Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$76

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 10-29 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

82% 53% -$2

Politics

17% 54% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-05 21:33
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:59
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-25 02:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-08 18:22
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 18:02
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-29 22:25
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-27 10:04
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 08:46
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 01:23
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-23 09:58
will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-30 23:38
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-25 10:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-27 21:09
will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-28 05:09
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-15 00:06
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 05:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-29 13:57
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	09-11 02:06
spy up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	10-13 15:03
spx up or down on september 28 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	09-28 13:14
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	09-11 10:47
will hood reach 125 by september 21 2026 from september 24	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-25 01:33
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 02:35
will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-01 08:29
Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-23 18:05
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	09-08 08:26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-14 22:28
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-28 23:23
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-10 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:25:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x897c31…
10-29 13:57:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xac7355…
10-15 00:06:48	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd241ef…
10-14 15:16:42	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbaed6d…
10-14 07:10:04	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe5538b…
10-13 23:06:52	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x918c54…
10-13 15:03:01	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x444d46…
10-11 18:54:12	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa0cc36…
10-11 10:53:47	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf79f08…
10-11 01:23:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb2b85…
10-10 13:08:01	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x836ec8…
10-09 10:37:22	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfaf17f…
10-09 02:37:17	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x14ad1d…
10-08 06:26:13	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x420147…
10-07 22:22:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x510f47…
10-05 21:33:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x94daf7…
10-05 12:17:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xea9d12…
10-05 02:08:07	will mu reach 1140 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a1301…
10-04 18:08:01	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfa741e…
10-02 05:46:41	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x44a222…
10-01 16:33:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd100e6…
10-01 08:29:05	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2a6f0a…
09-30 23:38:50	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x42c212…
09-30 13:38:27	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3ab84e…
09-30 05:24:53	will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e4900…
09-28 21:23:57	will meta reach 730 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x67965f…
09-28 13:14:29	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4b62d6…
09-28 05:09:45	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd7dac3…
09-27 21:09:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x12ab45…
09-27 10:04:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x03c595…
09-27 02:03:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdd321a…
09-26 07:35:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc2f7a2…
09-25 18:13:12	wti closes above 93 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f3397…
09-25 10:12:14	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x91d7d9…
09-25 01:33:21	will hood reach 125 by september 21 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa959c3…
09-24 11:12:12	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7c8594…
09-24 03:10:55	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0a52c7…
09-23 18:05:56	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x55408d…
09-23 09:58:46	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcd1d7a…
09-23 00:29:38	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x72bfb9…
09-21 15:00:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3ec6ff…
09-21 06:59:59	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc37b53…
09-20 22:23:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71591a…
09-19 11:00:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e4da4…
09-19 00:59:27	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xddf1db…
09-16 02:35:54	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf64a67…
09-15 18:07:58	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x74d035…
09-15 09:23:30	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xaa868b…
09-14 22:28:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xffc264…
09-14 14:10:33	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x081e99…
09-14 05:50:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6f601f…
09-13 21:50:13	will spy reach 765 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4f4faf…
09-11 10:47:46	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc6eb91…
09-11 02:06:48	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc0576c…
09-10 18:02:37	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x40d015…
09-10 09:19:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3e7846…
09-10 01:17:48	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x025c69…
09-09 16:49:31	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x48a0e3…
09-09 08:46:40	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78d758…
09-08 18:50:33	Will Chewy say "Amazon" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf77cbc…
09-08 18:22:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb3eea…
09-08 08:26:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd8223a…
09-07 13:23:40	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7b3265…
08-30 11:49:51	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x94ed7b…
08-29 22:07:01	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf4aed0…
08-29 13:41:46	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1bd42b…
08-28 23:23:07	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x61b101…
08-27 02:02:49	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbd51d6…
08-26 16:56:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5963ca…
08-26 08:43:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9fdd8b…
08-25 19:17:54	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd70b87…
08-25 02:42:46	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xde9096…
08-24 18:20:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x791bb4…
08-24 10:15:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x214eb4…
08-24 02:09:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f26c2…
08-23 05:30:03	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa05188…