Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$73

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-19

last 11-06 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

89% 49% -$7

Politics

10% 100% +$6

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-23 02:13
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 19:04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-16 00:12
will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-17 23:13
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 08:14
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 15:54
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 03:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-26 19:57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 14:15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 04:50
will mu reach 990 by august 31 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-01 01:53
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-21 00:43
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 04:38
will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-27 04:46
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	09-10 03:09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 08:51
will xagusd reach 70 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-20 16:21
bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt24	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-22 04:49
will xagusd reach 68 by september 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 10:52
will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-01 06:50
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-24 15:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 16:12
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	+$3	10-01 15:01
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:35
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-23 13:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	11-06 02:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-30 02:14
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 03:02
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 21:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-08 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:46:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c1823…
11-05 18:30:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdd2609…
11-01 05:50:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x41f891…
10-31 05:24:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x24751b…
10-23 21:28:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x438c15…
10-23 13:21:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc9bf04…
10-18 01:58:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfacbd4…
10-17 16:12:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x303fb9…
10-16 12:40:58	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf2b4c…
10-15 14:07:23	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x133e8a…
10-15 06:00:26	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xea58aa…
10-14 09:54:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x780542…
10-14 01:54:44	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbe28ce…
10-11 03:02:48	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3cb93e…
10-09 11:48:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3dad23…
10-09 03:48:05	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7f3be5…
10-08 19:47:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe45091…
10-08 03:58:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x597c83…
10-06 12:38:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb6b726…
10-06 04:37:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6bc212…
10-05 15:12:19	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc123ce…
10-05 00:51:47	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x03ec2a…
10-03 02:16:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa54c69…
10-02 12:06:27	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x49130e…
10-02 03:14:18	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x91b7c8…
10-01 15:01:17	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x94c0e8…
10-01 06:50:27	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc12bc3…
09-30 10:20:56	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x195d32…
09-30 02:14:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd28880…
09-28 05:11:27	will coin dip to 182 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe9d068…
09-27 21:11:15	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfa76a9…
09-27 10:05:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x315aae…
09-27 01:58:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc53892…
09-26 07:35:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0ba7a7…
09-24 15:54:45	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa1b345…
09-23 19:04:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x11eaa9…
09-23 10:52:59	will xagusd reach 68 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x539ed5…
09-23 02:13:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6c5d35…
09-19 03:59:55	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2134b2…
09-17 23:13:03	will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7907a2…
09-17 04:38:00	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4aef3e…
09-16 08:14:12	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4b9048…
09-16 00:12:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x734673…
09-10 03:09:34	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0e99f4…
09-08 04:50:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x693e81…
09-07 08:51:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc11430…
09-03 14:15:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd94f83…
09-01 01:53:33	will mu reach 990 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe73f03…
08-27 04:46:57	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3fb793…
08-26 19:57:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xae7bb7…
08-22 04:49:24	bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt24	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x37a363…
08-21 00:43:13	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0b6a82…
08-20 16:21:19	will xagusd reach 70 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2a2006…
08-19 15:54:18	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x39da60…