Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

138

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$516

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-20 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 26% -$7

Other

24% 24% -$8

Politics

7% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+125	$7	3¢	$4	-$3	10-20 19:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes		+95	$16	4¢	$3	-$12	10-20 19:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$34	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	03-03 13:20
cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18	2	$24	19	19	+0	Natus Vincere	+$4	02-18 16:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:00 UTC	3	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	02-13 20:04
cs2 mglz b8 2026 02 16	5	$19	28	28	+0	TheMongolz	+$11	02-16 14:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$16	95	0	+95	open	—	10-20 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:30 UTC	2	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	02-13 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:20 UTC	2	$13	12	11	+0	Up	+$3	02-13 20:24
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	2	$13	11	11	+0	Team Falcons	+$3	02-16 18:28
cs2 b8 aur1 2026 02 17	2	$12	47	0	+47	Aurora Gaming	-$12	02-17 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:00 UTC	2	$12	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	02-13 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:20 UTC	2	$12	34	0	+34	Down	-$12	02-13 21:24
cs2 hero mnte 2026 03 03	2	$9	14	14	+0	Monte	-$1	03-03 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:50 UTC	2	$9	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:40 UTC	3	$9	10	6	+4	Down	+$1	02-13 19:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 17:00 UTC	3	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	02-16 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:35 UTC	3	$8	13	6	+7	Up	+$0	02-13 20:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:45 UTC	3	$8	89	40	+49	Down	+$4	02-18 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:10 UTC	2	$7	8	7	+1	Down	+$2	02-13 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:30 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	02-13 19:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 14:30 UTC	3	$7	22	0	+22	Up	-$7	02-16 14:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	125	0	+125	open	—	10-20 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:25 UTC	1	$7	18	0	+18	Down	-$7	02-13 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 08:30 UTC	3	$6	129	0	+129	Down	-$6	02-16 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 13:35 UTC	3	$6	8	4	+4	Up	+$0	02-15 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:25 UTC	3	$6	7	3	+4	Down	$0	02-13 19:29
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	1	$5	201	0	+201	Yes	-$5	04-30 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:10 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	02-13 21:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 22:15 UTC	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	-$5	02-16 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	02-13 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:55 UTC	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	02-13 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 19:21:20	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc6b365…
10-20 19:20:42	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	6¢	$7	0xe12b5e…
07-15 19:16:26	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c91e2…
07-09 19:43:29	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf0a4e2…
05-01 10:04:34	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0xa2b138…
04-30 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb96741…
04-30 10:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7a3e4f…
04-30 10:27:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	201	2¢	$5	0xe3ce51…
03-03 13:20:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	28	70¢	$19	0x8fe26b…
03-03 13:14:53	cs2 hero mnte 2026 03 03	Heroic	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0xef1098…
03-03 13:12:23	cs2 hero mnte 2026 03 03	Heroic	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x16dceb…
03-03 12:42:27	bitcoin up or down march 3 7am et	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfda523…
03-01 14:46:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x06e3d1…
02-22 15:59:28	cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	PARIVISION	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc496b7…
02-22 12:58:30	cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22	TheMongolz	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x72bac0…
02-18 20:59:48	ethereum up or down february 18 3pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d263d…
02-18 20:59:26	xrp up or down february 18 3pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c1bdd…
02-18 20:58:54	bitcoin up or down february 18 3pm et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c2ab4…
02-18 20:48:38	solana up or down february 18 3pm et	Down	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x8ee143…
02-18 20:48:24	solana up or down february 18 3pm et	Down	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xffb3e6…
02-18 20:48:12	solana up or down february 18 3pm et	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6e9568…
02-18 20:48:06	solana up or down february 18 3pm et	Down	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x3eaffc…
02-18 19:55:20	bitcoin up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0xec85bb…
02-18 19:55:20	bitcoin up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x193bc0…
02-18 19:55:00	solana up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd25792…
02-18 19:55:00	solana up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x1083b2…
02-18 19:51:46	ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x64f4c5…
02-18 19:51:40	ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x9e9bd0…
02-18 19:51:10	ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x9a19db…
02-18 19:51:10	ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6643d4…
02-18 19:45:08	ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9e39ad…
02-18 19:45:04	ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x96154d…
02-18 19:34:54	xrp up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x5d59d3…
02-18 19:34:44	xrp up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4d832b…
02-18 19:34:42	xrp up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x8d8b41…
02-18 19:34:40	xrp up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdb5cda…
02-18 19:34:40	xrp up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8fdf7e…
02-18 19:34:40	xrp up or down february 18 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2937fd…
02-18 18:45:54	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x544bdf…
02-18 18:45:40	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc267fd…
02-18 18:45:30	solana up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7fdf1b…
02-18 18:45:28	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe9f692…
02-18 18:45:28	solana up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x79841f…
02-18 18:45:28	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x10cb8f…
02-18 18:45:24	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc70bc0…
02-18 18:45:20	solana up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x979f47…
02-18 18:45:20	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6d429a…
02-18 18:45:20	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x61de7f…
02-18 18:45:16	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x238645…
02-18 18:45:06	solana up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x93da32…
02-18 18:45:04	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xe49bd1…
02-18 18:45:04	xrp up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe0cc05…
02-18 18:45:00	solana up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa898c5…
02-18 18:44:14	ethereum up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3cd6fb…
02-18 18:42:56	bitcoin up or down february 18 1pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x99777a…
02-18 17:59:52	bitcoin up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xedcf8c…
02-18 17:59:44	solana up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x2f790d…
02-18 17:59:44	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x017da9…
02-18 17:59:40	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x91c11a…
02-18 17:59:40	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x7d714e…
02-18 17:59:40	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x72b8d6…
02-18 17:59:40	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x119d5b…
02-18 17:59:40	solana up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0114d1…
02-18 17:59:38	solana up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xf885b5…
02-18 17:59:36	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x43784d…
02-18 17:59:36	ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x043a87…
02-18 17:57:04	xrp up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc6cabe…
02-18 17:57:04	xrp up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xab64d3…
02-18 17:57:04	xrp up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x73ddff…
02-18 17:57:04	xrp up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x596d94…
02-18 17:57:04	xrp up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x54a0a1…
02-18 17:57:02	xrp up or down february 18 12pm et	Up	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x97c1c2…
02-18 17:07:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x8464cc…
02-18 17:03:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x76df42…
02-18 17:03:40	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x03dfd0…
02-18 17:03:32	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2aec9e…
02-18 16:56:04	cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18	Natus Vincere	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xbbb6ff…
02-18 16:49:30	ethereum up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x48f9a2…
02-18 16:49:24	ethereum up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4db887…
02-18 16:48:14	bitcoin up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x66bddd…
02-18 16:46:40	ethereum up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaf3cf2…
02-18 16:46:38	ethereum up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2a1247…
02-18 16:46:38	ethereum up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x071832…
02-18 16:46:16	solana up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xb39b31…
02-18 16:45:22	solana up or down february 18 11am et	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x3d7ab9…
02-18 16:38:38	cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18	Natus Vincere	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfef0cf…
02-18 14:25:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x94e951…
02-18 14:05:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb63870…
02-18 14:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x929592…
02-18 13:56:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x65fca7…
02-18 13:56:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x51aee6…
02-18 13:55:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc0dd42…
02-18 13:54:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x32b7da…
02-18 13:41:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8a7079…
02-18 13:40:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x83eb75…
02-18 13:38:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x397c8a…
02-18 13:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9567ba…
02-18 13:32:42	cs2 fut prv 2026 02 18 game1	FUT Esports	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xcf30aa…
02-17 16:51:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x18eb03…
02-17 16:43:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	316	1¢	$2	0x13b662…