Excellent-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-15 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$0

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	06-15 12:35
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	06-15 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$170	171	+171	No	+$0	05-04 14:26
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$168	168	+168	open	—	04-12 11:32
bitcoin above 80k on march 12	1	$166	167	+167	open	—	03-11 14:44
bitcoin above 78k on april 2	1	$166	166	+166	open	—	04-01 05:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$165	165	+165	open	—	03-17 12:41
bitcoin above 82k on april 20	1	$165	165	+165	open	—	04-19 13:11
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	1	$164	164	+164	open	—	03-06 20:32
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$164	164	+164	open	—	03-03 06:01
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	1	$163	163	+163	open	—	03-15 11:15
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$161	161	+161	open	—	04-07 05:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$160	160	+160	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:35
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	1	$159	160	+160	open	—	03-23 18:20
ethereum above 1600 on march 6	1	$159	159	+159	open	—	03-05 16:47
bitcoin above 80k on march 20	1	$158	159	+159	open	—	03-19 13:19
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$157	158	+158	open	—	03-08 12:30
ethereum above 2700 on april 22	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	04-21 13:59
ethereum above 2600 on march 29	1	$157	157	+157	open	—	03-27 17:27
bitcoin above 78k on february 6	1	$155	156	+156	open	—	02-05 22:36
ethereum above 2500 on february 20	1	$155	155	+155	open	—	02-18 22:48
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$155	155	+155	open	—	01-12 07:46
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	1	$155	155	+155	open	—	03-25 18:57
bitcoin above 80k on january 6	1	$155	155	+155	open	—	01-04 21:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 22	1	$154	155	+155	open	—	03-21 16:54
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$154	155	+155	open	—	02-11 07:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 10	1	$154	154	+154	open	—	02-09 23:54
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	1	$154	154	+154	open	—	02-23 06:42
ethereum above 3300 on february 2	1	$153	154	+154	open	—	02-01 09:25
bitcoin above 78k on february 17	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	02-16 04:23
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 15	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	02-14 01:32
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	02-28 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 12:35:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73c48f…
06-15 12:30:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x509001…
06-04 12:41:58	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xda30cc…
05-19 18:28:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x6de02b…
05-07 15:35:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xe50f3f…
05-04 14:26:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0xb6285c…
04-21 13:59:18	ethereum above 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x423c3d…
04-19 19:58:46	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb93eaa…
04-19 19:56:44	Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd3e5be…
04-19 13:11:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x1fabc4…
04-12 11:32:17	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x5e902a…
04-07 05:34:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x3d9a7a…
04-01 05:19:01	bitcoin above 78k on april 2	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x6880b7…
03-27 17:27:45	ethereum above 2600 on march 29	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xa8198e…
03-25 18:57:27	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x03a07b…
03-23 18:20:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x6b2035…
03-21 16:54:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x66abb0…
03-21 10:12:07	will googl reach 355 in march	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cdd4d…
03-21 10:10:25	will nvda reach 228 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc0eae4…
03-19 13:19:25	bitcoin above 80k on march 20	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x7a00d8…
03-17 12:41:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x71669f…
03-15 11:15:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x8691e7…
03-11 14:44:39	bitcoin above 80k on march 12	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x81eea1…
03-08 12:30:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x5a0fc7…
03-06 20:32:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xe92f73…
03-05 16:47:45	ethereum above 1600 on march 6	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x6757f4…
03-03 06:01:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xab3739…
02-28 02:11:29	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xc31d8b…
02-23 06:42:46	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x31cd42…
02-21 00:49:22	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 22	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xb85859…
02-18 22:48:36	ethereum above 2500 on february 20	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x0f3d8e…
02-16 04:23:53	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xcf2c71…
02-14 01:32:41	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x08c852…
02-12 00:03:01	bitcoin above 80k on february 13	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x341a1d…
02-11 07:26:03	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x6e158b…
02-09 23:54:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 10	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x9bc214…
02-08 02:46:37	bitcoin above 82k on february 9	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xefcb03…
02-05 22:36:49	bitcoin above 78k on february 6	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x2e3741…
02-01 09:25:10	ethereum above 3300 on february 2	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0x9948a8…
01-29 02:10:02	bitcoin above 80k on january 30	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xbb261c…
01-26 21:02:31	bitcoin above 98k on january 28	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x33aab3…
01-24 10:37:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 26	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x8c4bba…
01-21 12:24:56	bitcoin above 102k on january 23	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xe4c4e6…
01-18 04:10:30	bitcoin above 84k on january 20	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xe6d528…
01-17 09:04:54	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x38abe9…
01-15 05:00:02	bitcoin above 80k on january 17	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x53a0ae…
01-12 07:46:30	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xe92e66…
01-09 20:48:42	bitcoin above 82k on january 11	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x98f7d9…
01-07 14:12:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xc6dfde…
01-04 21:23:51	bitcoin above 80k on january 6	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x5fb8b5…
01-02 09:17:03	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 4	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6687f5…