Monthly-Luxury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$589

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-05 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$1

Other

21% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-3

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-100	$-7	6¢	$-6	+$2	05-31 18:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$85	24	76	-52	open	—	05-31 19:15
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$78	259	259	+0	open	—	05-23 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$54	42	42	+0	open	—	05-31 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	05-31 19:10
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	2	$30	130	0	+130	open	—	06-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	06-01 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-31 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	05-31 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	05-31 19:05
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$17	47	0	+47	open	—	06-01 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	06-01 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-31 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$12	48	0	+48	open	—	06-01 20:36
btc updown 5m 1780687500	5	$11	178	0	+178	open	—	06-05 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$8	130	30	+100	open	—	05-17 14:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	0	100	-100	open	—	05-31 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$7	25	0	+25	open	—	06-01 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	05-31 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$6	31	0	+31	open	—	06-01 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	05-31 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$6	17	0	+17	open	—	05-31 19:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$5	67	0	+67	open	—	05-31 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	06-01 20:01
btc updown 5m 1780689300	2	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	06-05 19:58
btc updown 5m 1780689000	2	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	06-05 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:58:39	btc updown 5m 1780689300	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa668af…
06-05 19:58:27	btc updown 5m 1780689300	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5cd1c4…
06-05 19:51:34	btc updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4f4ae4…
06-05 19:50:42	btc updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa2cac9…
06-05 19:47:12	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0x5cc26b…
06-05 19:38:13	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x6419d1…
06-05 19:31:49	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x34af23…
06-05 19:31:18	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdcd650…
06-05 19:31:15	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x39e59f…
06-05 19:30:57	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	74	23¢	$17	0x8a88b4…
06-05 19:29:16	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x295ee3…
06-05 19:28:10	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x37a88d…
06-05 19:27:10	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa10079…
06-05 19:26:48	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x689c37…
06-05 19:26:13	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0b5dbf…
06-05 15:43:18	btc updown 5m 1780674000	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3a2c98…
06-05 15:42:49	btc updown 5m 1780674000	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x176cde…
06-05 15:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780674000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf4a8c6…
06-05 15:34:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6c5b9…
06-01 20:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9ecb19…
06-01 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc647b1…
06-01 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb89ab5…
06-01 20:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf3a11f…
06-01 20:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf5389e…
06-01 20:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa754ba…
06-01 20:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x21d3c3…
06-01 20:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x44abcb…
06-01 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa6701c…
06-01 20:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x224727…
06-01 20:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5c5a99…
06-01 20:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5aad51…
06-01 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x8296fd…
06-01 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x4a3bc3…
06-01 20:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf6b5fb…
06-01 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3afa65…
06-01 20:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x360812…
06-01 20:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcb034a…
06-01 20:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xaa840e…
06-01 20:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe4da13…
06-01 20:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xe6bfac…
06-01 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x237e50…
06-01 20:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6efa6e…
06-01 20:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7d71ff…
06-01 20:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa8567c…
06-01 20:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd7c7b1…
06-01 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x027248…
06-01 19:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc1bc46…
06-01 19:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x4ee9db…
06-01 19:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf41def…
05-31 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1980fd…
05-31 21:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe8a931…
05-31 21:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x43fcee…
05-31 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfcb5b4…
05-31 21:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x0b2aaa…
05-31 21:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x4ea24b…
05-31 21:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xaee12d…
05-31 21:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x034208…
05-31 21:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2ea7e0…
05-31 21:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd67181…
05-31 21:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x3c0a0c…
05-31 19:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2e76eb…
05-31 19:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x02d50a…
05-31 19:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x40328e…
05-31 19:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0f26ed…
05-31 19:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x22a47e…
05-31 19:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x423436…
05-31 19:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf455d1…
05-31 19:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xecc778…
05-31 19:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x00ea64…
05-31 19:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9be09c…
05-31 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc8e1b7…
05-31 19:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2d71d9…
05-31 19:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6387d7…
05-31 19:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x100a45…
05-31 19:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$76	0xbf5f11…
05-31 19:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3ffba8…
05-31 19:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x74d9d6…
05-31 19:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x412cce…
05-31 19:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x23818f…
05-31 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x7d5407…
05-31 19:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x28c8a3…
05-31 19:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8a79b5…
05-31 19:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3cf27e…
05-31 19:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9f3666…
05-31 19:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc64fc4…
05-31 19:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb8b31b…
05-31 18:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf16426…
05-31 18:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xc89e40…
05-31 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x162947…
05-31 18:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf0490d…
05-31 18:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x615d60…
05-31 18:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1ca8b4…
05-31 18:49:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x553fdb…
05-23 23:07:08	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	259	24¢	$63	0xf83131…
05-23 21:49:14	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	259	6¢	$16	0xbe4e24…
05-17 15:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x913cf6…
05-17 15:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x322f40…
05-17 15:23:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x983975…
05-17 15:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6ed13d…
05-17 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xecc737…