Rotten-Badger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-20 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

60% 36% +$160

Other

24% 7% -$412

Crypto

9% 25% -$149

Sports

7% 50% +$101

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$270	346	346	+0	Yes	+$149	03-01 18:57
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$176	395	70	+325	No	-$133	05-12 08:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$144	115	115	+0	Yes	+$73	04-21 10:51
will trump praise allah again by april 15	2	$130	115	115	+0	Yes	+$100	04-11 14:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$127	98	98	+0	Yes	+$68	04-08 09:57
iran strike on us military by february 28	6	$118	327	327	+0	Yes	-$36	02-28 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:50 UTC	2	$110	8,108	0	+8,108	Down	-$110	02-19 21:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$78	54	54	+0	Yes	+$29	03-01 04:56
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	3	$72	132	132	+0	Yes	-$38	04-07 22:47
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$71	49	49	+0	No	+$21	03-21 10:04
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$70	136	136	+0	No	+$10	04-30 20:01
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$65	50	50	+0	Yes	+$35	02-28 08:36
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	+$34	01-29 17:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$63	100	0	+100	Yes	+$37	04-07 22:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$60	101	0	+101	No	-$60	03-01 19:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$59	71	36	+35	Yes	+$14	03-04 13:05
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$53	100	100	+0	No	-$47	03-07 11:56
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	68	0	+68	Yes	+$18	04-30 20:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$45	192	0	+192	No	-$45	03-01 18:37
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$41	100	0	+100	Yes	-$41	04-11 19:28
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$40	100	100	+0	No	+$2	04-21 19:17
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	2	$38	53	53	+0	No	-$22	03-01 03:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$38	126	126	+0	No	-$22	03-02 22:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$33	100	100	+0	No	-$3	04-21 10:51
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$32	278	278	+0	Yes	-$21	04-30 20:01
does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	1	$30	591	0	+591	open	—	08-18 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:05 UTC	4	$27	78	31	+47	Up	+$5	03-04 10:09
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$27	92	92	+0	No	+$7	03-01 18:40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$25	156	0	+156	No	-$25	04-30 20:00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$25	225	0	+225	No	-$25	04-30 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 07:14:10	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0xe6ba11…
09-20 07:10:28	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xe0a84e…
08-18 16:13:03	bulbasaur price up down on august 31 20260814122817119	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa614a0…
08-18 15:57:13	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	Yes	BUY	591	5¢	$30	0xc2f310…
07-23 20:30:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0xe90b04…
07-23 20:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0xf4f925…
07-23 20:26:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x47a683…
07-15 12:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1da7a7…
07-15 12:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2be52f…
07-15 12:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ac1b5…
05-12 08:32:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	44¢	$111	0x4b8b44…
05-12 08:15:09	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x946f02…
05-12 08:13:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	31¢	$22	0x9aec86…
05-12 08:10:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	31¢	$43	0x2f8bf0…
04-30 20:01:38	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	136	29¢	$40	0x7cbf73…
04-30 20:01:22	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	278	2¢	$5	0x523348…
04-30 20:01:00	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	9¢	$15	0x009c0b…
04-30 20:00:52	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	225	11¢	$25	0xf6db86…
04-30 20:00:48	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	163	15¢	$25	0xaf4344…
04-30 20:00:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xf702f5…
04-30 20:00:16	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xe45f1f…
04-29 19:58:46	Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x08eeef…
04-21 19:17:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x33e319…
04-21 12:24:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8aa9ab…
04-21 11:30:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0x273bbb…
04-21 10:57:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xc29e89…
04-21 10:55:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xc28fef…
04-21 10:55:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	450	1¢	$3	0x20847e…
04-21 10:53:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x25b73e…
04-21 10:53:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x9d241a…
04-21 10:53:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc994a4…
04-21 10:52:18	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xaa34fc…
04-21 10:52:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$4	0x2b2701…
04-21 10:51:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0x12e6a8…
04-21 10:51:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xee01c8…
04-11 19:30:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x38f2dd…
04-11 19:28:17	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x861443…
04-11 14:59:45	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xfdca23…
04-08 09:57:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x775a2a…
04-07 22:47:59	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	132	13¢	$17	0xdea019…
04-07 22:43:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	96	35¢	$34	0x128b19…
04-07 22:22:03	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x5687eb…
04-07 22:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe8b3d7…
04-07 22:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7d9c55…
04-07 22:16:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xcfe88c…
04-07 22:15:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5a83a3…
04-07 22:11:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xa429ff…
04-07 22:11:03	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	195	11¢	$21	0x38e679…
04-07 22:10:01	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x67db95…
04-07 22:09:19	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb55856…
04-07 21:44:37	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	No	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x7691d7…
04-07 21:43:59	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd320eb…
04-07 21:42:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x80f2b1…
04-07 21:41:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd9f35c…
04-07 21:40:41	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcc0513…
04-07 13:09:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2d617a…
04-05 18:06:11	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x680444…
04-05 18:04:17	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x016ffa…
03-21 10:06:41	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x792867…
03-21 10:04:17	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x4c9f79…
03-11 19:20:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xff821d…
03-11 13:11:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x424157…
03-10 20:11:19	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 tot	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xf523ab…
03-10 19:59:33	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 ata1	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xda8ba0…
03-10 19:59:27	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x277c89…
03-10 19:59:21	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 tot	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd3f0ba…
03-09 18:40:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x8ceeae…
03-07 11:56:35	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x292bfe…
03-07 11:56:13	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0x392bb5…
03-05 20:31:19	epl tot cry 2026 03 05 tot	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc66f50…
03-05 13:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6dd25e…
03-05 13:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x659572…
03-05 13:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x596f03…
03-05 13:17:07	nato article 5 by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x7547f6…
03-04 13:05:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x678f27…
03-04 12:52:19	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x1658dc…
03-04 12:51:55	nato article 5 by march 31	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1b87e7…
03-04 10:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xff8a68…
03-04 10:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x69d81f…
03-04 10:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xedfeac…
03-04 10:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2a20b0…
03-04 10:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x658291…
03-04 10:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc8e3b2…
03-04 09:49:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xb49300…
03-03 17:14:33	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xdb2bdc…
03-02 22:13:01	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x125c1d…
03-02 22:11:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	126	6¢	$8	0xa8bb2e…
03-02 22:10:59	usisrael strike yemen by march 2	Yes	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0x60af39…
03-02 10:34:43	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xce17ae…
03-01 23:27:27	usisrael strike yemen by march 2	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x3c2ba1…
03-01 20:03:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xcc00cd…
03-01 19:05:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0x6484ca…
03-01 19:04:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	101	59¢	$60	0x62da32…
03-01 18:57:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0xdecf47…
03-01 18:52:17	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x5e62a8…
03-01 18:47:31	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0x4c421e…
03-01 18:40:05	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	SELL	92	18¢	$17	0x1e4b4a…
03-01 18:37:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8478b5…
03-01 04:56:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x1e8de2…
03-01 03:24:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa6cb54…