Meek-Drummer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$226

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$185.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$872

Open exposure

$17.7K

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-25 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

68% 85% +$10,643

Sports

14% 100% +$374

Politics

14% 43% -$1,284

Tech

4% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+6,064	$5,450	92¢	$5.5K	+$98	10-04 16:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+7,287	$4,846	66¢	$4.8K	-$1	10-17 10:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,559	$3,036	94¢	$3.3K	+$291	10-04 16:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$2,650	54¢	$2.7K	+$25	10-04 15:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+4,000	$1,980	34¢	$1.3K	-$640	09-06 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	8	$29.0K	20,376	17,376	+3,000	No	+$719	08-06 17:25
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$21.6K	21,657	0	+21,657	Yes	+$22	07-08 23:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$19.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$490	08-02 23:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$15.8K	13,000	8,000	+5,000	No	-$1,050	09-16 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$15.8K	22,077	1,615	+20,462	No	+$6,206	06-02 16:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	17	$13.1K	10,000	5,000	+5,000	Yes	+$700	09-16 01:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$10.7K	5,778	5,778	+0	No	+$422	06-02 16:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	17	$5.4K	6,064	0	+6,064	open	—	10-04 16:07
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4.8K	5,202	0	+5,202	No	+$353	07-19 06:04
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	16	$4.8K	7,287	0	+7,287	open	—	10-17 10:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$4.8K	7,131	7,131	+0	open	—	10-04 16:02
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$360	07-10 18:39
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	23	$4.6K	5,651	0	+5,651	Yes	+$1,084	07-29 07:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	4	$4.5K	5,176	0	+5,176	No	+$682	08-13 16:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	8	$3.0K	3,559	0	+3,559	open	—	10-04 16:03
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$2.9K	3,388	0	+3,388	Yes	+$440	08-25 23:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.8K	3,812	0	+3,812	Yes	+$1,011	07-29 16:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$2.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-04 15:58
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	6	$2.5K	3,450	3,450	+0	Yes	-$1,102	08-04 16:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	26	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	09-06 23:23
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	6	$1.8K	1,962	114	+1,848	open	—	09-01 17:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$2	07-25 21:16
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$408	07-29 07:30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$1.2K	1,172	0	+1,172	No	+$1	06-29 23:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.0K	1,305	1,305	+0	No	-$975	10-25 23:46
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	4	$1.0K	751	751	+0	No	+$23	08-26 12:14
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	19	$819	483	483	+0	Yes	+$21	07-14 18:02
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	2	$448	238	238	+0	Yes	+$4	07-10 21:57
Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	2	$294	556	0	+556	open	—	10-18 18:13
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	3	$32	164	0	+164	No	-$32	10-04 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:46:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	985	2¢	$21	0x3640e2…
10-25 23:46:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	320	2¢	$7	0xbea3cd…
10-18 18:13:06	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	300	47¢	$142	0xbba75c…
10-17 10:00:14	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	782	56¢	$438	0x1d5f03…
10-17 05:15:20	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	56¢	$53	0x5fdfff…
10-16 15:33:09	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	256	60¢	$153	0xc1d199…
10-16 15:26:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,305	77¢	$1,002	0xe280e6…
10-15 21:08:06	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0x3eed62…
10-04 16:07:35	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x040a64…
10-04 16:03:20	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	85¢	$178	0x814a0c…
10-04 16:02:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,302	16¢	$840	0xfd0f64…
10-04 15:58:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xacc8b9…
10-04 15:55:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	53¢	$2,120	0x2e21f7…
10-04 15:51:52	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x8d21ed…
10-04 15:51:14	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0xe8573c…
10-04 15:50:41	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	92	19¢	$17	0x71d4c8…
10-04 15:42:59	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,025	86¢	$1,742	0xf3d1ec…
10-04 15:41:26	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xd7039d…
10-04 15:41:26	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa331ae…
10-04 15:36:56	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	85¢	$187	0xa6cfb0…
10-04 15:36:49	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	489	85¢	$416	0x311d74…
10-04 15:36:16	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	84¢	$242	0x47ea16…
10-04 15:35:25	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	83¢	$252	0x70c3bc…
09-16 01:05:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	407	88¢	$358	0xb48298…
09-16 01:05:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	568	88¢	$500	0x461b7c…
09-16 01:04:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb9fd2e…
09-16 01:02:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,024	88¢	$3,541	0xa20993…
09-16 00:16:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0xe77eab…
09-15 02:35:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,799	87¢	$2,435	0x4ee4ea…
09-15 02:35:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,154	87¢	$1,874	0xf271a6…
09-15 02:35:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	87¢	$55	0xaab726…
09-15 02:35:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,983	87¢	$4,335	0x20d1cc…
09-14 23:48:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,896	87¢	$4,260	0x5d7d68…
09-14 23:47:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	87¢	$64	0x6c9a71…
09-14 23:47:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdedc1a…
09-14 23:47:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc1c80d…
09-14 23:46:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,014	87¢	$882	0xb6b142…
09-14 23:44:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,809	87¢	$1,574	0xca4bcc…
09-14 23:44:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0xada8fc…
09-14 23:44:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xa1cd61…
09-14 23:42:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x1bc07a…
09-14 23:42:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x5e838b…
09-14 23:41:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0xdae55e…
09-14 23:41:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,516	87¢	$1,319	0x955498…
09-14 23:40:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	470	87¢	$409	0xfb7649…
09-14 17:23:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,000	15¢	$450	0x2b4310…
09-06 23:23:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,242	49¢	$608	0x6f7bb2…
09-06 22:52:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xacad41…
09-06 22:14:40	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xc46b3a…
09-06 22:01:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa3c937…
09-06 22:00:58	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x50f4e2…
09-06 22:00:43	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x58f99e…
09-06 22:00:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc8043a…
09-06 21:43:40	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5b121f…
09-06 21:41:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xbd7af1…
09-06 19:47:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0xcf280c…
09-06 17:09:03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xd5e902…
09-06 17:04:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0x05857f…
09-06 16:36:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x0a44cf…
09-06 15:43:22	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0xf0ae85…
09-06 13:45:43	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x49c038…
09-06 13:15:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x4b18d5…
09-06 10:24:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x75a1f5…
09-06 09:27:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb0f653…
09-06 09:27:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3ea84a…
09-06 08:18:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	63	49¢	$31	0xa23451…
09-06 01:54:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xe6376f…
09-06 01:30:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xae7d49…
09-05 21:48:39	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	193	49¢	$95	0x58cc3a…
09-05 19:09:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0ef0b6…
09-05 15:54:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x4999ce…
09-04 11:13:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x9ecff8…
09-04 10:37:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x252062…
09-04 07:50:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x27ed4b…
09-04 07:37:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,500	89¢	$1,335	0x390286…
09-04 07:34:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,500	89¢	$1,335	0xe2d75f…
09-04 07:11:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x7244ab…
09-04 06:24:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x0ffcd7…
09-04 05:45:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x46906a…
09-04 05:38:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x479e4e…
09-04 05:02:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb75bc7…
09-04 03:45:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x87a527…
09-04 03:32:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xf391d6…
09-04 03:29:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6dee69…
09-04 03:01:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x1733c2…
09-04 02:51:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0x85c718…
09-03 16:49:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	99	89¢	$88	0x481fba…
09-03 12:57:27	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x953c61…
09-01 17:55:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9d2844…
09-01 17:55:01	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbfb603…
09-01 17:55:01	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x93ae88…
09-01 17:55:01	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x2a119f…
08-30 10:50:31	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x42edd6…
08-30 09:43:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xbe4414…
08-27 00:09:51	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x9b7db1…
08-27 00:09:51	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	84¢	$32	0x74e75b…
08-26 22:30:58	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xfb3331…
08-26 22:30:27	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xabd86d…
08-26 22:29:28	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	137	84¢	$115	0xed07b0…
08-26 17:18:00	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x744f54…