Uncomfortable-Mushroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$1.05K

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$32.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$109

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-15 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$33

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

9% 25% $-40

Sports

4% 50% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+2,105	$1,150	4¢	$95	$-1,055	06-14 23:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	-100	$-14	11¢	$-11	+$4	06-14 23:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+12	$5	34¢	$4	$-1	06-08 03:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$3.3K	2,215	2,215	+0	open	—	05-27 00:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 00:41
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	11	$2.6K	1,545	1,545	+0	open	—	03-31 21:54
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	19	$2.2K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	03-28 00:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$2.2K	1,460	1,960	-500	open	—	06-15 22:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	9	$1.5K	956	956	+0	open	—	05-29 20:51
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-07 04:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$1.1K	2,105	0	+2,105	open	—	06-14 23:40
btc updown 5m 1773456900	2	$1.1K	885	878	+7	open	—	03-14 03:01
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	13	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-14 06:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$1.0K	2,829	0	+2,829	open	—	04-19 14:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	9	$873	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-23 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$869	551	551	+0	open	—	06-08 03:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$847	1,507	1,493	+14	open	—	04-01 00:04
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	16	$809	774	261	+513	open	—	05-22 02:16
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$536	300	300	+0	open	—	03-05 23:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	6	$473	1,175	1,175	+0	open	—	06-14 23:38
btc updown 5m 1773457200	5	$456	3,007	139	+2,868	open	—	03-14 03:04
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	9	$456	400	400	+0	open	—	03-28 00:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	4	$393	849	0	+849	open	—	06-03 23:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$360	514	0	+514	open	—	05-16 19:45
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	7	$321	700	700	+0	open	—	03-18 21:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$315	668	121	+546	open	—	06-15 21:11
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	5	$292	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 21:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$270	299	299	+0	open	—	06-15 21:41
btc updown 5m 1773456600	1	$225	300	0	+300	open	—	03-14 02:54
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	7	$224	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-18 21:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$223	800	0	+800	open	—	04-09 20:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$221	127	126	+1	open	—	04-01 00:03
btc updown 5m 1773458100	7	$211	158	155	+2	open	—	03-14 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 22:02:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	909	76¢	$687	0xc0ec20…
06-15 21:41:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	299	40¢	$120	0x98ac71…
06-15 21:11:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x88224a…
06-15 00:02:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	909	88¢	$800	0xad277b…
06-14 23:40:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	299	50¢	$150	0x5a3b63…
06-14 23:40:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0xa4fd26…
06-14 23:39:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xd16989…
06-14 23:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0x9c1c67…
06-14 23:39:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$3	0x54278f…
06-14 23:39:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	394	1¢	$4	0xa2d5cf…
06-14 23:39:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	327	1¢	$4	0x1a89a2…
06-14 23:39:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	281	1¢	$3	0x1fc458…
06-14 23:39:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,556	0¢	$7	0x270c48…
06-14 23:39:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,126	1¢	$9	0xec5125…
06-14 23:38:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	428	2¢	$9	0xfa23c1…
06-14 23:38:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,014	1¢	$12	0x5aef1e…
06-14 23:38:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x4cfced…
06-14 23:38:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	551	12¢	$69	0x0d56b4…
06-14 23:38:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,175	3¢	$35	0x44e55d…
06-14 23:38:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	546	18¢	$100	0x79dd2e…
06-14 23:36:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xf9a8bc…
06-11 03:33:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	144	18¢	$26	0x49b951…
06-11 03:27:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0x3666d6…
06-11 03:25:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x5e604e…
06-11 01:28:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xd5f227…
06-10 17:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xb4c5ce…
06-10 17:42:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	551	73¢	$400	0x983e00…
06-10 17:42:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	391	26¢	$100	0xf43a2d…
06-08 03:52:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8eca8e…
06-08 03:52:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3e328b…
06-08 03:51:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x9f3352…
06-08 03:51:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	182	27¢	$50	0x6f9e8f…
06-08 03:51:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	59¢	$29	0xb9540a…
06-08 03:48:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xee7876…
06-08 03:47:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$5	0x8e8340…
06-08 03:47:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x17c597…
06-08 03:47:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x9b7556…
06-08 03:47:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x090a09…
06-08 03:47:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x301bb9…
06-08 03:47:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x03eb1f…
06-08 03:47:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x991d9c…
06-08 03:47:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x91ba77…
06-08 03:47:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	301	90¢	$271	0x0acaa8…
06-05 01:21:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x4a9259…
06-05 01:20:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x63f4de…
06-05 01:20:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xfe7b1b…
06-05 01:20:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x49a349…
06-04 20:18:42	btc updown 5m 1780611300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd08fe8…
06-04 20:18:33	btc updown 5m 1780605000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0cda4a…
06-04 20:18:06	btc updown 5m 1780604100	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x5cf745…
06-04 20:17:46	btc updown 5m 1780620900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x78ce84…
06-04 20:17:39	btc updown 5m 1780617900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x473942…
06-04 20:17:34	btc updown 5m 1780615800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1cb376…
06-04 20:17:31	btc updown 5m 1780613700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3c911…
06-04 20:17:30	btc updown 5m 1780613700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6ae9f4…
06-04 20:17:27	btc updown 5m 1780611900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3f9c09…
06-04 20:17:22	btc updown 5m 1780609800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8f80eb…
06-04 20:17:18	btc updown 5m 1780608600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3af6c9…
06-04 20:17:15	btc updown 5m 1780607700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe92543…
06-04 20:17:12	btc updown 5m 1780606800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x755a93…
06-04 20:17:07	btc updown 5m 1780606500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa24afe…
06-04 20:17:03	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd183d8…
06-04 20:16:57	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x46c60f…
06-04 20:16:51	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x52f041…
06-04 20:16:48	btc updown 5m 1780604400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x56814e…
06-04 20:16:46	btc updown 5m 1780604100	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4ccc2a…
06-03 23:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xc9e94a…
06-03 23:50:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	222	23¢	$50	0xb1cbc6…
06-03 23:50:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x2f9917…
06-03 23:50:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x1100ee…
06-03 23:50:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x9a47d2…
06-02 22:56:01	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xaf0f1e…
06-02 22:55:47	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0x7732f0…
06-02 20:33:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe882fe…
06-02 20:33:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x6e90ee…
06-02 01:47:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	124	40¢	$50	0x570688…
06-02 01:47:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xf79366…
06-02 01:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	42	75¢	$31	0x5f8390…
06-02 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x055a56…
06-02 00:01:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xfe690b…
06-02 00:01:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xc54dcb…
06-01 11:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	250	75¢	$188	0x0d70a0…
06-01 11:09:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x3a640c…
06-01 02:43:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x78654d…
05-29 20:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	956	95¢	$908	0xa63d01…
05-29 20:50:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	325	1¢	$4	0x1fb073…
05-29 18:35:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	975	4¢	$35	0xf35b2c…
05-29 17:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	541	7¢	$37	0x26273d…
05-29 16:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xe7d94e…
05-29 16:49:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	40¢	$198	0x52f228…
05-29 16:49:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	273	7¢	$19	0xb1afc1…
05-29 16:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	427	7¢	$29	0x9c81b1…
05-28 16:59:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x08d8f8…
05-28 16:59:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x1ed332…
05-27 07:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0x09d743…
05-27 06:55:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x100542…
05-27 04:51:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0311a4…
05-27 04:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	297	25¢	$74	0xd50fcf…
05-27 03:54:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xecd68a…
05-27 00:22:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x9a234e…