Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-31 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Tech

54% 74% +$207

Other

46% 45% -$88

Crypto

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	4	$453	350	350	+0	No	+$71	10-15 13:03
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339 754	19	$427	433	433	+0	No	+$30	07-10 15:28
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	13	$290	389	389	+0	Yes	+$42	06-30 08:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	5	$233	405	405	+0	open	—	09-20 05:47
will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1480	6	$232	642	642	+0	No	+$53	08-14 15:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	5	$225	273	273	+0	open	—	09-20 05:46
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	9	$195	333	333	+0	Yes	+$52	10-22 11:50
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	5	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	+$10	10-11 15:37
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	8	$174	506	506	+0	No	-$15	10-13 00:25
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	9	$142	77	77	+0	Yes	+$1	07-11 05:34
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	10	$125	1,463	1,463	+0	open	—	07-11 15:12
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	5	$125	118	122	-4	Yes	+$3	09-01 09:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	10-01 08:25
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	143	$113	38,076	0	+38,076	No	-$113	09-14 12:58
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	4	$106	310	310	+0	Yes	-$17	06-27 22:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	26	$102	1,349	1,349	+0	No	+$47	07-09 07:10
next google gemini flash model released by august 13 2026	14	$95	230	230	+0	Yes	+$38	08-13 17:11
grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	3	$85	226	121	+105	Yes	-$20	08-12 01:22
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	5	$81	164	164	+0	Yes	-$16	09-22 15:57
will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	10	$81	354	354	+0	No	-$42	08-12 16:18
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$80	72	72	+0	Yes	+$26	06-27 11:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	4	$78	72	72	+0	open	—	10-02 11:13
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	4	$78	46	46	+0	No	-$1	09-06 11:37
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	2	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$12	10-12 18:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	09-21 05:32
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	8	$73	231	231	+0	open	—	10-31 03:43
grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	4	$63	369	369	+0	Yes	+$18	08-12 09:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$56	100	100	+0	open	—	09-20 09:25
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	6	$55	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-02 08:49
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260708011851342	2	$55	105	105	+0	No	+$44	07-10 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 11:39:34	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x807feb…
10-31 11:39:12	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x41940b…
10-31 03:43:07	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	163	14¢	$23	0xb4dd4f…
10-31 02:39:13	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x832022…
10-27 03:16:39	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$12	0x64e9ec…
10-27 03:16:02	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xa35b4c…
10-25 17:28:39	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xa48cd9…
10-25 12:01:51	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0xca5331…
10-24 21:47:45	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xf3adef…
10-24 21:16:14	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x93d6e9…
10-24 21:14:41	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x936623…
10-24 19:46:11	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x2dc059…
10-24 19:43:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x9939b1…
10-24 19:32:44	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x2bb59b…
10-24 18:55:24	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x564c2c…
10-24 17:10:50	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x4ad55d…
10-24 14:30:08	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0x1feeb4…
10-24 14:11:41	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0xd0202c…
10-24 14:11:32	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xa6be13…
10-24 14:11:29	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xaa7c8e…
10-24 12:36:29	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x89efed…
10-24 11:54:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x627535…
10-24 11:34:27	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x6f61ae…
10-24 10:59:47	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xe6f757…
10-24 10:38:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf5b93f…
10-24 10:38:32	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x814209…
10-24 10:36:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0d498d…
10-24 10:12:23	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x388c85…
10-24 10:12:00	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xab03ea…
10-24 10:11:50	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$5	0xc8e9db…
10-24 10:11:45	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x9e37ee…
10-24 09:57:30	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x4f7c91…
10-24 09:53:30	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9b4189…
10-24 09:50:20	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x57b3a0…
10-24 09:44:35	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x2a7778…
10-24 09:31:24	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb8b2fc…
10-24 09:31:23	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x9f6242…
10-24 09:31:02	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x283290…
10-24 07:09:20	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xaf7d18…
10-24 06:56:44	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x542671…
10-24 06:00:14	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8b9c03…
10-23 05:53:24	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,335	0¢	$1	0x13519b…
10-22 11:50:18	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	46¢	$57	0x9cb9fc…
10-22 11:50:14	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	46¢	$27	0x105255…
10-22 06:46:41	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0x978f94…
10-22 04:41:17	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x4f4736…
10-22 02:35:14	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	928	0¢	$1	0x02d962…
10-21 18:41:23	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xa27eb6…
10-21 15:05:38	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0x56c148…
10-21 14:21:53	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x4d176d…
10-21 13:02:54	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x58a45e…
10-21 01:56:15	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	22¢	$37	0x9bede6…
10-21 01:22:35	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	20¢	$35	0x7870eb…
10-15 13:03:05	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	69¢	$174	0xc1ea24…
10-15 11:10:45	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x749fbf…
10-13 00:25:35	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	228	21¢	$48	0x2b7118…
10-12 18:12:21	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x167ea4…
10-12 18:11:47	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x413dba…
10-12 00:19:42	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x0af534…
10-11 15:37:12	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x524836…
10-10 04:25:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x2b7081…
10-10 03:29:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x2cf34a…
10-09 08:28:55	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xa56d57…
10-09 07:09:48	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xa4ba4b…
10-09 05:02:00	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x5209c8…
10-08 21:33:53	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x71030e…
10-08 20:41:39	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9c5ada…
10-08 16:00:02	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xa96e9f…
10-05 14:00:37	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	SELL	118	7¢	$8	0xdeb1b1…
10-04 03:22:04	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xe989ce…
10-03 12:13:47	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xc3c0c6…
10-03 12:13:27	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xa61ac7…
10-03 11:21:42	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x949381…
10-03 11:20:26	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xf83ec6…
10-03 07:57:35	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xb64069…
10-03 06:25:30	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfa2459…
10-03 05:31:48	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	BUY	486	19¢	$92	0x2cd71b…
10-03 05:31:29	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x55a885…
10-02 14:37:15	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa31310…
10-02 13:54:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd2b8d3…
10-02 13:49:20	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb7ae03…
10-02 13:34:36	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x74e294…
10-02 13:34:36	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6a29f9…
10-02 13:34:35	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe91214…
10-02 13:34:15	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x295743…
10-02 13:33:30	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd67332…
10-02 13:33:29	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x0db1f9…
10-02 12:29:47	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x65ae92…
10-02 12:29:47	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4327fe…
10-02 12:29:45	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x59471e…
10-02 12:29:45	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x14d82c…
10-02 11:13:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa06250…
10-02 10:16:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	53¢	$37	0x17c6fd…
10-01 18:20:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xd9c729…
10-01 12:36:45	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x7acf20…
10-01 08:25:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	83	62¢	$51	0x2f5476…
10-01 08:01:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x12a1eb…
10-01 07:56:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0xbc4695…
10-01 07:10:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfd4bf3…
10-01 07:00:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x4f1bc6…