Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$879

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

1,532

Trades

6,202

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 10-27 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% -$867

Other

1% 40% -$4

Politics

0% 0% -$7

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 1152 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No		+20	$17	98¢	$20	+$2	09-16 10:40
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$3	2¢	$0	-$2	09-16 10:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	51	$166	346	0	+346	Up	+$4	10-24 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	8	$154	175	0	+175	Up	-$54	10-20 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	10	$148	175	0	+175	Down	-$73	10-20 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	7	$120	140	0	+140	Up	-$50	10-20 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	28	$114	162	29	+133	Down	-$3	10-22 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	30	$102	200	0	+200	Up	-$2	10-24 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	8	$100	122	0	+122	Up	-$78	10-20 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$98	110	0	+110	Down	-$87	10-21 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	6	$94	100	0	+100	Up	+$6	10-20 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	8	$94	100	0	+100	Up	+$6	10-20 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$94	110	0	+110	Up	+$6	10-20 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$94	100	0	+100	Down	+$6	10-21 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$94	100	0	+100	Up	+$6	10-20 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$94	100	0	+100	Down	+$6	10-20 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$93	100	0	+100	Down	+$7	10-20 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$93	100	0	+100	Down	+$7	10-20 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	7	$92	100	0	+100	Down	+$8	10-20 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$92	100	0	+100	Up	+$8	10-20 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	7	$92	100	0	+100	Up	+$8	10-21 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$92	100	0	+100	Up	+$8	10-20 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$92	100	0	+100	Up	+$8	10-20 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$92	100	0	+100	Down	+$8	10-21 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$92	100	0	+100	Up	+$8	10-20 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$91	100	0	+100	Up	+$9	10-20 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	8	$91	100	0	+100	Down	+$9	10-20 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$91	100	0	+100	Up	+$9	10-20 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$91	100	0	+100	Down	+$9	10-20 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	9	$91	100	0	+100	Down	+$9	10-20 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$91	100	0	+100	Up	+$9	10-20 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	7	$91	100	0	+100	Down	+$9	10-21 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xaac410…
10-27 06:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x687a9e…
10-27 06:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x96ae10…
10-27 06:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x959bde…
10-27 06:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x94e40e…
10-27 06:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x97ce2b…
10-27 06:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6db370…
10-27 06:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4df685…
10-27 06:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4fd403…
10-27 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x8c418a…
10-27 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3657b4…
10-27 05:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x887721…
10-27 05:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x62cea7…
10-27 05:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2dabd0…
10-27 05:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x9c63ea…
10-27 05:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3f482f…
10-27 05:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x99dc49…
10-27 05:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe8a259…
10-27 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xd808e8…
10-27 05:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x07abeb…
10-27 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x24caa1…
10-27 05:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x995b13…
10-27 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9c9406…
10-27 05:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x1826e6…
10-27 05:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b51fd…
10-27 05:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xec779b…
10-27 05:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x4d3ec4…
10-27 05:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x19f139…
10-27 05:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x1d66dd…
10-27 05:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x4ec513…
10-27 05:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2e2481…
10-27 04:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1cb92e…
10-27 04:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x37d2af…
10-27 04:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4c411b…
10-27 04:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6b3b42…
10-27 04:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa39fc4…
10-27 04:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xd69b34…
10-27 04:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xc82c7d…
10-27 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xb900c2…
10-27 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6b7bc1…
10-27 04:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x97d9a0…
10-27 04:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4ba351…
10-27 04:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x7439f8…
10-27 04:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x8aaef7…
10-27 04:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3fef9c…
10-27 04:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x07dd63…
10-27 04:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb26f0b…
10-27 03:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8bf3b1…
10-27 03:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbf10c1…
10-27 03:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x26c89c…
10-27 03:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xab068a…
10-27 03:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x6457f3…
10-27 03:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4da10b…
10-27 03:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x527dae…
10-27 03:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x694179…
10-27 03:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd0cc28…
10-27 03:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9037c3…
10-27 02:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdf0f6f…
10-27 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x23c7af…
10-27 02:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x18416a…
10-27 02:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf6f1ea…
10-27 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xedba97…
10-27 02:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd3416c…
10-27 02:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5a18df…
10-27 02:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe44556…
10-27 02:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x55b2b1…
10-27 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x6cd6de…
10-27 01:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x46fc9d…
10-27 01:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x43161f…
10-27 01:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x35f647…
10-27 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x224763…
10-27 01:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf1716b…
10-27 01:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x649143…
10-27 01:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcc66e5…
10-27 01:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x4e66a7…
10-27 01:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x219516…
10-27 01:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbd070f…
10-27 01:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xb4689b…
10-27 01:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4c978b…
10-27 01:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x994b0b…
10-27 01:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4d2dc9…
10-27 01:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbb289b…
10-27 00:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xad1d39…
10-27 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x88cc14…
10-27 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x79b10b…
10-27 00:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x57591c…
10-27 00:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x677af1…
10-27 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd8a0a2…
10-27 00:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xdd5eca…
10-27 00:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0xe32143…
10-27 00:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5eb6f1…
10-27 00:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x30e370…
10-27 00:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x24dcbc…
10-27 00:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xaa75b9…
10-27 00:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x89e11e…
10-27 00:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x09e1d1…
10-27 00:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7a4b5e…
10-26 23:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa81996…
10-26 23:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3b8a2f…
10-26 23:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x3df3b9…