Rude-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$521

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,780

lifetime

Volume

$1.42M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$245

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

47% 33% $-312

Other

46% 20% $-209

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	274	$108.8K	67,527	64,653	+2,874	open	—	02-01 03:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	220	$49.7K	66,221	63,256	+2,965	open	—	02-28 23:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	35	$44.1K	25,722	24,506	+1,215	open	—	03-06 18:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	25	$38.4K	21,211	21,211	+0	open	—	03-15 19:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	65	$32.3K	23,020	23,020	+0	open	—	04-01 15:48
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	15	$29.4K	26,466	15,198	+11,268	open	—	02-25 03:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	103	$26.9K	95,204	95,204	+0	open	—	03-16 15:12
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	48	$26.3K	22,132	12,631	+9,501	open	—	02-09 02:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	21	$25.9K	13,521	13,521	+0	open	—	02-20 01:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	49	$25.3K	19,423	17,496	+1,927	open	—	05-30 11:35
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	31	$22.2K	12,697	13,157	-460	open	—	07-26 13:43
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	51	$22.1K	12,975	9,956	+3,019	open	—	02-16 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	34	$21.8K	12,584	12,584	+0	open	—	05-12 17:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	83	$21.4K	19,012	7,638	+11,374	open	—	04-07 05:47
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	54	$20.9K	14,735	14,402	+333	open	—	02-16 04:01
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	48	$20.6K	11,858	9,313	+2,545	open	—	02-19 06:50
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	19	$18.5K	9,587	9,587	+0	open	—	02-24 19:01
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	78	$18.5K	14,655	14,710	-55	open	—	03-30 15:58
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	245	$17.9K	12,208	12,208	+0	open	—	03-20 18:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	20	$17.7K	9,802	9,802	+0	open	—	04-06 02:31
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	71	$17.5K	12,332	12,332	+0	open	—	03-30 06:10
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	170	$16.2K	11,618	11,624	-6	open	—	02-09 23:04
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	27	$16.0K	8,598	8,592	+6	open	—	03-21 16:58
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	57	$15.2K	9,119	6,956	+2,162	open	—	02-15 16:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	22	$14.9K	8,034	8,034	+0	open	—	02-27 08:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$14.8K	8,519	8,519	+0	open	—	02-28 17:32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	38	$14.5K	10,583	12,789	-2,205	open	—	02-28 05:20
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	21	$14.3K	8,856	6,200	+2,656	open	—	02-16 01:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	53	$13.2K	8,739	8,739	+0	open	—	05-23 23:11
spx up or down on january 2 2026	47	$13.1K	7,120	7,972	-852	open	—	01-02 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 22:30:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0x4ea276…
08-11 18:10:01	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	SELL	173	15¢	$26	0x670080…
08-11 17:29:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xa3bbb2…
08-11 12:45:33	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xe89293…
08-11 12:31:03	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x5081e9…
08-11 08:28:16	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x343945…
08-11 07:40:01	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x8bd9d3…
08-11 02:41:28	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xe8ff69…
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x2cb5b0…
08-09 06:25:31	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x063b29…
08-06 20:03:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,200	12¢	$264	0xde2ccf…
08-06 18:56:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	741	11¢	$82	0x2d26ce…
08-06 18:56:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xf8c138…
08-06 18:56:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x687f0c…
08-06 18:56:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x516e06…
08-06 18:56:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xcce908…
08-06 18:56:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xb19c67…
08-06 18:56:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x56d9e4…
08-06 18:56:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x4cdac9…
08-06 18:56:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x29aa43…
08-06 18:56:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x80232f…
08-06 18:56:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x755f8a…
08-06 18:56:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$9	0x51e0a9…
08-06 18:56:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x066633…
08-06 18:56:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	228	11¢	$25	0x54e289…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xffbd35…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xfa1461…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x8db883…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x70f768…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x6a28aa…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x5c952c…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	284	11¢	$31	0x2f6b81…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x2c5b9e…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x1ee10d…
08-06 18:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x0a5025…
08-06 18:56:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	729	11¢	$80	0xffc551…
08-05 20:27:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xb6bf32…
08-05 16:25:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	900	15¢	$135	0x75486e…
08-05 16:18:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x054628…
08-05 02:01:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x1f6dbd…
08-04 19:08:09	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x7d37aa…
08-04 15:42:41	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x937af2…
08-03 08:05:03	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3d4b11…
08-03 06:49:33	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	144	51¢	$74	0xf76f4e…
08-02 18:23:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0xa5991e…
08-02 16:37:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	3,700	12¢	$444	0x42a2fd…
08-02 14:00:56	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x30a721…
08-02 13:48:44	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xcb2c41…
08-02 13:28:27	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4bd528…
08-02 12:49:42	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	220	35¢	$77	0x4f3e77…
08-02 11:22:02	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3762ea…
08-02 11:19:47	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x24d3c2…
08-02 02:23:42	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	121	40¢	$48	0x9ba010…
08-02 02:23:42	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	116	40¢	$46	0x509bba…
08-02 02:23:39	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	255	40¢	$102	0x74f406…
08-02 02:22:59	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xaee46b…
08-02 02:11:59	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	272	6¢	$16	0x95f1b5…
08-02 02:08:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0x654934…
08-02 01:24:21	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	106	24¢	$25	0x6e94d4…
08-01 21:44:06	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	250	19¢	$48	0xf12f0d…
08-01 21:09:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x362565…
07-31 23:03:12	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	161	5¢	$8	0xd048ea…
07-31 21:16:02	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x07738b…
07-31 17:35:27	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	112	5¢	$6	0xf61e61…
07-30 23:35:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,052	76¢	$799	0xb08dbc…
07-30 23:35:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x5a364c…
07-30 23:35:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,108	76¢	$842	0x840c0e…
07-30 13:44:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	1,020	22¢	$224	0x1c34a9…
07-30 13:44:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	820	17¢	$139	0x6123d4…
07-29 18:41:18	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0x005478…
07-29 18:40:44	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0x3d28c8…
07-29 14:46:36	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xaf9415…
07-29 14:25:44	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x959c6f…
07-29 14:24:27	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8e55e0…
07-29 14:24:27	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x83b26d…
07-29 14:24:27	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1c7594…
07-29 14:24:24	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x96a884…
07-29 14:24:24	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8cc695…
07-29 14:24:24	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x579960…
07-29 14:24:24	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x485f85…
07-29 14:24:23	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc9a32a…
07-29 14:24:23	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x82eb76…
07-28 23:11:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	968	10¢	$97	0xc1a7a2…
07-28 22:16:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	669	10¢	$67	0x602a54…
07-28 22:15:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xfb0c99…
07-28 22:15:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	508	10¢	$51	0x930086…
07-28 16:46:02	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$3	0x070230…
07-27 19:07:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,550	41¢	$636	0x252d14…
07-27 17:02:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	250	96¢	$241	0xb93b09…
07-27 17:02:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	598	96¢	$577	0x5e9491…
07-27 16:32:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	291	96¢	$280	0x28ad97…
07-27 16:32:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	556	96¢	$534	0xa0397d…
07-27 14:14:52	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	57¢	$36	0x302cca…
07-26 21:58:16	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa23b63…
07-26 21:58:13	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	73	55¢	$40	0x73482d…
07-26 21:58:12	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	266	55¢	$147	0x1a84ff…
07-26 21:57:48	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xcaa0a5…
07-26 21:31:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	55¢	$46	0x9727de…
07-26 13:43:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1,138	59¢	$676	0x771240…
07-25 17:46:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	960	65¢	$624	0x3cc258…