Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

+$1.53K

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$86.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$329

Open exposure

$4.31K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-16 03:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

94% 70% -$999

Other

6% 54% +$574

Sports

0% 100% +$296

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+4,930	$2,781	88¢	$4.3K	+$1,533	09-04 21:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	18	$10.6K	8,898	3,650	+5,248	No	+$555	02-06 22:16
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	24	$9.0K	5,178	5,178	+0	No	+$80	02-19 11:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	22	$8.6K	8,455	6,099	+2,356	No	+$1,296	01-31 19:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$4.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$1,320	02-28 06:54
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$4.5K	4,557	0	+4,557	No	+$100	02-19 14:47
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$4.4K	4,476	0	+4,476	No	+$54	02-16 09:45
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$4.4K	4,423	0	+4,423	No	+$13	02-15 20:40
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$4.4K	4,409	0	+4,409	No	+$48	02-07 14:51
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$4.2K	4,271	0	+4,271	No	+$30	02-01 20:58
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$4.2K	4,338	0	+4,338	No	+$108	02-04 17:59
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$4.2K	4,225	0	+4,225	No	+$51	02-03 19:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$4.1K	2,130	2,130	+0	No	+$89	04-01 08:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	11	$2.8K	4,930	0	+4,930	open	—	09-04 21:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$2.7K	1,633	1,633	+0	Yes	+$427	03-08 22:18
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	8	$2.5K	1,835	1,835	+0	No	-$166	01-14 22:38
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$2.1K	2,741	2,741	+0	Yes	-$1,933	02-28 06:57
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	8	$2.0K	1,660	1,660	+0	No	-$17	01-14 16:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$1.7K	1,677	0	+1,677	No	+$20	02-20 19:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$597	939	939	+0	Yes	+$61	02-28 13:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$511	339	339	+0	Yes	+$33	03-08 21:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$394	473	473	+0	Yes	-$6	02-28 14:21
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	2	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$7	01-21 19:35
will ethan hawke be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$277	363	0	+363	Yes	+$86	01-01 20:21
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$242	170	170	+0	No	-$16	01-14 16:51
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	4	$206	742	0	+742	No	-$206	01-06 18:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	7	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	08-20 18:22
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	2	$202	274	274	+0	No	+$2	03-08 09:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$187	100	100	+0	No	+$11	05-25 12:24
will no other choice be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$182	100	131	-31	No	+$12	01-16 10:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$182	100	100	+0	No	+$16	05-31 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 03:33:39	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1eb863…
09-15 21:53:06	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xb79fe2…
09-15 21:53:06	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5f632b…
09-15 10:13:54	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xd4f425…
09-15 10:13:54	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb1d09f…
09-15 10:13:54	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6ed7a3…
09-04 21:54:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	350	69¢	$241	0xe881d1…
08-20 18:22:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	52¢	$58	0xf665cf…
08-20 18:02:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x7b9f26…
08-20 17:58:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x89fb6f…
08-20 17:57:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x397d1c…
08-20 17:54:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x0321f6…
08-20 17:24:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x534aa2…
08-20 17:22:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xfb8a09…
06-03 07:35:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0xa756c5…
06-03 07:35:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x8dfbb7…
06-03 07:35:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x0318c3…
06-03 07:34:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	51¢	$41	0x5acecf…
06-03 07:34:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x4f241a…
06-03 07:30:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x3a5260…
06-03 07:22:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x7cbd2a…
06-02 08:41:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xda0f14…
06-02 08:36:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3e260a…
05-31 10:44:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xb6e39e…
05-29 11:07:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,437	57¢	$1,950	0x34f0cd…
05-25 12:24:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc055fc…
05-04 11:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x17550e…
05-04 11:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x3df9fa…
04-06 06:50:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x35ebfa…
04-06 06:39:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x912c38…
04-06 06:38:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc1897f…
04-06 06:38:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x0def55…
04-01 08:23:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2,130	100¢	$2,119	0x4b4e9e…
03-30 19:13:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2,130	95¢	$2,030	0xfada84…
03-30 19:12:49	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	323	9¢	$29	0x29522e…
03-15 19:46:23	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0x9a8a2f…
03-15 19:19:37	will it was just an accident win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0x18d4ff…
03-15 19:16:23	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x26b91b…
03-15 19:15:29	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xcbf917…
03-15 19:13:13	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x915931…
03-13 14:39:51	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x191e5c…
03-13 14:38:01	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x4ad56d…
03-11 13:08:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x1aefdb…
03-10 21:09:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x4d4beb…
03-10 20:31:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x26b3bb…
03-10 20:31:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xdcd527…
03-10 20:18:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x242f23…
03-10 20:17:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x34e021…
03-10 20:17:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x7d136d…
03-10 20:17:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xb8b4a9…
03-10 20:16:27	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7be808…
03-10 13:23:15	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	102	59¢	$60	0x7e3a63…
03-08 22:18:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1,433	98¢	$1,400	0x0969d4…
03-08 21:20:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0x7b3db3…
03-08 18:28:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x60850d…
03-08 10:53:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x38ddc8…
03-08 09:31:51	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	274	37¢	$102	0x0e58a0…
03-08 09:21:09	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	274	37¢	$100	0x420eff…
03-08 09:19:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x4c1fd6…
03-08 09:18:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x0e047e…
03-08 09:18:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x130447…
03-08 09:18:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6c8b81…
03-08 09:18:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3dcf37…
03-08 09:17:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x62a1a9…
03-08 09:17:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x494875…
03-07 07:36:47	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xb0c471…
03-07 07:35:55	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xbac8d4…
03-06 19:54:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0xa2abe0…
03-06 19:54:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x7bc48e…
03-06 19:53:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0xb7476c…
03-06 19:53:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0xa70d18…
03-06 19:53:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x27f7f3…
03-06 19:53:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x12b923…
03-06 19:53:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	39	68¢	$27	0xe68648…
03-06 19:37:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	177	69¢	$122	0xe0fd84…
03-06 19:37:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$7	0xe894c6…
03-06 19:37:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$0	0x8d8d55…
03-06 19:36:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	186	69¢	$128	0x208bb4…
03-06 19:36:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x59763e…
03-06 19:36:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	550	70¢	$385	0x7fa322…
03-06 19:34:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	180	68¢	$122	0x8b5661…
03-06 17:55:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x734063…
03-06 17:26:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x977868…
02-28 14:21:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	473	41¢	$194	0xf351f8…
02-28 14:20:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	473	42¢	$200	0xe4b3de…
02-28 13:41:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	929	35¢	$325	0x91acf2…
02-28 13:40:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb6cb8b…
02-28 13:39:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x878ee4…
02-28 06:57:31	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	SELL	2,131	2¢	$43	0x725796…
02-28 06:56:41	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0ebab6…
02-28 06:55:53	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	SELL	600	4¢	$24	0xb92efe…
02-28 06:54:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	2,000	5¢	$100	0xab7347…
02-28 01:51:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	157	26¢	$41	0x27b154…
02-28 01:34:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	73	26¢	$19	0x8afd09…
02-28 01:16:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc0a24d…
02-27 22:20:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x9575da…
02-27 22:18:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	189	28¢	$53	0xd2f4ac…
02-24 09:56:12	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2,741	73¢	$2,000	0x964466…
02-23 19:08:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x4ad8d8…
02-20 19:30:44	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x558fb6…