Evil-Developing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

-$38

Hit rate

36.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$239

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-23 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

44% 38% -$112

Crypto

40% 27% -$90

Politics

15% 60% +$91

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-238	-$195	98¢	$-233	-$37	05-02 05:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-6	-$6	98¢	$-6	$0	05-02 05:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$237	149	113	+36	Up	-$13	05-21 20:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$195	0	238	-238	open	—	05-02 05:31
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	1	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	01-15 08:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$100	139	0	+139	Yes	-$100	01-15 06:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$84	444	0	+444	No	-$84	03-20 21:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$57	64	0	+64	No	+$7	04-09 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$56	52	27	+25	Up	-$4	05-21 20:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	04-08 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$35	3,500	0	+3,500	Down	-$35	05-20 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$30	123	0	+123	Up	+$10	05-23 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Up	-$25	05-20 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	05-20 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	+$10	05-20 14:58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$22	184	0	+184	Yes	+$162	02-25 09:35
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$20	32	0	+32	No	-$20	01-15 08:17
highest temperature in wuhan on march 25 2026 18c	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-22 20:52
will trump say hell 5 times during wef address on january 21	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	-$11	01-21 14:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$10	30	0	+30	Yes	+$20	03-24 06:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$9	2,250	0	+2,250	No	-$9	03-17 03:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-02 05:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	294	0	+294	No	-$5	03-20 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Down	-$5	05-23 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	05-20 14:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	833	0	+833	No	-$5	03-20 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	-$5	05-21 20:12
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	03-17 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 05:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7b225c…
05-23 05:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xfd94a0…
05-23 05:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xf5d9c3…
05-21 20:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xc5a104…
05-21 20:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x0693f1…
05-21 20:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x7428f7…
05-21 20:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8937a5…
05-21 20:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x0be33f…
05-21 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x46dc3e…
05-21 20:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1608be…
05-20 19:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf32da9…
05-20 15:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x76f7f9…
05-20 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x5ccf8e…
05-20 14:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa947b0…
05-20 14:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xc8b2f7…
05-20 14:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6b3ace…
05-20 14:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbd4683…
05-02 05:31:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	238	82¢	$195	0xed74a6…
05-02 05:30:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xb95cc3…
04-09 06:30:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	64	89¢	$57	0xfd7a18…
04-08 05:31:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xdd70c1…
04-04 07:37:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x922d79…
03-24 06:27:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2497cc…
03-22 20:52:43	highest temperature in wuhan on march 25 2026 18c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1339ec…
03-20 21:47:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	444	19¢	$84	0x7a0084…
03-20 19:08:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x466671…
03-20 19:08:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xbf163d…
03-17 03:21:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6ee791…
03-17 03:21:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xbbd949…
03-16 06:23:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x38baf8…
03-16 06:23:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x0ae463…
02-25 09:35:40	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	12¢	$22	0x1d90c3…
01-21 14:20:04	will trump say hell 5 times during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x6b2f0f…
01-15 08:17:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x812e09…
01-15 08:16:08	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x2c273b…
01-15 06:40:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xe732cf…