Costly-Gravel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

337 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.61K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-13 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$6

Politics

5% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-13 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:13
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:49
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:53
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 20 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 17:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:25
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:26
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 21c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:54
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:14
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:32
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 06:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 03:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x767f5d…
11-12 08:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa22a57…
11-11 08:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec9720…
11-08 11:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa5d2a3…
11-07 10:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4753bd…
11-06 09:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1dccf…
11-05 00:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x798c6c…
11-04 04:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa7ab7f…
11-03 17:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa5fb64…
11-03 07:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c61bc…
11-02 08:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85bcfd…
10-31 19:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18ad5c…
10-31 04:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63854c…
10-30 08:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x79ab37…
10-29 04:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x153631…
10-28 04:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe411a4…
10-27 04:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd57736…
10-26 04:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf43b2c…
10-25 12:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80a22b…
10-24 06:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ce819…
10-22 09:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x11c201…
10-20 03:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf650ca…
10-19 06:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x534506…
10-19 02:02:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a6046…
10-18 09:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b6867…
10-18 02:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ce138…
10-17 05:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcef2bd…
10-16 01:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebf436…
10-15 04:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc78325…
10-14 00:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x135a14…
10-13 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb85a3f…
10-13 01:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbb84fb…
10-12 13:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7eb510…
10-12 00:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbbb49f…
10-11 00:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f5758…
10-08 04:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1cf296…
10-07 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x124be4…
10-06 14:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb6a799…
10-06 05:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0d6367…
10-04 02:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x912b10…
10-03 00:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e50de…
10-02 07:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5369a…
10-02 03:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbde0bb…
10-01 05:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e6b2c…
09-30 08:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a320d…
09-29 03:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on September 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0bf5ce…
09-28 01:10:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d8808…
09-27 09:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x361594…
09-26 07:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc77595…
09-25 01:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x57ba7f…
09-24 01:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e8ead…
09-23 05:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc6c96…
09-22 10:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30f125…
09-22 01:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5f16c…
09-21 06:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x55aad1…
09-20 02:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x67f4b4…
09-19 05:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd41f34…
09-18 09:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd28e19…
09-18 01:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x610623…
09-17 00:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0dd23…
09-16 07:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8db337…
09-15 23:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14249f…
09-15 01:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x594648…
09-14 00:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x741eba…
09-13 12:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe88686…
09-12 01:03:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb47fd…
09-11 10:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1dd55…
09-11 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5abd7f…
09-10 01:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d5625…
09-09 00:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a256…
09-08 00:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3150…
09-07 16:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x116967…
09-07 09:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66d295…
09-07 01:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2017d…
09-06 17:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5518b7…
09-06 01:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd16a4b…
09-05 07:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fcfab…
09-04 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7da4f…
09-03 00:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea133b…
09-02 09:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08f39c…
09-01 01:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b7805…
08-30 16:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9746a7…
08-30 00:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc561e0…
08-29 05:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x789d56…
08-28 01:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09a8a7…
08-27 00:59:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xace0d1…
08-26 01:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7458ca…
08-25 00:59:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcece7e…
08-24 07:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2b8a2…
08-23 00:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x211b88…
08-22 01:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32e565…
08-21 01:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedec12…
08-20 00:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6e857…
08-19 00:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9250bb…
08-18 00:06:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4679a9…
08-17 05:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc24bf6…
08-16 01:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed4bc4…
08-15 01:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3db5fa…
08-14 01:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ebdc1…
08-13 06:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x802d5d…