Helpless-Vibraphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$508

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

3,262

Trades

7,036

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-26 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 53% -$390

Politics

7% 56% -$7

Other

6% 42% -$130

Sports

2% 60% +$21

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	29	$348	215	215	+0	No	+$3	07-14 06:37
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	5	$210	174	165	+10	Yes	-$58	05-06 20:41
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$200	197	197	+0	Yes	+$15	06-24 13:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	6	$181	114	114	+0	No	-$1	07-14 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?	16	$151	124	63	+61	No	+$11	07-26 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	2	$147	90	90	+0	No	+$15	07-30 13:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$140	76	76	+0	No	+$10	05-14 09:00
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	2	$106	68	68	+0	No	-$14	05-20 21:29
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	3	$101	58	58	+0	Yes	+$9	05-20 11:50
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$86	49	49	+0	Yes	+$6	05-18 21:21
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	9	$85	65	65	+0	Yes	-$17	07-26 17:56
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	2	$83	46	46	+0	No	+$3	07-15 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	1	$82	93	0	+93	Yes	-$82	07-30 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:50 UTC	5	$79	89	76	+13	Up	+$28	07-26 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:55 UTC	3	$69	138	138	+0	Down	+$0	06-25 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$67	186	186	+0	Up	+$17	05-14 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$65	91	0	+91	Up	+$26	05-14 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?	2	$62	67	0	+67	No	+$5	07-28 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 15:15 UTC	6	$57	54	52	+2	Up	+$15	06-24 15:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	-$1	04-26 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:45 UTC	4	$49	48	48	+0	Down	+$9	06-25 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 14:25 UTC	6	$48	50	50	+0	Down	+$8	06-24 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:55 UTC	3	$42	55	55	+0	Down	+$14	08-18 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:20 UTC	6	$42	29	29	+0	Down	+$16	07-09 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$41	52	0	+52	Down	-$41	05-21 09:13
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-14 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:35 UTC	4	$40	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	06-25 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	05-21 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	4	$40	26	26	+0	Up	+$8	08-18 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:30 UTC	3	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$12	07-16 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 18:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8acdfb…
08-26 18:30:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3c5b71…
08-26 18:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c6e47…
08-26 18:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c5c19…
08-26 18:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5345b7…
08-26 18:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d7dec…
08-26 13:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xba9620…
08-26 13:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0553cc…
08-26 13:14:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb9d383…
08-26 13:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x9ba55e…
08-26 13:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x530015…
08-26 13:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x0b9c47…
08-26 13:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x43ffea…
08-26 13:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1f2d6e…
08-26 12:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xab16fc…
08-26 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2220f3…
08-26 12:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x05e011…
08-26 12:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4eafec…
08-26 12:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcc19be…
08-26 12:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbd2ab5…
08-26 12:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5d57b1…
08-26 12:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x74db4a…
08-26 12:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x00c3ce…
08-26 12:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7d7952…
08-26 12:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xe0546a…
08-26 12:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb6d563…
08-26 12:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x94c5a4…
08-26 12:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7d85f0…
08-20 10:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x805477…
08-20 10:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf6eaa6…
08-19 12:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc6e6a1…
08-19 12:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe70044…
08-19 12:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe8a42c…
08-18 13:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4abf43…
08-18 13:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfdff4c…
08-18 12:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	55	52¢	$28	0x077d1f…
08-18 12:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x56883e…
08-18 12:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4aeddc…
08-18 12:45:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x780297…
08-18 12:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfce0ec…
08-18 12:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x122f2b…
08-18 12:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c7f98…
08-18 12:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a38b2…
08-18 12:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0ae492…
08-18 11:58:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0xfcf369…
08-18 11:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xdce564…
08-18 11:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ff56f…
08-18 11:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x47d08b…
08-18 11:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x969541…
08-18 11:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0500c0…
08-18 11:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5cbdd6…
08-18 11:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x20cefd…
08-18 11:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3319d4…
08-18 11:45:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x735197…
08-18 11:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x993ac2…
08-18 11:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x79267f…
08-18 11:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3aec7f…
08-18 11:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x587360…
08-18 11:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x147c7d…
08-18 11:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x25ba6b…
08-18 11:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x063651…
08-18 11:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb0111c…
08-18 11:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xce04a5…
08-18 11:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5b331d…
08-18 11:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x64f957…
08-18 11:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7e2260…
08-18 11:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65fc13…
08-18 10:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x9911fe…
08-18 10:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x908455…
08-18 10:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfe61ea…
08-18 10:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xe4e623…
08-18 10:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x499ed4…
08-18 10:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd0a2b3…
07-30 14:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbf73b4…
07-30 13:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf2c549…
07-30 13:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x66f440…
07-30 13:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7148bf…
07-30 13:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfc37f8…
07-30 13:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x751d7d…
07-30 13:49:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x7877e6…
07-30 13:45:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x20b3d0…
07-30 13:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	No	BUY	93	88¢	$82	0xf2d4ec…
07-30 13:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9d7ff9…
07-30 13:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x25c863…
07-30 13:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x11a573…
07-30 13:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16535a…
07-30 13:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0xfa6a19…
07-29 21:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	No	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0x90b94c…
07-28 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xde32bd…
07-28 08:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x4eae87…
07-26 20:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xea4786…
07-26 20:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x7ca5ca…
07-26 20:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9de599…
07-26 20:11:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6dbd2b…
07-26 20:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x7873d5…
07-26 20:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb719e2…
07-26 19:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0xb711a0…
07-26 19:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xf6248e…
07-26 19:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x848158…
07-26 19:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	76	62¢	$47	0xa6a6e9…