Key-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$374

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

434

Trades

18,652

lifetime

Volume

$48.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-29 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% +$374

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 880 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	40	$156	165	60	+105	open	—	05-04 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776465000	23	$142	119	116	+3	open	—	04-17 22:33
btc updown 5m 1776483900	15	$130	129	74	+55	open	—	04-18 03:49
btc updown 5m 1774857900	10	$125	107	90	+17	open	—	03-30 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	15	$122	99	99	+0	Down	+$68	05-07 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	35	$119	207	66	+141	open	—	04-26 03:00
btc updown 5m 1775632500	15	$118	103	90	+13	open	—	04-08 07:19
btc updown 5m 1775248500	6	$116	103	72	+31	open	—	04-03 20:40
btc updown 5m 1774931400	5	$106	90	88	+2	open	—	03-31 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	31	$103	115	67	+48	open	—	04-27 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	16	$101	78	77	+1	open	—	05-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	11	$100	75	75	+0	open	—	05-16 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	7	$100	202	0	+202	Down	$-100	05-10 06:29
btc updown 5m 1776543600	15	$100	69	66	+3	open	—	04-18 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$99	213	0	+213	Down	$-99	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	19	$99	86	79	+7	open	—	04-26 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	19	$99	78	62	+16	Down	+$20	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	21	$93	65	64	+1	open	—	05-16 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	13	$90	70	70	+0	open	—	05-15 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	36	$85	212	0	+212	Down	+$127	05-08 23:44
btc updown 5m 1775695800	11	$81	64	62	+2	open	—	04-09 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	16	$79	62	61	+1	open	—	05-15 07:49
btc updown 5m 1775779500	13	$78	68	60	+8	open	—	04-10 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	12	$77	56	55	+1	open	—	05-02 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	17	$75	128	26	+102	open	—	05-26 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	18	$74	50	49	+1	open	—	04-25 07:59
btc updown 5m 1775702100	14	$74	79	56	+23	open	—	04-09 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	16	$73	80	40	+40	open	—	04-28 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	12	$73	47	46	+1	open	—	05-01 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	17	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$11	05-14 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x24692f…
05-29 00:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb3ca0d…
05-29 00:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x332ab1…
05-29 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbb64b3…
05-29 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x630b66…
05-29 00:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xfb5c3d…
05-29 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x9ef9d8…
05-29 00:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8ad233…
05-29 00:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xc154cf…
05-29 00:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6fe231…
05-29 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xfe27f4…
05-29 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x57b413…
05-29 00:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x72ec82…
05-29 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x82c816…
05-29 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5a6e51…
05-29 00:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x35ee7e…
05-29 00:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x39476c…
05-29 00:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x54690c…
05-29 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x4b8207…
05-29 00:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc1ba40…
05-29 00:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x374424…
05-29 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xb50809…
05-29 00:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xba3490…
05-29 00:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xd88edb…
05-29 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa3b579…
05-29 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x6ab782…
05-29 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x04f492…
05-29 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x7e1693…
05-29 00:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x0bb07d…
05-29 00:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5ba17e…
05-29 00:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xd5b970…
05-29 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x7c6f76…
05-29 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x4b3e12…
05-29 00:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x08a203…
05-29 00:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb83b16…
05-29 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4c3bc4…
05-29 00:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x024b6d…
05-29 00:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xce9b91…
05-28 16:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x127ae6…
05-28 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xe6d8ee…
05-28 13:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x60d297…
05-28 11:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xe2088d…
05-28 11:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x4a5fe9…
05-28 11:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xba596a…
05-28 11:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x7f65ee…
05-28 11:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x93a5c3…
05-28 11:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x045619…
05-28 09:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x440fc0…
05-28 09:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x7c1c26…
05-28 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xca81e3…
05-28 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x26f641…
05-28 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf6aa3…
05-28 09:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xb07668…
05-28 09:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xd8aecb…
05-28 09:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb198b7…
05-28 09:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbd46d0…
05-28 09:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x35289d…
05-28 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe78f8d…
05-28 09:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7fc8f8…
05-28 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc87a40…
05-28 07:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xb21db7…
05-28 07:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x2363fe…
05-28 07:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x21980f…
05-28 07:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x07e4e7…
05-28 06:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x25ad1e…
05-28 06:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2753fd…
05-28 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xe88d1e…
05-28 06:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xbf7ba5…
05-28 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x6151b6…
05-28 06:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3903e5…
05-28 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x21dca7…
05-28 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x1e5053…
05-28 06:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4246ba…
05-28 06:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x11ccb8…
05-28 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xaad521…
05-28 06:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x3567e8…
05-28 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x7f90ca…
05-28 06:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8686d6…
05-28 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xe764a2…
05-28 05:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xeb3f0d…
05-28 05:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2ebe95…
05-28 03:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xf3e992…
05-28 03:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfdc8ee…
05-28 03:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x142445…
05-28 03:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf58bd3…
05-28 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x74ee09…
05-28 01:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xd4e169…
05-28 01:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x3a42d2…
05-28 00:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x90e4e0…
05-28 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xbea402…
05-28 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xba1c12…
05-28 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x67f7d1…
05-28 00:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbf7ab2…
05-28 00:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x989577…
05-28 00:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x78655f…
05-28 00:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x37a2e8…
05-28 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc5e8d9…
05-28 00:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x2c68b2…
05-27 21:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xe601f7…
05-27 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf8091f…