3c7ef…
10-23 13:59:27	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa977c8…
10-23 12:57:54	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2cb62…
10-22 04:56:44	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdabc5e…
10-21 03:57:03	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fe9d8…
10-20 20:57:03	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x545148…
10-20 09:58:11	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9ab34…
10-20 06:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb50e3…
10-19 12:58:50	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69ac24…
10-17 03:58:08	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c9ab9…
10-16 23:58:20	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x66c641…
10-16 12:58:42	HYPE Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2768dd…
10-16 06:57:55	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fc33c…
10-16 03:56:39	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9908ac…
10-15 23:58:27	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x126ab5…
10-15 03:56:49	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x282172…
10-14 04:57:13	XRP Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3b1e8…
10-14 04:56:55	Solana Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x64d520…
10-13 19:57:43	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x718c33…
10-12 10:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf7ea4…
10-12 04:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcb2db…
10-12 01:58:35	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x640423…
10-11 02:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a68d7…
10-10 17:58:45	Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47c625…
10-09 07:56:36	HYPE Up or Down - October 9, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x024c8f…
10-09 05:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde3261…
10-09 01:58:44	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2f238…
10-08 07:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcfc050…
10-08 05:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x652bd2…
10-07 20:58:22	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc3efe…
10-07 00:57:11	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3df7ff…
10-06 23:56:16	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa32c03…
10-06 21:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf47c6…
10-06 07:58:40	BNB Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3d285…
10-05 08:59:04	xrp up or down october 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94a3fe…
10-05 06:00:25	Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa40275…
10-03 23:56:41	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x070f66…
10-03 16:57:11	Spread: Notre Dame (-3.5)	Notre Dame	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78464a…
10-03 10:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6caaf…
10-01 14:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x658b79…
10-01 09:57:02	ethereum up or down october 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7d5524…
10-01 09:56:33	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb73bd…
10-01 04:59:06	xrp up or down october 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93366f…
10-01 04:58:50	solana up or down october 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf576e6…
09-30 17:56:48	where will it rain on september 29 2026 new york ny	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a96e0…
09-30 16:58:33	xrp up or down september 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e9875…
09-30 14:59:00	ethereum up or down september 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d9ae2…
09-30 13:56:35	M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw: Completed Match: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c0c83…
09-30 10:56:54	ethereum up or down september 30 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x739869…
09-30 04:00:42	Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x550960…
09-29 23:56:53	Romanian PM Bolojan out by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc5da4…
09-29 23:56:23	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb11ae2…
09-29 02:58:47	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0dd51…
09-28 19:56:50	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 28?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fe290…
09-28 07:56:03	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xf88032…
09-27 04:58:32	bnb up or down september 27 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf69430…
09-27 03:59:57	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9d37e3…
09-26 05:58:29	hype up or down september 26 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9427fc…
09-26 03:56:41	Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4550a0…
09-25 06:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x13881c…
09-25 05:56:27	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 43.0 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x881950…
09-24 21:58:38	wti up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4c4f4b…
09-24 02:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xff69fd…
09-23 06:59:19	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa0f5e1…
09-23 05:58:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe53b49…
09-22 23:59:16	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xccd7cd…
09-22 16:57:07	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcb031f…
09-21 13:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0xef50f4…
09-21 05:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x088ba0…
09-21 04:58:19	XRP Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb5b362…
09-20 23:57:44	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xadbfc4…
09-20 11:59:40	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7e5907…
09-20 11:59:10	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6d0f22…
09-20 06:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0xa499ad…
09-20 05:59:45	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4f57eb…
09-20 04:59:25	BNB Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd432c6…
09-19 23:57:21	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x144da9…
09-19 23:56:40	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc2c2ad…
09-18 04:58:10	xrp up or down september 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x37b623…
09-18 03:56:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x535cb2…
09-17 23:58:58	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc2b68…
09-17 22:58:46	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb584fc…
09-17 04:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc162ea…
09-17 00:58:54	BNB Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45f518…
09-17 00:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2f4897…
09-16 14:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf0e535…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
negative gdp growth in 2025	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-30 11:55
val nrg mibr 2026 01 30	1	$5	5	+5	MIBR	+$0	01-31 03:55
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	01-27 16:55
meta close above 680 on february 5 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-05 20:57
val 1m gnga 2026 02 08 game1	1	$5	5	+5	One More Esports	+$0	02-08 19:55
will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be negative	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-12 06:55
lol ot doc 2026 02 14	1	$5	5	+5	Onion Team	+$0	02-14 15:55
will doordash report less than 800 million total orders in q4 2025	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-09 23:55
will trump say too big to rig this week january 25	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-24 23:55
zuffa ajagb marti 2026 02 15	1	$5	5	+5	Ajagba	+$0	02-16 04:55
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 27?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	04-27 19:56
will the bharatiya janata party bjp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-08 23:55
will ng dip to 2 50 by april 13 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-17 20:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-17 23:55
will xauusd reach 4900 by april 6 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-10 20:55
Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	-$5	05-04 17:55
xauusd up or down on march 27 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	03-27 20:55
will trump say reza or pahlavi during the state of the union address 692	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-23 23:55
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 1, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-01 00:01
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	03-21 23:55
will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the april decision	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-06 23:55
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 80 and 85?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-30 23:59
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-01 23:55
cs2 isg desped 2026 04 05 game2	1	$5	5	+5	Isurus	+$0	04-05 17:55
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-17 23:55
will the bank of israel increase the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	02-22 23:55
val cls1 ful1 2026 02 18 game1	1	$5	5	+5	Coalesce	+$0	02-18 19:55
will cornyn flip paxton for texas rep senate primary winner by march 2	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	03-01 23:55
will jaxon smith njigba break nfl receiving yards record	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-03 23:55
will cindy hyde smith be the republican nominee for senate from mississippi	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	03-09 23:55