Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-17

last 11-02 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

83% 56% +$3

Politics

15% 64% +$2

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$3	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:41
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$3	9	+9	Yes	+$3	08-20 18:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 04:33
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	5	+5	Up	-$1	09-22 18:34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-13 23:46
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-20 21:36
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-10 20:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 12:25
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-23 14:37
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-08 05:26
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-15 20:47
will aapl reach 316 by august 17 2026	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-17 01:56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-09 03:14
Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-08 14:09
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 05:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 00:35
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-08 05:39
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-16 09:30
Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-23 22:42
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-30 11:40
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 11:52
will spy dip to 775 by august 17 2026	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	08-17 11:32
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-18 13:33
will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-03 01:18
will msft dip to 510 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-29 04:04
spy up or down on august 21 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	08-21 02:54
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-19 23:08
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-13 23:41
spy up or down on august 20 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-20 05:02
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	7	+7	No	-$1	08-18 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:21:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x47628c…
11-01 20:04:51	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x77c8b7…
10-25 06:35:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5cc157…
10-24 00:21:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6ad3cd…
10-23 16:00:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe09ab6…
10-16 23:01:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb1d3aa…
10-16 12:58:39	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x37dc12…
10-16 04:35:58	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9d67a6…
10-15 19:50:28	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc5ec66…
10-15 10:47:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x617184…
10-15 02:38:43	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1b2205…
10-14 18:35:43	will rklb reach 62 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe0292f…
10-14 09:58:04	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x325a7d…
10-14 01:55:16	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfbd0b1…
10-13 15:38:19	spy closes above 775 on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2d51a5…
10-11 18:54:13	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xece646…
10-11 10:53:45	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x219df5…
10-11 01:19:24	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c95a4…
10-10 11:53:12	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd89faa…
10-09 11:57:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc7bc38…
10-09 03:53:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbda4c9…
10-08 19:53:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x08b654…
10-08 04:19:04	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x07e441…
10-07 19:45:25	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x892815…
10-07 11:39:19	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x353b23…
10-07 02:52:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x370764…
10-06 18:51:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1a3f91…
10-06 10:49:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x44f054…
10-06 02:07:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x71ca6f…
10-05 17:36:43	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4b916a…
10-05 00:04:29	will rklb reach 76 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9d1f0e…
10-03 11:43:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x173172…
10-02 14:11:14	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe760ef…
10-02 05:55:17	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe86364…
10-01 11:51:29	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x694440…
10-01 03:49:12	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8fbbe2…
09-30 17:21:18	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xca4efc…
09-30 06:59:03	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3ff6e6…
09-29 22:55:44	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xed7c1a…
09-28 02:39:47	will meta dip to 700 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x01ce70…
09-27 18:39:33	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt25 in september	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x83bc11…
09-26 09:25:26	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe5fc4a…
09-23 22:42:50	Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x186385…
09-23 14:37:16	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xb26e17…
09-22 18:34:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x369677…
09-20 21:36:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x090ddb…
09-19 23:08:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xd37d03…
09-19 07:41:12	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x741478…
09-19 07:08:27	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9e1b53…
09-17 05:33:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x00fd83…
09-16 09:30:48	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x119371…
09-16 00:36:33	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x74a958…
09-16 00:35:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x39acd6…
09-15 20:47:54	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc702bf…
09-13 23:46:46	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x9aed92…
09-13 23:41:10	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x809df4…
09-11 04:33:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x71eecd…
09-10 20:31:52	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x90a2b8…
09-09 12:25:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xde2402…
09-09 03:14:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x353c27…
09-08 14:09:30	Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x982776…
09-08 05:39:57	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2c8c2e…
09-08 05:26:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x832b05…
09-07 12:07:54	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa33dc0…
09-03 23:01:03	will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026 from september 3	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xc07d57…
09-03 11:52:13	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x640ca9…
09-03 01:18:15	will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xec4213…
09-01 08:00:31	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd8515e…
08-30 23:51:30	will hood reach 112 50 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa978af…
08-30 11:40:49	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xfe9196…
08-29 14:22:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x21b87e…
08-29 04:04:15	will msft dip to 510 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x74c6f4…
08-24 17:41:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc97669…
08-24 09:37:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x887cc7…
08-24 01:27:33	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x4a8275…
08-23 17:08:39	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x98d690…
08-21 20:03:52	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa65b8b…
08-21 16:03:15	will trump say legacy during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4b733c…
08-21 02:54:06	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x065c96…
08-20 18:31:55	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xfcee31…
08-20 05:02:55	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xf265d2…
08-19 18:45:34	ng up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x193ccb…
08-19 17:44:58	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x94d3b3…
08-19 06:37:46	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xb773a3…
08-18 22:31:33	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xfddf2c…
08-18 13:33:46	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x3cb3ae…
08-18 12:49:58	will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x2ffd48…
08-18 04:44:57	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x370ddb…
08-17 20:43:58	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x56e3be…
08-17 11:32:58	will spy dip to 775 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x67fb31…
08-17 01:56:09	will aapl reach 316 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x8e9e51…