Key-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

38 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$78

$78 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$16	77	0	+77	Up	$-1	05-06 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	Down	$-1	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Up	$-7	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$6	13	0	+13	Down	$-2	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$6	5	4	+1	Up	$-4	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-06 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$4	186	0	+186	Down	$-4	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$4	12	0	+12	Up	$-4	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$2	14	0	+14	Up	$-2	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$1	21	0	+21	Up	$-1	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	+$7	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$1	62	0	+62	Up	$-1	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	62	0	+62	Up	$-1	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	15	0	+15	Down	+$14	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x765e68…
05-06 05:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x918195…
05-06 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0e44b1…
05-06 05:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x694f41…
05-06 05:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5960e8…
05-06 05:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5e6a96…
05-06 05:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xb41e3d…
05-06 05:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x52bfa5…
05-06 05:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x974786…
05-06 05:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x085533…
05-06 05:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x25b0a7…
05-06 05:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x94b0b5…
05-06 05:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x59c01d…
05-06 03:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x48ed30…
05-06 03:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3a4f95…
05-06 03:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc07b13…
05-06 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2af763…
05-06 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0fdb3…
05-06 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x809ded…
05-06 03:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x886c84…
05-06 03:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2d3930…
05-06 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xdf99e4…
05-06 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9cc8c6…
05-06 02:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2184fa…
05-06 02:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x7a1b46…
05-06 02:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x50a83c…
05-06 02:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0f4f61…
05-06 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x7aa9f9…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xfffe38…
05-06 00:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x951532…
05-06 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xf72be7…
05-06 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7e15a4…
05-06 00:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbb3719…
05-06 00:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xab9406…
05-06 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb56ab1…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfc3984…
05-05 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3318dc…
05-05 01:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0c91ed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	23	$3.16K	187	05-06 05:55
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	23	$538	104	05-06 05:54
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	22	$545	89	05-06 05:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	20	$3.01K	49	05-06 05:54
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	20	$2.70K	31	05-06 05:54
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	20	$548	111	05-06 05:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$5.80K	106	05-06 05:54
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	19	$2.77K	233	05-06 05:55