Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$769

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.3%

Resolved

435

Trades

856

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-14 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

37% 30% -$347

Crypto

35% 3% -$183

Sports

14% 32% -$98

Politics

13% 30% -$142

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	51	$815	1,483	1,600	-117	No	+$63	02-26 17:55
nba ind bkn 2026 04 09	3	$810	1,000	1,000	+0	Pacers	-$10	04-09 03:26
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	63	$749	1,228	1,400	-172	Yes	-$92	02-26 17:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$718	600	600	+0	Yes	+$2	08-12 12:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$684	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$12	05-20 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	4	$601	670	670	+0	Yes	+$5	05-30 12:01
nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	2	$580	1,000	1,000	+0	Islanders	+$0	04-09 14:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$538	1,022	1,422	-400	No	+$55	03-31 18:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$534	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$46	03-28 08:54
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	2	$530	1,000	1,000	+0	Hawks	-$10	04-10 05:40
nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	2	$510	1,000	1,000	+0	Senators	-$10	04-09 14:38
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	8	$457	900	900	+0	No	-$13	03-17 17:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$453	742	742	+0	No	-$7	05-20 04:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$354	300	300	+0	No	$0	06-16 15:06
nba min orl 2026 04 08	5	$345	539	539	+0	Magic	+$0	04-08 13:47
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	24	$338	826	926	-100	No	+$7	02-26 12:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$337	888	888	+0	No	+$53	06-12 15:21
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 3	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	01-02 18:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$312	400	400	+0	No	-$8	05-05 13:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 7	2	$302	700	0	+700	No	-$2	01-07 08:57
bitcoin above 62k on february 17	2	$301	634	0	+634	Yes	$0	02-17 10:32
bitcoin above 84k on january 8	2	$301	800	0	+800	Yes	-$1	01-08 11:30
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 5	2	$301	500	0	+500	No	-$1	01-05 05:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	2	$301	500	0	+500	No	-$1	01-06 09:34
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	34	$300	891	591	+300	No	-$59	02-27 19:21
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	5	$299	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$8	03-16 14:02
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$296	296	296	+0	Yes	+$0	07-05 12:50
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	2	$294	327	327	+0	No	-$5	07-09 16:33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$291	250	250	+0	No	-$1	07-17 16:52
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	11	$282	450	450	+0	No	-$3	07-17 19:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 11:29:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x706cfc…
08-12 12:56:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x9eb198…
08-10 18:01:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x721cce…
08-10 16:41:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x9ea662…
08-09 11:52:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x6ced78…
08-07 13:05:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	199	64¢	$128	0x2aa0a7…
08-06 08:40:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	199	54¢	$108	0xcd441b…
08-05 07:43:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	582	18¢	$105	0xaad4d7…
08-05 07:41:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	582	19¢	$110	0xc595e9…
08-04 06:24:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x71472c…
08-03 15:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xdb84d7…
07-21 16:10:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	330	38¢	$125	0x7e1b55…
07-21 14:25:48	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	256	43¢	$110	0x3044c0…
07-21 14:25:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	74	43¢	$32	0x112edd…
07-17 19:22:03	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	450	31¢	$140	0x20aee9…
07-17 19:21:31	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	130	32¢	$41	0x61c276…
07-17 19:20:39	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0x5b4a49…
07-17 19:14:04	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x5ccfe6…
07-17 19:12:49	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x0f88a6…
07-17 19:12:48	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xda97e3…
07-17 19:12:48	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5c0454…
07-17 19:12:48	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x2aecc0…
07-17 19:12:48	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x1169a9…
07-17 19:12:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	74	32¢	$23	0x891c8e…
07-17 19:12:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x03d6d5…
07-17 16:52:03	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	58¢	$145	0xe01cb6…
07-17 14:19:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	58¢	$32	0xfa155f…
07-17 14:13:28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	58¢	$115	0xba843d…
07-09 16:33:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	327	44¢	$145	0x1c5fca…
07-09 16:10:14	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	327	46¢	$150	0x9fb509…
07-09 09:18:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0xf082b0…
07-09 09:12:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	700	19¢	$133	0x7dde05…
07-09 09:06:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	700	20¢	$140	0x63708e…
07-05 12:50:44	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	296	50¢	$148	0x59c655…
07-05 12:44:53	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc0b89d…
07-05 12:30:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x1746b1…
06-28 08:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	256	0¢	$1	0x912398…
06-28 08:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x66f076…
06-28 08:42:38	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x622a4d…
06-28 08:42:11	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	279	0¢	$1	0x2a6ba4…
06-28 08:42:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x19c3c5…
06-28 08:41:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf84ddd…
06-28 08:41:17	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x65c99d…
06-23 07:15:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x1d26db…
06-23 07:13:35	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x5ad152…
06-23 07:13:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2be3ba…
06-23 07:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 23?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x075a0e…
06-23 06:59:47	ethereum above 1900 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x942bb0…
06-23 06:59:40	ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x3279de…
06-23 06:59:31	ethereum above 1500 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xcbeeae…
06-23 06:59:23	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xf4f12f…
06-23 06:57:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x49a9df…
06-23 06:57:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	0¢	$1	0x149077…
06-23 06:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5735d6…
06-21 08:47:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc76cab…
06-17 06:04:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xe8670d…
06-17 06:04:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdfe0da…
06-17 06:04:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x10f4c4…
06-17 06:03:32	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b4692…
06-17 06:03:23	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7a3fa1…
06-17 06:03:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x0d6136…
06-17 06:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	804	0¢	$1	0x55a4b0…
06-17 06:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x6248aa…
06-17 06:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcb5ebb…
06-17 06:01:59	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x6275b3…
06-17 06:00:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x45a3b1…
06-16 15:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	300	59¢	$177	0x51e91c…
06-16 13:55:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x8faea4…
06-12 15:21:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	888	22¢	$195	0x222f46…
06-12 13:42:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	888	16¢	$142	0x3a9165…
06-11 07:58:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x05d536…
06-11 07:56:43	bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2638e3…
06-11 07:56:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8871d7…
06-11 07:56:09	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x447b1f…
06-11 07:55:03	bkseriea oli rey 2026 06 11	Olimpia Milano	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8f52b9…
06-11 07:54:30	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf2db98…
06-10 08:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	293	0¢	$1	0x122ad9…
06-10 08:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x7ee654…
06-04 06:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x30e8ef…
06-02 09:46:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb6993c…
06-02 09:46:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc20503…
06-02 09:46:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 2?	No	BUY	998	0¢	$1	0xe67c6f…
06-02 09:46:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6e300f…
06-02 09:45:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa01189…
06-02 09:45:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc2ef15…
06-02 09:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x142b9f…
06-02 09:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x79181e…
06-02 09:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x017062…
06-02 09:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdc0492…
06-02 09:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdd8aae…
06-02 09:41:14	Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Real Madrid	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb0fe9e…
05-30 12:01:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	44¢	$156	0xec0e09…
05-30 12:00:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	43¢	$150	0xfc75a9…
05-30 11:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	46¢	$147	0xd48643…
05-30 11:50:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	46¢	$147	0x5f7f84…
05-29 08:44:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x290244…
05-29 08:43:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x082f57…
05-29 08:43:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	No	BUY	344	0¢	$1	0x78d31d…
05-29 08:43:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xf1b305…
05-29 08:43:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf08c25…