Mediocre-Yeast — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$270

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved (30d)

288

Trades (30d)

1,218

5,393 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$18.7K

$105.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-31 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Other

97% 47% -$2,503

Crypto

2% 54% -$112

Politics

1% 42% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-31 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	9	$3.6K	5,416	5,416	+0	Yes	-$228	03-18 14:07
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	6	$3.6K	4,930	4,930	+0	No	-$145	03-17 12:26
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	6	$3.0K	3,657	3,657	+0	No	-$282	03-18 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	5	$2.1K	1,833	1,833	+0	No	+$56	02-27 19:14
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	9	$1.7K	2,043	2,043	+0	Yes	+$28	03-03 16:40
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	7	$1.6K	1,585	1,581	+4	Yes	+$10	02-27 09:13
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	6	$1.5K	1,189	1,189	+0	Yes	+$98	03-06 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	7	$1.4K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	-$65	03-22 01:53
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$1.3K	1,624	1,624	+0	Yes	+$351	03-15 18:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	7	$1.3K	2,395	2,395	+0	No	-$118	03-12 14:27
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	4	$1.2K	2,737	2,737	+0	No	-$469	03-19 13:31
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	10	$1.2K	1,249	1,249	+0	Yes	+$47	03-10 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	5	$1.1K	1,738	1,738	+0	No	+$286	03-10 13:51
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	7	$1.1K	1,341	902	+439	No	-$296	03-07 08:13
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	7	$936	1,391	1,391	+0	No	+$20	02-19 14:37
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	6	$927	1,214	1,214	+0	No	-$93	02-27 08:37
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	7	$910	1,734	1,734	+0	No	-$280	03-12 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	33	$867	800	800	+0	No	-$11	06-05 00:06
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	4	$860	1,035	1,035	+0	No	+$419	03-13 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	10	$842	769	769	+0	Yes	+$22	02-14 08:14
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	8	$841	642	646	-4	Yes	+$39	03-14 14:23
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	14	$806	935	935	+0	Yes	-$10	02-16 01:25
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	6	$805	702	702	+0	Yes	+$64	03-03 22:53
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	5	$798	1,228	1,228	+0	No	+$96	03-14 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	11	$793	1,886	1,398	+489	No	-$211	03-03 08:18
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	2	$784	641	641	+0	Yes	+$484	02-24 16:40
Fort Worth: Jenson Brooksby vs Gabriel Debru	28	$763	547	547	+0	Jenson Brooksby	+$21	10-24 23:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	42	$747	840	840	+0	Yes	+$44	06-04 23:23
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	9	$746	923	749	+174	Yes	+$152	02-17 00:54
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	3	$724	1,268	1,268	+0	No	-$44	03-21 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 13:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf40cc3…
10-31 13:18:09	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x402f70…
10-31 13:16:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x90077c…
10-31 13:08:27	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xa2abc3…
10-31 13:03:31	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb2994a…
10-31 13:02:18	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x683489…
10-31 13:02:16	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd16f0c…
10-31 12:54:19	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x426038…
10-31 12:48:25	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x11c5e9…
10-31 12:47:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xf07200…
10-31 12:41:21	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x775066…
10-31 12:38:12	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xc4a155…
10-31 12:36:12	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9081a5…
10-31 12:25:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe742f0…
10-31 11:39:42	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0x91f206…
10-31 11:35:42	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x0b819d…
10-31 11:29:49	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x73eb3d…
10-31 11:29:06	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x29463e…
10-31 11:27:49	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaf4f44…
10-31 11:14:40	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x997192…
10-31 11:11:51	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc39f99…
10-31 11:08:51	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb23f04…
10-31 11:07:40	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x88108f…
10-31 09:41:22	Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0d42ea…
10-31 00:24:10	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch	Darwin Blanch	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x4dd0df…
10-31 00:05:42	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xf4dd26…
10-31 00:04:48	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Nadia Podoroska	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x55da63…
10-31 00:02:00	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x30954c…
10-31 00:01:42	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x2666a4…
10-30 23:27:16	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x028e59…
10-30 23:26:25	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x27155f…
10-30 23:07:03	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb90828…
10-30 22:52:25	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x73c445…
10-30 22:42:28	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x63ba1f…
10-30 22:35:55	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x44cfa9…
10-30 22:11:22	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x95a45d…
10-30 22:10:52	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x280762…
10-30 22:10:45	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6fc00e…
10-30 22:08:16	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xba87cb…
10-30 22:00:36	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x969bab…
10-30 21:55:07	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon	Lautaro Midon	SELL	122	70¢	$85	0x0f3778…
10-30 21:24:45	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon	Lautaro Midon	BUY	122	64¢	$78	0xf3234e…
10-30 16:32:46	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x6dc2df…
10-30 15:37:27	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x91ae32…
10-30 15:30:03	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xce0d40…
10-30 15:29:43	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0e3753…
10-30 15:27:49	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x00c4ec…
10-30 15:26:07	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x75e098…
10-30 15:25:43	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x736518…
10-30 15:02:22	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	86	75¢	$65	0xd530d3…
10-30 14:11:42	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	86	74¢	$64	0xc899a2…
10-30 13:35:31	Brest: Federico Cina vs Dino Prizmic	Federico Cina	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x9ace0b…
10-30 13:32:25	Brest: Federico Cina vs Dino Prizmic	Federico Cina	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbf447d…
10-30 11:59:58	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe73519…
10-30 09:47:54	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x0ee337…
10-30 06:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x085ac5…
10-30 06:59:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x262e53…
10-29 21:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x7de966…
10-29 21:27:12	Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed1308…
10-29 21:24:40	Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe31a5c…
10-29 21:02:07	Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x035d40…
10-29 21:00:12	Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x028eb7…
10-29 20:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x188358…
10-29 16:50:07	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbfdaac…
10-29 16:43:14	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x4da6c4…
10-29 16:43:13	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x7b6b16…
10-29 16:38:44	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x3de75d…
10-29 13:57:37	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x7e2ff6…
10-29 13:48:19	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd3a87f…
10-29 13:47:02	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb959a3…
10-29 11:37:43	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	89	59¢	$53	0x4ae9d9…
10-29 11:32:02	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x9a8f10…
10-29 10:34:59	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5596b2…
10-29 02:40:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x9b15a0…
10-28 20:48:31	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x17cf46…
10-28 20:33:47	Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez	Alex Hernandez	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x4b1e43…
10-28 20:29:52	Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez	Alex Hernandez	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xef2ac5…
10-28 20:01:10	Curitiba: Gabriela Ce vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x7fc432…
10-28 19:55:47	Curitiba: Gabriela Ce vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	13	86¢	$12	0xca526f…
10-28 19:53:01	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Hugo Gaston	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x866c7b…
10-28 19:30:34	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Hugo Gaston	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcf475a…
10-28 19:29:29	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x942109…
10-28 19:23:19	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2228c2…
10-28 19:22:19	Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4d7b44…
10-28 17:40:40	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x927e6d…
10-28 17:38:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x66aba0…
10-28 17:26:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xa203e3…
10-28 17:07:10	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x277ee8…
10-28 14:45:13	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf5199c…
10-28 14:43:02	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x323781…
10-28 14:19:10	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd542ed…
10-28 14:18:29	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8524e3…
10-28 13:09:16	Brest: Federico Cina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Federico Cina	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x980a4a…
10-28 13:00:07	Brest: Federico Cina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Federico Cina	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x874c2e…
10-28 12:43:40	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8b932f…
10-28 11:44:35	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xb2adae…
10-28 11:40:44	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xeb302d…
10-28 11:34:58	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2fa9f2…
10-28 09:24:47	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x80f5c5…
10-28 08:29:20	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x376144…