Realized P&L
-$57
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
0.5%
Resolved
499
Trades
612
lifetime
Volume
$2.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$0
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 05-17 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Sports
92% 2% -$4
Politics
3% 3% -$50
Other
3% 13% -$3
Crypto
2% 0% $0
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-17 09:04
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-17 09:05
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -2 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-17 09:06
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-17 09:05