Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$152

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$661

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% +$152

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No		-23	$-20	90¢	$-21	$-0	05-05 11:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$84	85	0	+85	Up	+$1	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$81	135	0	+135	Up	+$54	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$55	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$47	89	0	+89	Up	+$42	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$45	75	0	+75	open	—	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	7	$32	59	0	+59	Up	+$27	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$29	43	0	+43	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$28	59	0	+59	Up	+$31	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$23	45	0	+45	Down	+$22	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$22	61	0	+61	Down	$-22	05-04 22:39
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$20	0	23	-23	open	—	05-05 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$19	37	0	+37	Up	$-19	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$19	36	0	+36	Down	$-19	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$19	48	0	+48	Up	+$30	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	Up	$-15	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	8	$14	41	0	+41	Down	+$27	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$9	25	0	+25	Up	$-9	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$9	18	0	+18	Up	+$10	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$7	14	0	+14	Down	+$6	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-4	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-4	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$6	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$4	17	0	+17	Down	$-4	05-05 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:06:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0xf7c04f…
05-05 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x81753b…
05-05 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xa735ca…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x25662c…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x8942f8…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xed6c99…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4d991b…
05-05 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x81fd38…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x227f82…
05-05 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xd667ef…
05-05 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x0c17dc…
05-05 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x767458…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xef0f3d…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x1b70b1…
05-05 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9d7d79…
05-05 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x859bf1…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x8c9c05…
05-05 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x936d3b…
05-05 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x729491…
05-05 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xe96f23…
05-05 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8b5f43…
05-05 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x083c65…
05-05 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x4bbab1…
05-05 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x8aa84a…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xbb9512…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x966ef5…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xdf21de…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9adcb9…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc49dbb…
05-05 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x01870d…
05-05 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7e9813…
05-05 02:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x93241d…
05-05 02:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x623dc0…
05-05 02:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x58eee2…
05-05 02:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xda33e1…
05-05 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xa82921…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x167fc3…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x2d0ba7…
05-05 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x55db2c…
05-05 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xb0197c…
05-05 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0xedb132…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3f1e63…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xc03b08…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xde4668…
05-05 01:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x74b720…
05-05 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x32a5c8…
05-05 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb2b70f…
05-05 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x9cd8ef…
05-05 01:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xbb2060…
05-05 01:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xd070a2…
05-05 01:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0af2e0…
05-05 01:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x42acba…
05-05 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xbf4a06…
05-05 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xbe4628…
05-05 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$20	0x8d6652…
05-05 01:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x490f98…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x130a37…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x328fd7…
05-05 01:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xad9012…
05-05 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x061848…
05-05 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x970c80…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa1e5c8…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x94d463…
05-05 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc698b9…
05-05 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x72ee04…
05-05 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0b927c…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	78	53¢	$41	0xdae725…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x0bf5ad…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xd722d6…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5bfb0f…
05-05 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6b41f3…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x137f09…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb82f03…
05-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xb87c88…
05-04 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3bc2ec…
05-04 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb2c2ce…
05-04 22:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe0b4b5…
05-04 22:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xbe4f9c…
05-04 22:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb50dc7…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x0100c0…
05-04 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xe2a09e…
05-04 22:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x1231d8…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x423afb…
05-04 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xcd1345…
05-04 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0cdf3e…
05-04 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x336a47…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048	33	$513	169	05-05 08:51
Deep-Observatory 0xc131…f5d5	32	$690	171	05-05 08:51
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	30	$3.99K	145	05-05 08:51
Minor-Air 0x9848…b0ba	28	$734	102	05-05 08:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$3.69K	130	05-05 08:51
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	25	$1.27K	90	05-05 08:50
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$1.34K	111	05-05 08:51
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$1.30K	109	05-05 08:51