Mediocre-Yeast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.77K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

1,589

Trades

5,463

lifetime

Volume

$105.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-02 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 244 days

Categories

Other

97% 47% -$2,536

Crypto

2% 54% -$112

Politics

1% 42% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes		+90	$1	1¢	$1	$0	11-02 09:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	9	$3.6K	5,416	5,416	+0	Yes	-$228	03-18 14:07
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	6	$3.6K	4,930	4,930	+0	No	-$145	03-17 12:26
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	6	$3.0K	3,657	3,657	+0	No	-$282	03-18 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	5	$2.1K	1,833	1,833	+0	No	+$56	02-27 19:14
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	9	$1.7K	2,043	2,043	+0	Yes	+$28	03-03 16:40
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	7	$1.6K	1,585	1,581	+4	Yes	+$10	02-27 09:13
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	6	$1.5K	1,189	1,189	+0	Yes	+$98	03-06 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	7	$1.4K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	-$65	03-22 01:53
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$1.3K	1,624	1,624	+0	Yes	+$351	03-15 18:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	7	$1.3K	2,395	2,395	+0	No	-$118	03-12 14:27
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	4	$1.2K	2,737	2,737	+0	No	-$469	03-19 13:31
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	10	$1.2K	1,249	1,249	+0	Yes	+$47	03-10 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	5	$1.1K	1,738	1,738	+0	No	+$286	03-10 13:51
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	7	$1.1K	1,341	902	+439	No	-$296	03-07 08:13
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	7	$936	1,391	1,391	+0	No	+$20	02-19 14:37
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	6	$927	1,214	1,214	+0	No	-$93	02-27 08:37
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	7	$910	1,734	1,734	+0	No	-$280	03-12 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	33	$867	800	800	+0	No	-$11	06-05 00:06
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	4	$860	1,035	1,035	+0	No	+$419	03-13 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	10	$842	769	769	+0	Yes	+$22	02-14 08:14
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	8	$841	642	646	-4	Yes	+$39	03-14 14:23
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	14	$806	935	935	+0	Yes	-$10	02-16 01:25
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	6	$805	702	702	+0	Yes	+$64	03-03 22:53
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	5	$798	1,228	1,228	+0	No	+$96	03-14 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	11	$793	1,886	1,398	+489	No	-$211	03-03 08:18
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	2	$784	641	641	+0	Yes	+$484	02-24 16:40
Fort Worth: Jenson Brooksby vs Gabriel Debru	28	$763	547	547	+0	Jenson Brooksby	+$21	10-24 23:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	42	$747	840	840	+0	Yes	+$44	06-04 23:23
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	9	$746	923	749	+174	Yes	+$152	02-17 00:54
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	3	$724	1,268	1,268	+0	No	-$44	03-21 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 10:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xd1f6bd…
11-02 10:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xca1304…
11-02 10:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xb790cc…
11-02 09:53:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x96cad1…
11-02 09:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x28310b…
11-02 09:45:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x3aea1c…
11-02 09:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x778694…
11-02 09:32:39	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x60f7d1…
11-01 20:44:34	Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x924a53…
11-01 19:58:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	15¢	$12	0xcbef65…
11-01 19:57:18	Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl	Dylan Dietrich	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x1c1dbe…
11-01 19:45:04	Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x70948a…
11-01 19:44:22	Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x91ac77…
11-01 13:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x92b263…
11-01 09:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x7fa89d…
11-01 09:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9b17d2…
11-01 09:06:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4d5bef…
11-01 08:42:22	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Coleman Wong	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x36f490…
11-01 08:39:40	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Coleman Wong	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x77072c…
11-01 08:29:42	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc64e73…
11-01 08:28:10	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0f5a2…
11-01 08:21:40	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x0600d9…
11-01 08:19:52	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa0b7dd…
11-01 08:17:25	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x38f884…
11-01 08:13:57	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3a0d6d…
11-01 02:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xb4eba0…
11-01 01:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b8fa6…
11-01 00:24:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$0	0xff99a3…
11-01 00:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x917264…
10-31 23:38:34	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x955791…
10-31 23:38:06	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcf013e…
10-31 23:38:03	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x04c738…
10-31 23:36:45	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x83ff01…
10-31 23:34:51	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8c2458…
10-31 23:31:31	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x70d76a…
10-31 23:31:00	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0f2d70…
10-31 23:26:00	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xafa540…
10-31 23:22:58	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x891e20…
10-31 23:22:25	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe2cb28…
10-31 23:17:36	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xac9eb8…
10-31 22:56:34	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x6a2511…
10-31 22:47:30	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5b8a4b…
10-31 22:42:19	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa5472a…
10-31 22:40:42	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb90a1e…
10-31 22:39:51	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0x296db1…
10-31 22:34:22	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joao Lucas Da Silva	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x92eea2…
10-31 22:00:21	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	99	32¢	$32	0x0c2322…
10-31 22:00:01	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x36fd1c…
10-31 21:59:58	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9ea844…
10-31 21:59:12	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xb06297…
10-31 21:50:01	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x363d24…
10-31 21:46:36	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x1ec333…
10-31 21:45:54	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x7a83cc…
10-31 20:22:28	Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Aidan Mayo	Aidan Mayo	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x890ebe…
10-31 20:22:27	Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Aidan Mayo	Aidan Mayo	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x330e9e…
10-31 19:21:54	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x1db109…
10-31 19:20:57	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6521ac…
10-31 19:07:25	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x699cd8…
10-31 18:57:55	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x50686d…
10-31 17:18:55	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0ea06f…
10-31 17:17:06	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x8ae4f5…
10-31 17:16:04	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x82482a…
10-31 17:11:16	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa2fb48…
10-31 17:06:13	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4a33d1…
10-31 17:05:31	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x395410…
10-31 17:04:21	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xfb1dcd…
10-31 17:03:55	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0259e1…
10-31 16:52:28	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x73c2f8…
10-31 16:48:18	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3ba106…
10-31 16:47:25	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xeb42d5…
10-31 13:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf40cc3…
10-31 13:18:09	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x402f70…
10-31 13:16:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x90077c…
10-31 13:08:27	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xa2abc3…
10-31 13:03:31	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb2994a…
10-31 13:02:18	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x683489…
10-31 13:02:16	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd16f0c…
10-31 12:54:19	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x426038…
10-31 12:48:25	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x11c5e9…
10-31 12:47:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xf07200…
10-31 12:41:21	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x775066…
10-31 12:38:12	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xc4a155…
10-31 12:36:12	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9081a5…
10-31 12:25:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe742f0…
10-31 11:39:42	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0x91f206…
10-31 11:35:42	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x0b819d…
10-31 11:29:49	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x73eb3d…
10-31 11:29:06	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x29463e…
10-31 11:27:49	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaf4f44…
10-31 11:14:40	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x997192…
10-31 11:11:51	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc39f99…
10-31 11:08:51	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb23f04…
10-31 11:07:40	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x88108f…
10-31 09:41:22	Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0d42ea…
10-31 00:24:10	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch	Darwin Blanch	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x4dd0df…
10-31 00:05:42	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xf4dd26…
10-31 00:04:48	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Nadia Podoroska	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x55da63…
10-31 00:02:00	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x30954c…
10-31 00:01:42	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x2666a4…
10-30 23:27:16	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x028e59…