Concerned-Blush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.62K

Unrealized P&L

+$39

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

8,415

Trades

12,921

lifetime

Volume

$184.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 11-01 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 56% -$3,425

Other

2% 77% +$582

Politics

2% 50% -$771

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes		-400	-$44	1¢	$-5	+$39	04-29 06:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	22	$3.2K	2,356	2,356	+0	Up	-$410	10-20 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	19	$2.6K	2,122	1,277	+845	Down	+$83	10-20 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	17	$2.4K	1,764	833	+930	Up	-$850	10-06 19:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	31	$2.3K	5,800	1,946	+3,854	No	-$1,200	04-21 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:55 UTC	16	$2.3K	1,705	867	+838	Down	+$143	09-22 05:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$1.9K	3,351	3,351	+0	No	+$579	04-18 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	13	$1.9K	1,366	1,366	+0	Down	+$86	09-03 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	11	$1.9K	1,699	940	+759	Up	+$3	10-26 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	18	$1.7K	2,672	1,810	+862	Up	+$134	10-27 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	56	$1.7K	2,476	2,476	+0	Up	+$451	10-26 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	16	$1.6K	1,876	1,487	+389	Up	+$222	09-02 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC	15	$1.6K	1,366	722	+644	Down	+$10	09-22 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	15	$1.5K	1,805	640	+1,165	Up	-$141	10-06 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	11	$1.5K	1,171	638	+533	Down	+$33	09-02 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:30 UTC	10	$1.5K	1,336	1,336	+0	Down	-$137	09-21 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	14	$1.5K	2,544	2,187	+357	Up	-$194	09-03 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	10	$1.4K	1,146	1,131	+15	Down	+$14	09-04 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	13	$1.4K	1,255	364	+891	Down	+$87	10-20 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:40 UTC	13	$1.4K	1,307	289	+1,018	Up	+$151	09-22 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	13	$1.4K	1,290	779	+510	Down	+$121	09-02 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:35 UTC	10	$1.3K	1,411	727	+683	Up	+$195	09-21 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	12	$1.3K	1,345	945	+399	Down	+$55	10-26 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	11	$1.2K	1,657	1,657	+0	Down	-$29	10-20 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	9	$1.2K	868	461	+406	Up	-$5	09-02 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	7	$1.0K	593	593	+0	Down	+$36	10-20 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	10	$1.0K	1,008	957	+51	Up	-$222	09-04 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$1000	1,165	0	+1,165	Up	-$63	10-26 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	9	$979	682	682	+0	Down	+$29	09-03 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:50 UTC	8	$929	674	662	+12	Down	-$271	09-22 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	34	$927	972	971	+0	Down	-$73	10-27 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x7ec947…
11-01 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x066647…
11-01 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x244e50…
11-01 13:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x06337e…
11-01 13:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7e4fa3…
11-01 13:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdb0325…
11-01 13:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2a160c…
11-01 13:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x019536…
11-01 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x015d66…
11-01 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x687488…
11-01 13:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x760dd9…
11-01 13:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x5ea2e5…
11-01 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a7936…
11-01 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xffa1af…
11-01 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x627bc6…
11-01 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x164ee4…
11-01 13:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5261f3…
11-01 13:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdbd519…
11-01 13:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a5ae2…
11-01 13:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfa85eb…
11-01 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xed26b7…
11-01 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xafe554…
11-01 13:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc19145…
11-01 13:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x772447…
11-01 13:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6e0d3d…
11-01 13:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x57ac89…
11-01 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xfc5386…
11-01 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9a04bc…
11-01 13:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc624b0…
11-01 13:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x26e82e…
11-01 13:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9eb4ef…
11-01 13:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xad3174…
11-01 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xfb698d…
11-01 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xc6493b…
11-01 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbcdb5c…
11-01 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x30f68f…
11-01 12:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xadd065…
11-01 12:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x28308c…
11-01 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa80015…
11-01 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x298d72…
11-01 12:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb824ea…
11-01 12:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1417ff…
11-01 12:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0bd669…
11-01 12:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x97a72b…
11-01 12:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x231820…
11-01 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xf964a9…
11-01 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x91da48…
11-01 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0e7456…
11-01 12:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x751482…
11-01 12:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x228270…
11-01 12:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf34a10…
11-01 12:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xdbb86f…
11-01 12:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2908ef…
11-01 12:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0d8f2b…
11-01 12:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2f9dc8…
11-01 12:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x1c17b1…
11-01 12:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7bd99b…
11-01 12:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x6c1dfc…
11-01 12:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x1f639b…
11-01 12:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xff7d67…
11-01 12:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5d055d…
11-01 12:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa54e59…
11-01 12:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2705ea…
11-01 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x38c02a…
11-01 12:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x30a3ff…
11-01 12:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x288b57…
11-01 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x738652…
11-01 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x25ebc1…
11-01 12:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6a6b62…
11-01 12:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x46d12e…
11-01 12:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3ec079…
11-01 12:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x455bed…
11-01 11:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf144de…
11-01 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x53b2b1…
11-01 11:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfdd5ea…
11-01 11:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xe6b560…
11-01 11:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xdc7c25…
11-01 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc8b87f…
11-01 11:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xba0b82…
11-01 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7997da…
11-01 11:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbfd0cb…
11-01 11:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3e6c41…
11-01 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3bd424…
11-01 11:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd2c9b2…
11-01 11:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3bd3d3…
11-01 11:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x91505f…
11-01 11:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x902825…
11-01 11:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ca814…
11-01 11:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x25ff46…
11-01 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd514ce…
11-01 11:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1e0a50…
11-01 11:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xaff75d…
11-01 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x112995…
11-01 11:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x934ae9…
11-01 11:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbc4720…
11-01 11:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8fb4a2…
11-01 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x017b7e…
11-01 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x47919f…
11-01 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3cb6ea…
11-01 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x743d31…