Slow-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$180

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-19 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 0% $-2

Other

40% 100% +$1

Politics

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-28 19:23
btc updown 5m 1776871800	5	$9	12	11	+1	open	—	04-22 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776870600	4	$6	8	7	+0	open	—	04-22 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776891300	2	$6	9	8	+1	open	—	04-22 20:59
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 19:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-01 09:46
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$5	63	63	+0	open	—	04-28 20:39
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 20:51
btc updown 5m 1776891600	4	$4	18	4	+14	open	—	04-22 21:02
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 21:00
btc updown 5m 1776883800	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 18:55
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 19:30
btc updown 5m 1776892500	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 21:19
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$3	7	6	+0	open	—	04-23 09:20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 14:01
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 16:34
btc updown 5m 1776871200	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-22 15:22
btc updown 5m 1776953700	3	$3	7	2	+5	open	—	04-23 14:19
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 11:44
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	04-23 11:37
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	3	$3	5	3	+3	open	—	04-28 07:44
btc updown 5m 1776929400	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 07:33
btc updown 5m 1776861600	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 12:43
btc updown 5m 1776863400	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 13:15
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 15:14
epl bou lee 2026 04 22 bou	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 20:55
will james rodrguez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-02 09:10
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	07-19 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:52:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4edeeb…
07-19 18:59:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots pedro porro gte1	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x21d344…
07-18 20:49:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf44dcd…
07-18 20:48:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots declan rice gte1	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe15584…
07-15 18:54:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f19ba…
06-15 01:23:09	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 goals viktor gyokeres gte1	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x55d9a9…
06-02 09:11:25	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9e78eb…
06-02 09:10:19	will james rodrguez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd8d4dc…
06-01 09:46:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x399be6…
05-28 19:23:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x458beb…
05-28 12:08:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x08958a…
05-28 11:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb2ca45…
05-28 11:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2d685b…
05-28 11:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd01871…
05-28 11:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdf7330…
05-28 11:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfac9b2…
05-28 11:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x6e5ab8…
05-28 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5dfb6f…
05-27 08:26:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0fca4a…
05-26 08:46:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54d85c…
05-23 22:45:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6435ee…
05-23 22:41:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7fb62c…
05-17 19:07:22	Will Trump post "Television" or "TV" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2aa03f…
05-17 19:07:05	Will Trump post "Transgender" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcc5230…
05-06 21:00:52	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb1f981…
05-06 11:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa4218e…
05-06 08:12:56	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xf1a4ff…
05-04 18:04:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x32e706…
05-04 11:45:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x4d27de…
05-04 09:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd5c521…
04-30 16:34:10	Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa75079…
04-30 11:39:04	SHL: Roegle vs. Skellefteaa	Skellefteaa	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x78a573…
04-29 20:51:24	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x48dee6…
04-29 19:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x51c341…
04-29 19:03:40	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xba4208…
04-29 10:31:50	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbc1e71…
04-28 20:41:24	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2b3200…
04-28 20:39:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x209dd7…
04-28 19:30:44	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x09ff32…
04-28 19:28:56	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3c8c2a…
04-28 19:08:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xdb192f…
04-28 18:31:10	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x452fb9…
04-28 12:44:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x8b9d19…
04-28 07:44:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa815cd…
04-28 07:35:08	Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x588937…
04-26 21:09:34	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4d104a…
04-26 21:09:10	Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec69b2…
04-26 14:01:58	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x0c4f93…
04-25 19:39:36	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe43ae9…
04-25 15:14:22	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x42a763…
04-25 15:11:42	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf86239…
04-25 13:52:04	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf318c1…
04-25 13:50:32	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb2906e…
04-25 11:55:14	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x888fa4…
04-24 13:00:30	btc updown 15m 1777035600	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x06848a…
04-24 12:47:44	Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x45168b…
04-24 12:45:10	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfd6681…
04-24 12:44:28	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb42206…
04-24 09:56:36	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x441b9a…
04-24 08:03:52	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6c37a0…
04-24 08:03:04	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8403ec…
04-23 18:13:50	ere goa az 2026 04 23 az	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x694d67…
04-23 17:55:48	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x60a79b…
04-23 14:28:28	btc updown 5m 1776954300	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xd355e6…
04-23 14:25:44	btc updown 5m 1776954300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ce2ab…
04-23 14:19:38	btc updown 5m 1776953700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdcce96…
04-23 14:18:36	btc updown 5m 1776953700	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf48343…
04-23 14:15:16	btc updown 5m 1776953700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd3e98…
04-23 11:37:54	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x838c74…
04-23 11:29:46	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 rcl	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xf9db7c…
04-23 11:28:28	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0268ac…
04-23 09:20:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x3204cb…
04-23 08:08:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfc22ca…
04-23 08:06:20	Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate	Liam Broady	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x6a0646…
04-23 07:49:26	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0bbed7…
04-23 07:33:58	btc updown 5m 1776929400	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xedcb2e…
04-23 07:32:04	btc updown 5m 1776929400	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x701bc2…
04-23 06:57:26	Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate	Liam Broady	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x30ee8c…
04-23 06:48:16	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x95e652…
04-23 06:46:18	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1d552…
04-23 06:42:40	epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2a9767…
04-23 06:39:12	btc updown 5m 1776926100	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xfa8909…
04-23 06:37:58	btc updown 5m 1776926100	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x236a56…
04-22 21:19:48	btc updown 5m 1776892500	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x11ffff…
04-22 21:18:14	btc updown 5m 1776892500	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x001b0e…
04-22 21:02:20	btc updown 5m 1776891600	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x52488d…
04-22 21:01:36	btc updown 5m 1776891600	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x06d955…
04-22 21:01:24	btc updown 5m 1776891600	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x12bc90…
04-22 21:00:32	btc updown 5m 1776891600	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4c640e…
04-22 20:59:24	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x6de9e4…
04-22 20:58:16	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd6b37f…
04-22 20:55:12	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 bou	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x09dc4b…
04-22 20:15:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x632485…
04-22 20:14:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x15d84b…
04-22 20:13:54	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x760f4b…
04-22 18:55:28	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xef5390…
04-22 18:52:48	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xec2601…
04-22 17:52:24	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 bou	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd497de…
04-22 16:13:28	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc08202…
04-22 16:12:44	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd88f7d…