Simplistic-Towel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$947

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-20 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

95% 93% -$949

Politics

3% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$717	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$43	01-29 14:41
cbb ri duq 2026 02 01	1	$594	1,350	0	+1,350	Duquesne Dukes	-$594	02-01 13:44
cbb pacfc sf 2026 01 31	1	$315	900	0	+900	San Francisco Dons	-$315	02-01 02:42
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	07-30 16:21
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-30 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-17 15:24
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	08-18 11:59
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	08-18 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 27?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-26 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-17 00:52
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-17 15:24
ethereum above 1700 on april 13	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	04-11 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on May 4?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-03 15:25
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 240plus	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-20 06:01
bitcoin above 56k on march 8	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-07 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-25 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 27?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-26 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-07 14:46
highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 27c	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-23 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 26?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-25 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-07 14:46
highest temperature in toronto on april 11 2026 7c	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-11 14:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 10c	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-23 15:16
Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	10-20 15:01
Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	10-20 15:01
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 22corhigher	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-19 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 41°F or below on May 4?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-03 15:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 19c	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-23 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-03 15:25
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 500 519	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-30 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:01:32	Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7ecac5…
10-20 15:01:29	Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0866be…
10-01 15:23:12	Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed9b22…
10-01 15:23:06	Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x912bf9…
10-01 15:22:45	Will White House post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a0a59…
10-01 15:21:32	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7dbbe…
09-09 12:29:19	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb29dca…
09-09 12:29:09	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71f559…
09-09 12:29:03	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3528f6…
09-09 12:28:51	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf71827…
08-18 11:59:54	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x127141…
08-18 11:59:42	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x71e2f9…
07-30 16:21:59	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x9e2305…
07-09 14:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68ea20…
07-09 14:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30dc7f…
07-09 14:37:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6ff48…
07-09 14:37:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x399181…
06-25 15:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd19ba9…
06-25 15:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x37a954…
06-25 15:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa88e19…
06-17 15:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x91c09e…
06-17 15:24:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb7c2a7…
06-07 14:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x395886…
06-07 14:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xec1b08…
06-07 14:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc49796…
05-26 14:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67d0ed…
05-26 14:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x044896…
05-26 14:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5a0a48…
05-17 00:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd272f4…
05-17 00:52:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ef4c6…
05-17 00:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8d98bc…
05-03 15:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd44b8…
05-03 15:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on May 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x07a302…
05-03 15:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 41°F or below on May 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x71b0df…
04-23 15:16:56	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 10c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e4f46…
04-23 15:16:40	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 19c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x63b3b1…
04-23 15:16:22	highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 27c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x25b15d…
04-11 14:51:29	highest temperature in toronto on april 11 2026 7c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x73a05b…
04-11 14:51:03	ethereum above 2700 on april 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x905571…
04-11 14:50:55	ethereum above 1700 on april 13	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x488e5d…
03-30 14:36:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 500 519	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa21ab0…
03-30 14:36:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfa439…
03-19 13:16:39	highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7bd216…
03-07 09:36:13	bitcoin above 56k on march 8	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x377c43…
03-07 09:36:05	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28bf4f…
02-20 06:01:46	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 240plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb303ff…
02-02 09:46:06	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0e185…
02-01 13:44:16	cbb ri duq 2026 02 01	Rhode Island Rams	BUY	1,350	44¢	$594	0x892e7b…
02-01 02:42:18	cbb pacfc sf 2026 01 31	Pacific Tigers	BUY	900	35¢	$315	0x7fe50d…
01-29 14:41:20	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	1,000	34¢	$337	0x7280b9…
01-29 14:40:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0xd93af3…