Sparse-Hearsay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$385

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% -$20

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$1	01-30 01:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$1	01-29 02:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	01-28 02:28
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	01-26 02:01
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	01-27 02:35
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$2	01-25 02:20
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$1	01-23 01:52
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$2	01-22 01:56
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	No	+$2	01-21 02:02
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$3	01-24 03:22
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	No	+$1	01-20 03:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$2	05-20 01:40
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$2	05-21 02:22
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	No	+$2	05-19 02:21
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?	1	$1.1K	1,055	0	+1,055	No	+$2	05-17 02:28
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 18?	1	$1.1K	1,055	0	+1,055	No	+$2	05-18 02:05
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?	1	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	No	+$2	05-16 02:13
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$2	05-15 01:56
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 14?	1	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	No	+$2	05-14 02:42
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	08-06 02:14
bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-18 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	07-29 01:28
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-21 02:36
xrp above 1pt9 on february 7	1	$12	1,128	0	+1,128	No	-$12	02-07 01:36
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 08:57
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$7	1,109	0	+1,109	No	-$7	02-15 01:08
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-14 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-08 02:01
ethereum above 1400 on june 28 2026	1	$4	2,065	0	+2,065	Yes	-$4	06-28 02:17
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-14 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x10553b…
08-18 01:29:43	bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b3775…
08-06 02:14:02	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x91cba1…
07-29 01:28:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x68bfa2…
07-21 02:36:06	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd2f688…
07-14 07:52:37	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xf07b19…
07-08 13:43:08	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa9b554…
07-03 08:32:40	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb06029…
06-28 02:17:23	ethereum above 1400 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	2,065	0¢	$4	0xfcb259…
06-13 03:05:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0x2aaaf0…
06-05 01:07:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0x97208a…
06-02 02:57:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5aa35d…
05-27 00:58:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$2	0x7bd840…
05-22 01:17:25	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x484635…
05-21 02:22:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,059	0x9962ca…
05-20 01:40:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,059	0x81b0cb…
05-19 02:21:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,055	0x58da3d…
05-18 02:05:49	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,055	100¢	$1,053	0x8aecaa…
05-17 02:28:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,055	100¢	$1,053	0x4a4b8a…
05-16 02:13:36	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,049	0xdd3bc2…
05-15 01:56:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0xfc996b…
05-14 02:42:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,048	100¢	$1,046	0x236fdd…
05-08 01:06:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,081	0¢	$3	0x2bd45b…
05-06 03:42:50	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9477e2…
04-29 02:05:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0xf708ce…
04-18 01:42:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$2	0x79c90c…
04-14 02:45:35	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdb7677…
04-09 01:22:41	xrp above 1pt6 on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,103	0¢	$2	0x86d1f0…
04-06 10:55:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf24a38…
03-31 03:32:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$2	0x001258…
03-24 02:23:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,139	0¢	$2	0x8bd050…
03-17 02:39:11	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,119	0¢	$2	0xb70d54…
03-17 02:39:11	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x747f83…
03-11 03:42:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$3	0x2657c7…
03-06 02:51:23	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x7cf905…
03-02 00:59:55	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,081	0¢	$2	0x69e67d…
02-25 01:14:40	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0xad86d5…
02-15 01:08:41	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,109	1¢	$7	0x6b619f…
02-07 01:36:19	xrp above 1pt9 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,128	1¢	$12	0x18723e…
02-02 03:37:52	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc1b25…
01-30 01:15:32	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,084	0x1b16bb…
01-29 02:29:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,083	0xd8c58a…
01-28 02:28:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0xc5aafb…
01-27 02:35:07	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x538e32…
01-26 02:01:12	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0xc37156…
01-25 02:20:26	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0xe21700…
01-24 03:22:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,067	0x994c93…
01-23 01:52:54	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0xbed358…
01-22 01:56:46	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0x289314…
01-21 02:02:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0xf9a1bb…
01-20 03:07:50	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x9b1def…
01-19 08:57:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8c66ef…
01-18 09:17:42	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeee214…