Curly-Doubt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$537

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$103

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	+100	$1	55¢	$55	+$54	05-05 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	+34	$17	99¢	$33	+$16	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	+100	$1	16¢	$16	+$14	05-05 21:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$92	108	+108	open	—	05-05 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$89	104	+104	open	—	05-05 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$65	130	+130	open	—	05-05 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$53	58	+58	Down	+$5	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$51	100	+100	open	—	05-05 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$42	51	+51	Down	+$9	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$42	88	+88	open	—	05-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$36	61	+61	Down	+$25	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$17	34	+34	open	—	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$11	14	+14	open	—	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Up	$-6	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$3	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	05-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	05-05 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7055a3…
05-05 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x557d92…
05-05 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x012d98…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c249a…
05-05 14:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xf7d0c6…
05-05 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x2bd826…
05-05 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xec4fcb…
05-05 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xbdd977…
05-05 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x21c488…
05-05 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	99	85¢	$84	0x50f5cd…
05-05 11:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x287d87…
05-05 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x52ea49…
05-05 11:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x68ea86…
05-05 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	88	48¢	$42	0x7841a9…
05-05 10:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x36e0a4…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4172f7…
05-05 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	61	58¢	$36	0x013e2d…
05-05 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x63bfcd…
05-04 22:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xf29065…
05-04 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xbf32dc…
05-04 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0xa19eef…
05-04 22:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x7c056e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$2.07K	74	05-05 21:25
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$655	52	05-05 21:30
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$549	44	05-05 21:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$1.21K	49	05-05 21:30
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	13	$1.17K	59	05-05 21:30
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	13	$1.04K	53	05-05 21:30
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$1.25K	26	05-05 21:30
Sneaky-Raccoon 0xd9ea…22aa	10	$773	17	05-05 21:15