Rude-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$521

Unrealized P&L

-$1.51K

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,486

lifetime

Volume

$1.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$244

Open exposure

$4.49K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

47% 20% $-209

Politics

46% 33% $-312

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-4,414	$-3,010	100¢	$-4399	$-1,389	06-20 22:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+145	$92	64¢	$93	+$2	06-17 19:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+736	$177	0¢	$1	$-176	06-14 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+0	$-57	70¢	$0	+$57	06-27 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	274	$108.8K	67,527	64,653	+2,874	open	—	02-01 03:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	220	$49.7K	66,221	63,256	+2,965	open	—	02-28 23:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	35	$44.1K	25,722	24,506	+1,215	open	—	03-06 18:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	25	$38.4K	21,211	21,211	+0	open	—	03-15 19:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	65	$32.3K	23,020	23,020	+0	open	—	04-01 15:48
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	15	$29.4K	26,466	15,198	+11,268	open	—	02-25 03:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	103	$26.9K	95,204	95,204	+0	open	—	03-16 15:12
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	48	$26.3K	22,132	12,631	+9,501	open	—	02-09 02:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	21	$25.9K	13,521	13,521	+0	open	—	02-20 01:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	49	$25.3K	19,423	17,496	+1,927	open	—	05-30 11:35
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	51	$22.1K	12,975	9,956	+3,019	open	—	02-16 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	34	$21.8K	12,584	12,584	+0	open	—	05-12 17:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	83	$21.4K	19,012	7,638	+11,374	open	—	04-07 05:47
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	54	$20.9K	14,735	14,402	+333	open	—	02-16 04:01
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	48	$20.6K	11,858	9,313	+2,545	open	—	02-19 06:50
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	19	$18.5K	9,587	9,587	+0	open	—	02-24 19:01
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	78	$18.5K	14,655	14,710	-55	open	—	03-30 15:58
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	245	$17.9K	12,208	12,208	+0	open	—	03-20 18:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	20	$17.7K	9,802	9,802	+0	open	—	04-06 02:31
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	71	$17.5K	12,332	12,332	+0	open	—	03-30 06:10
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	170	$16.2K	11,618	11,624	-6	open	—	02-09 23:04
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	27	$16.0K	8,598	8,592	+6	open	—	03-21 16:58
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	57	$15.2K	9,119	6,956	+2,162	open	—	02-15 16:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	22	$14.9K	8,034	8,034	+0	open	—	02-27 08:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$14.8K	8,519	8,519	+0	open	—	02-28 17:32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	38	$14.5K	10,583	12,789	-2,205	open	—	02-28 05:20
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	21	$14.3K	8,856	6,200	+2,656	open	—	02-16 01:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	53	$13.2K	8,739	8,739	+0	open	—	05-23 23:11
spx up or down on january 2 2026	47	$13.1K	7,120	7,972	-852	open	—	01-02 20:58
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	31	$12.9K	7,899	7,781	+119	open	—	01-29 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:16:56	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	700	54¢	$378	0xd975bf…
06-29 15:37:31	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	700	48¢	$336	0x6dace6…
06-29 00:07:28	will wti reach 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x78ce89…
06-28 21:27:49	will wti reach 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xde1d84…
06-27 06:48:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x480641…
06-27 06:48:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xe8cb88…
06-27 06:42:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4030a4…
06-27 06:29:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x73b4f5…
06-27 06:20:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x461dc9…
06-27 06:14:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x3b4e68…
06-27 06:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x7e39bd…
06-27 06:01:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xc2c5f0…
06-27 05:59:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	221	52¢	$115	0x72c4f4…
06-27 05:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x6562ec…
06-27 05:48:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xb9c3eb…
06-27 05:46:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xd20e4b…
06-27 05:43:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x153ee7…
06-27 05:37:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x5c4f63…
06-27 05:36:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x4a93cb…
06-27 05:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	192	52¢	$100	0xc34d40…
06-27 05:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x958304…
06-27 05:15:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x40f794…
06-27 05:03:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	28	52¢	$14	0x953dc8…
06-27 04:55:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0x49842e…
06-27 04:53:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xf5e81f…
06-27 04:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xf887c4…
06-27 04:46:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	29	52¢	$15	0x657f6d…
06-27 04:32:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x0583e9…
06-27 04:31:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x7e2724…
06-27 04:30:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	318	52¢	$165	0x66aa14…
06-27 03:46:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	385	52¢	$200	0xa179cc…
06-27 03:33:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xb41cd0…
06-27 03:32:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x1d7c90…
06-26 22:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	528	50¢	$264	0x6a6c96…
06-26 22:13:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe6f42a…
06-26 22:09:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdffcaf…
06-26 22:06:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xcc1b5a…
06-26 22:01:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xb1a690…
06-26 22:00:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xb824dd…
06-26 21:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	299	53¢	$159	0x707834…
06-26 21:51:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xb76d0f…
06-26 21:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	94	53¢	$50	0x657bc2…
06-26 21:41:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xf31829…
06-26 21:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x25ee41…
06-26 21:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	38	53¢	$20	0xa40cc3…
06-26 21:33:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x2b8460…
06-26 21:29:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x49e3ec…
06-26 21:29:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x87daeb…
06-26 21:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,200	52¢	$624	0x8efcd8…
06-26 21:03:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,200	50¢	$600	0x8eaa97…
06-25 01:49:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xd3b541…
06-24 21:58:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,200	53¢	$636	0x830545…
06-24 17:46:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0xaa9ea6…
06-24 17:45:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	23	54¢	$12	0xd93bc4…
06-24 17:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,809	54¢	$977	0xf1956f…
06-23 21:36:07	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	216	75¢	$162	0xc98234…
06-23 20:19:44	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	34	63¢	$21	0x71b139…
06-23 18:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	39	54¢	$21	0x3b74ec…
06-23 18:06:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x870118…
06-23 17:59:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x850aec…
06-23 17:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	289	54¢	$156	0xde6816…
06-23 17:04:23	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa18e44…
06-23 17:00:49	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	83	35¢	$29	0x4cdc44…
06-23 17:00:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x323cb3…
06-23 17:00:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf91ab9…
06-23 17:00:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x2593a5…
06-23 17:00:35	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x84d673…
06-23 16:49:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,136	53¢	$1,132	0x080fd5…
06-23 16:43:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x702394…
06-23 16:43:41	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x1ccc2c…
06-23 16:42:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0x09eaef…
06-23 16:41:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x25a841…
06-23 16:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb13016…
06-23 16:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2e278d…
06-23 16:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1c605d…
06-23 15:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc1221f…
06-23 14:48:11	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xb9612f…
06-23 14:24:31	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0x446f40…
06-23 14:01:58	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x52b255…
06-23 14:00:05	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	213	7¢	$15	0x1c7261…
06-23 13:49:52	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xec3b43…
06-22 01:07:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x3d48eb…
06-21 23:26:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$7	0x461ee7…
06-21 22:41:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x21e541…
06-21 20:12:58	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x53bed8…
06-20 22:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,200	94¢	$1,128	0x011980…
06-20 21:28:04	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$2	0xdb901a…
06-20 21:11:19	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	7¢	$18	0x9f702f…
06-19 19:58:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	577	77¢	$445	0xb5202d…
06-19 19:41:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x78de36…
06-19 19:41:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x0867c6…
06-19 19:41:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xfd2a1b…
06-19 19:41:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x5026a7…
06-19 19:41:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xecc49e…
06-19 19:41:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xbea2b2…
06-19 19:41:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	391	73¢	$286	0x8557fb…
06-19 19:41:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0dad6b…
06-19 19:41:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa9a08d…
06-19 19:41:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x5d6e27…
06-19 19:41:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x767e6c…